Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
From the Rogers Centre in Toronto, we have the Cardinals and Blue Jays facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch is set for 7:07 PM ET, and the game will be televised on SNET. The Blue Jays are favored on the money line (-132), while the Cardinals have a line of +111. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
St. Louis has won two straight and is 74-72 overall, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East with a record of 69-78. Erick Fedde will be on the mound for the Cardinals, and he is facing off against Kevin Gausman for the Blue Jays.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- The Cardinals are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- In the Blue Jays’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Blue Jays have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Cardinals’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 6-4 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.
Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
Sonny Gray was excellent in his last start for the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up just one run while striking out nine. The Cardinals’s offense was carried by Masyn Winn, who went 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
St. Louis’s bullpen was also very good, as they only gave up one run in their 6-1 win over the Reds. JoJo Romero closed things out in the 9th, picking up the save. The Cardinals were the -145 favorite at home going into the game.
St. Louis is on the road today to take on the Blue Jays, and they are 74-72 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 10 games. The Cardinals head into today’s game having won two straight, and they closed out their series vs. the Reds with a win.
At home, the Cardinals are 39-35 this season and 35-37 on the road. As the underdog, St. Louis has gone 39-37 compared to a mark of 35-35 as the favorite. The Cardinals’ overall series record is 24-19-5, and they have won three straight series on the road.
When the Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.7 runs. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.6 runs. On the run line, they are 72-74 overall, and 36-36 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 49-27 as the underdog.
St. Louis is 10-14-1 when the O/U line is set at 8 runs this season. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their O/U record for the year is 69-73. The O/U line for today’s game against Toronto is set at 8 runs. The Cardinals have gone under the total in their last three games.
Right-hander Erick Fedde gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with a 3.39 ERA. Fedde’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. Looking back at his last outing, Fedde took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. He has taken the loss in each of his last three outings. Fedde has made 16 appearances on the road, going 2-5 with a 4.71 ERA.
Paul Goldschmidt and Alec Burleson have been the Cardinals’ top power threats this season, as they are tied for the team lead with 21 homers. Goldschmidt is batting just .246 this season, but he has gone 9/31 in his last eight games with four RBIs. Burleson has been a little more consistent, hitting .270 for the season and is also 1st on the team with 73 RBIs. Brendan Donovan and Masyn Winn are both hitting .272 this season, with Donovan coming in on a three-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Cardinals are batting .247 this season, which is 10th in the league. However, they are just 24th in runs per game at 4.1. This is a slight improvement from their home average of 4.2 runs per game. Overall, the Cardinals are 20th in home runs and have the 19th best slugging percentage in the league.
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 6-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Mets scored six runs in the top of the 9th. Toronto was the +115 underdog at home going into the game.
Bowden Francis was excellent for the Blue Jays, going eight innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out nine. However, the Blue Jays couldnjson’t close things out, and Chad Green took the loss out of the bullpen. The Blue Jays also wasted a big game from Ernie Clement, who went 2/4 with a run scored.
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, three games behind the Rays for 4th place in the division. Overall, the Blue Jays are 69-78, putting them 16 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Toronto lost their series vs. the Mets, dropping two of three games.
At home, the Blue Jays are 35-37 this season compared to a 34-41 mark on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 69 games, going 41-28 in those contests. As for their games as the underdog, the Blue Jays are just 28-50. Toronto’s overall series record is 16-25-6 and they have dropped four straight series.
The Blue Jays have a run line record of 75-72 this season, with a run line record of 27-45 at home. They have an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game this season. They have a run line record of 48-27 on the road, with a road scoring margin of -0.1 runs per game.
The Toronto Blue Jays are at home today against the St. Louis Cardinals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Blue Jays have played in 71 games this season with over/under lines set at 8 or higher, and their over/under record for the season is 76-67. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season.
Right-hander Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Cardinals at home. Gausman has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 12-11 with a 4.09 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gausman has a WHIP of 1.24 and has turned in 14 quality starts. Gausman has been much better on the road this year, coming in with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 4.59. At home, his ERA jumps to 6.58, and he is 5-6. In his last outing, Gausman gave up three earned runs in six innings of work and took the loss. He has lost each of his last two starts.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and are near the top of the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. Toronto’s team on-base percentage and slugging percentage are both right around the league average.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, as he is batting .321 with 28 homers and 94 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 10/19 in his last seven games with three homers. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers, but he is hitting just .221 for the season.
Our prediction for today’s Cardinals vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line, with the payout sitting at -132. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a final score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kevin Gausman is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he ranks 16th among starters. As for Cardinals starter Erick Fedde, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which has him at sixth worst.
Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Blue Jays on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Bo Bichette | Out | Calf |
Jordan Romano | Out | Elbow |
Orelvis Martinez | Out | Suspension |
Alek Manoah | Out | Elbow |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |