Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Preview
Max Fried gets the start for the Braves, who are 79-66 and are 3rd in the NL East. The Nationals are starting Jake Irvin and are 64-80 overall, which has them 4th in the NL East. This game is being played at Nationals Park in Washington, and the over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
Atlanta is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -172 compared to the Nationals at +145. This game can be seen on MASN, and the forecast for Wednesday’s matchup in DC calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – Atlanta Braves odds
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Braves in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- The Nationals, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- The Braves have a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 6-4 against the runline.
- As the underdog, the Nationals have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 5-5 straight-up.
The most recent game o of this Braves vs Nationals series was a complete blowout, as the Braves took down the Nationals by a score of 12-0. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -144 on the money line.
Atlanta’s offense got off to a fast start in the game, scoring four runs in the 1st and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Nationals didn’t get on the board until the 5th and could only muster three hits in the game.
Reynaldo Lopez only went one inning for the Braves but didn’t give up a hit or an earned run. Jesse Chavez got the win out of the bullpen. MacKenzie Gore had a rough outing for the Nationals, giving up two earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
With an overall record of 79-66, the Braves are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves are 24-21 against other teams in the NL East. Atlanta is coming into today’s game on the road, and they are 39-35 on the road this season.
So far, the Braves have been the favorite in most of their games, going 67-50 in those matchups. As the road favorite, the Braves have put together a record of 28-21 this year. Atlanta’s overall series record is 26-16-5, and they are leading their current series with the Nationals, having taken game one.
Atlanta has a run line record of 69-76 this season, including a mark of 40-34 on the road. The Braves have covered the run line in two straight road games and have a run line record of 17-11 as an underdog this season.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road against the Washington Nationals today, with the Over/Under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Braves games this season is 8.1 runs, and their Over/Under record is 53-87. The average Over/Under line for their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 12-19. So far this season, 105 of their games have had Over/Under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, accounting for 72.4% of their games.
Left-hander Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 9-8 with a 3.35 ERA. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his 25 appearances, Fried has turned in 13 quality starts, along with two complete games and one shutout. His most recent outing was a strong one, as he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had allowed at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the MLB. As a team, the Braves are batting .241, which is 12th in the league, and are 4th in the league in home runs.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .305 with 37 homers and 98 RBIs. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .237. Over his last five games, Jarred Kelenic has two homers and is batting .250. Michael Harris II has also gone 2/8 in his last eight games.
With an overall record of 64-80, the Nationals are 22.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 19-22 in divisional matchups. The Nationals have dropped two straight games, and they are 4th in the NL East.
Washington has dropped seven of their last ten games, and they lost the series opener vs. the Braves. At home, the Nationals are 32-38 this year compared to a road record of 32-42. As the underdog, the Nationals are 52-68 this year, and they are 12-12 when favored.
Washington has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 80-64 overall. They’ve been even better on the road, where they are 43-31 on the run line. However, they have failed to cover in three straight games at home and are just 37-33 overall on the run line at Nationals Park. When they are favored, they are just 11-13 on the run line, while they are 69-51 as the underdog.
Washington’s over/under record for the season is 70-69, and the over has hit in three straight games. The Nationals have played 117 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their average combined run total for the season is 9.0 runs per game.
Washington is sending right-hander Jake Irvin to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 9-12 with an ERA of 4.28. Opposing batters are hitting .245 off Irvin this season, and his WHIP is 1.21. In his 29 starts, Irvin has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 7.59 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Irvin took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Pirates. He has lost each of his last two outings.
Washington’s offense comes into today’s game averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the majors. This season, they are batting .244 as a team (10th) and have the 10th best on-base percentage in the league. The Nationals have been good at putting the ball in play, as they have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league. However, they are just 25th in the league in home runs and have a collective ISO of .134.
CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have been the Nationals’ top power threats this season, with Abrams leading the team with 19 homers and Garcia Jr. sitting 2nd with 15. Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a batting average of .284 and has gone 2/5 over his last five games. Washington will also be looking for Andrés Chaparro and Jose Tena to keep swinging a hot bat, as Chaparro has two homers in his last five games, and Tena has gone 8/21 in that stretch.
Getting the Nationals at +145 on the money line is a great value pick, as our model has them winning this one 5-4. With the money line payout, we would recommend staying away from the over/under, as we have this game finishing with a combined nine runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jake Irvin finishing with five strikeouts compared to Max Fried with four. Fried is projected to go just five innings, while Irvin is projected to go seven.
Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- Take the Braves on the moneyline
- The Nationals are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Alex Call | Out | Foot/Ankle |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow |
| Joan Adon | Out | Shoulder/Biceps |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Travis d’Arnaud | Out | Personal |
| Whit Merrifield | Doubtful | Foot |
| Ozzie Albies | Out | Wrist |
| Reynaldo López | Questionable | Shoulder |
| A.J. Minter | Out | Hip |
| Austin Riley | Out | Hand |
| Huascar Ynoa | Out | Elbow |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Ray Kerr | Out | Elbow |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
