Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The money line odds for Thursday’s Rays vs. Blue Jays matchup have the Rays at -110 compared to the Blue Jays at -108. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the game is being played at 3:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre in Toronto. The forecast calls for temperatures in the mid-70s and partly cloudy skies.
Taj Bradley is starting for the Rays, and he is facing off against Chris Bassitt for the Blue Jays. Tampa Bay is 51-51 this season, while the Blue Jays are 46-55 and are 5th in the AL East. Toronto will be looking to gain some ground on the Rays, as they are 4th in the division.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Rays have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- In their previous ten games, the Rays have recorded a 5-5 record as the favorite, while they have a 5-5 record as the underdog.
- In their last ten games, the Blue Jays have a record of 4-6 as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Blue Jays vs Rays series. Toronto went into the matchup as +101 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-3 win. The Jays had a big 8th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Rays, they scored their only run in the 5th and added two more in the 9th.
Tampa Bay wasted a good outing from Zach Eflin, as he gave up just two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Jason Adam took the loss. Yariel Rodriguez got the win for the Blue Jays out of the bullpen, and Steven Matz got the no-decision, going just four innings and giving up two earned runs.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 2/3 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Justin Turner also had a three-hit game for Toronto. As for the Rays, Randy Arozarena went 2/3 with an RBI.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay is at an even 51-51 overall as they are nine games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Currently, they are in 4th place in the AL East and have gone 15-21 in divisional matchups. The Rays are .500 overall, and they have been good at home, going 27-27 this year.
As for their play on the road, the Rays are also .500 at 24-24. Tampa Bay has gone 28-26 as the favorite this year and 23-25 when listed as the underdog. The Rays’ overall series record is 16-12-3, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Blue Jays.
When the Rays win, they win big. Their average run differential in victories is +2.5 runs per game, while their run differential in losses is -3.9 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 48-54, but they have been a much better bet on the road, where they are 28-20 vs. the run line.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Rays have played in 68 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 49-48. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 16-13.
Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 5-4. Bradley’s ERA for the season is an impressive 2.63, along with a WHIP of 1.05. Opponents have hit .194 off Bradley this season. In his 13 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 10.75 strikeouts per nine innings. Bradley’s most recent outing was a good one, as he didn’t give up a run in seven innings of work, picking up the win. He has won three straight starts.
Over his last seven games, Randy Arozarena has gone 9/24 with three home runs, and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .213, but his 15 homers are the 2nd most on the team. Isaac Paredes comes into the game with a team-high 51 RBIs and 16 homers, which is 14th in the MLB. He is batting .248 for the season.
As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and are batting just .233. Tampa Bay does have a few guys on some nice power streaks, as Jose Siri and Brandon Lowe have both homered in three straight games.
With a record of 46-55, the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 14 games for the division lead. In the AL East, they have gone 13-17 this season. Toronto is hosting the Rays today, and they trail Tampa Bay by 4.5 games in the division.
At home, the Blue Jays are 23-27 this year, and they are 23-28 on the road. Toronto has dropped two straight series and has an overall series record of 11-14-6 this year. As the underdog, the Blue Jays have won two straight games, and their overall record as the underdog is 15-32.
When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.1 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.8 runs per game. This has led to a run line record of 48-53 on the season, including a 16-34 mark at home. They are 32-19 against the run line on the road, and they have covered in two straight games as the underdog.
The Toronto Blue Jays are at home today against the Tampa Bay Rays. The O/U line for this game is set at 7.5 runs. The Blue Jays have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 52-46. When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 15-10. Overall, 70.3% of their games this season have had higher O/U lines than 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Rays at home. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 8-8 with a 3.71 ERA. Bassitt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.42. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Bassitt has a total of nine quality starts this year and is averaging 8.37 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers and is averaging 3.63 walks per nine innings.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 14th in the league, but their on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all below average. One thing they have done well is avoid striking out, as they have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Over his last five games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire, going 8/18 with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .296 with a team-high 18 homers and 62 RBIs. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 13 homers but is batting just .227.
Based on the money line, we have the Rays picking up a win on the road against the Blue Jays. We have the Rays winning this one by a final of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt is projected to finish with the highest ERA among today’s starters, and we have him finishing with five strikeouts. As for the Rays’ starter, Taj Bradley, he is projected to finish with three strikeouts and give up four hits.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips
- We like the Rays on the moneyline (-110)
- The Rays are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Bo Bichette | Out | Calf |
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | Out | Knee |
Jordan Romano | Out | Elbow |
Nate Pearson | Probable | Illness |
Orelvis Martinez | Out | Suspension |
Alek Manoah | Out | Elbow |
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Yandy Díaz | Out | Personal |
Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
Richard Lovelady | Out | Forearm |
Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
Ryan Pepiot | Out | Knee |