Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers Prediction & Betting Tips 7/26/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers Preview

Both the Rangers and Blue Jays will be looking to pick up a win in Friday’s AL matchup, as this one is getting started at 7:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. The Rangers are on a five-game winning streak and are 51-52 overall, while the Blue Jays are 46-56 and their money line odds are at -126. The money line odds for a Rangers win are sitting at +106.

Friday’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and APLTV is carrying this one on TV. Andrew Heaney is starting for the Rangers, and he is facing off against Yusei Kikuchi for the Blue Jays. In the AL West, the Rangers are in 3rd place, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers Trends and Key Stats

• The Rangers are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
• In the Blue Jays’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Blue Jays have won 4-6 straight-up, and have a 1-9 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Rangers’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers Prediction

The Rangers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the White Sox, closing out their series with a 2-1 win. After allowing one run to the White Sox in the top of the 3rd, the Rangers responded with a run of their own. Texas went on to add another run in the 4th inning, closing out the scoring. Heading into the game, the Rangers were at -258 on the money line.

Max Scherzer put together a good start for the Rangers, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued just one walk and struck out nine White Sox batters. The Rangers’s offense was carried by Marcus Semien, who went json 2/4 with a homer and a run scored.

Texas is 51-52 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL West, 2.5 games behind the Astros for the division lead. The Rangers are on a five-game winning streak, and they closed out their series vs. the White Sox with four straight wins.

At home, the Rangers are 29-23 and 22-29 on the road. As the underdog, Texas is 13-21 this year and 33-23 when favored. The Rangers’ overall series record is 15-17-1 and they have won two straight series on the road.

When the Rangers are the underdog, they have a winning run line record of 25-22. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.9, while the average run margin in losing games is -3.7. Overall, their run line record is 45-58, and their average run margin per game is 0.1.

The Texas Rangers are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Rangers games this season is 8.5 runs. Texas has an over/under record of 41-58 this season, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 6-12-2. So far this season, 66 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 64.1% of their games. Additionally, 17 games have had lower lines, making up 16.5% of their contests.

Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 4-10 with a 3.60 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Heaney has a WHIP of 1.24 and opponents are batting .239 this season. In his last outing, Heaney picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run to the Orioles. Before that, he had allowed at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Heaney has made five quality starts this year.

For the season, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This is just below their home average of 4.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .312 is 12th in the MLB.

Over the team’s last eight games, Marcus Semien has gone 9/28 with two homers and six runs scored. Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager are the team’s leaders in home runs, with 17 and 19, respectively. Garcia is batting just .209 this season, while Seager has a batting average of .270.

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 13-0 loss. Toronto was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Rays scored 11 times in the first three innings. Tampa Bay’s offense was carried by Chris Archer, who went 3-3 with a homer and five RBIs.

Things didn’t get any better for the Blue Jays after Archer was removed from the game. Toronto’s offense scored their only two runs in the 4th inning and finished with just two hits. Chris Bassitt got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up three earned runs, and took the loss.

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, 15 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. Overall, they are 46-56 as they get set to host the Rangers today. The Blue Jays are 13-18 against other AL East teams this year.

So far, the Blue Jays have been the favorite in 55 of their games, and they are 31-24 in those games. At home, they are 20-17 when favored. Toronto has an overall record of 15-32 when the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Blue Jays are 11-16-6 and have lost three straight series.

When it comes to betting the run line with the Blue Jays, it’s been a mixed bag. They have a losing run line record overall at 48-54, but they are 32-19 on the road. They are just 16-35 at home against the run line. They have a losing run line record as the favorite at 23-32, but they are 25-22 as the underdog. Their average run differential in games they win is +3.1, but it drops to -4.0 in losses.

The Blue Jays are at home today against the Rangers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. Toronto has an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-46. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, their record is 19-10-1. The over has hit in two straight games for the Blue Jays.

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Rangers at home. Kikuchi has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 4-9 with an ERA of 4.54. Looking at his overall numbers, Kikuchi has a WHIP of 1.31 and has turned in eight quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.14 strikeouts compared to just 2.27 walks. In his last outing, Kikuchi took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. So far, he has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 6.18 compared to 4.82 at home.

So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging 4 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been a little better on the road (4.2 RPG) than at home (3.9 RPG). As a team, they are batting just .235, which is 17th in the league, and their team slugging percentage of .376 is 19th. Toronto has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, but they are just 12th in walks.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the team’s top hitter this season, with a batting average of .296 to go along with 18 home runs and 62 RBIs. He has been especially hot of late, going 12/26 in his last seven games with five homers. Guerrero Jr. is also on a seven-game hitting streak. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 13 homers, but he is batting just .225 for the season.

Our pick for this Rangers vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Rangers on the money line at +106. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Rangers, making them a great value pick at +106.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Andrew Heaney finishing with six strikeouts compared to Yusei Kikuchi with five. However, Kikuchi is projected to finish with a better ERA, giving him a better chance to pick up the win.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips

• We like the Rangers on the moneyline (+106)
• The Rangers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

Texas Rangers Injury Report