Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 9/4/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

First pitch for Wednesday’s Phillies vs. Blue Jays interleague matchup is set for 3:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. NBC10 will be televising this game, and the Phillies are the favorites on the money line (-130). The Blue Jays are +110, and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak.

As for the Phillies, they are 82-56 and they have won three straight. The Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East with a record of 67-73. Cristopher Sanchez is starting for the Phillies, while Bowden Francis goes for the Blue Jays.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Phillies are 3-2. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Blue Jays have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• Over their last ten games, the Phillies have a 8-2 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
• Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Blue Jays have gone 7-3 vs. the runline and 8-2 straight-up.

Philadelphia rallied for three runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Phillies vs. Blue Jays series. The Phillies scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 10-9 win. Heading into the game, the Phillies were at +100 on the money line.

Toronto wasted a good outing from Chris Bassitt, as he gave up just three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work for the Blue Jays. Chad Green took the loss. Orion Kerkering got the win out of the bullpen for the Phillies as Tyler Phillips went just two-thirds of an inning, giving up one earned run.

Kyle Schwarber hit three home runs for the Phillies while going 5/6 with six RBIs. Trea Turner also had a three-hit game and scored three times for Philadelphia. Bryce Harper scored four times for the Phillies while going 2/6.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Philadelphia is 82-56 overall and leads the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies have won three straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10. This season, they have gone 23-15 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Phillies have been strong, going 47-25 this season. On the road, they are above .500 as well, coming in at 35-31. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 69-41 this season, and they are 23-19 as the road favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 24-16-6 and have won three straight series.

When betting the Phillies on the run line, it’s been a coin flip proposition overall, as they are 67-71. They have been a better bet on the road, going 34-32, and they have covered the run line in three straight road games. Their run line record is 52-58 when favored and 15-13 when the underdog. The average run margin in their wins is 3.9, compared to -3.7 in their losses.

Today’s game between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Toronto Blue Jays has an over/under line of 8 runs. The Phillies’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 64-67. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-16-1. Overall, 49.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 or higher.

Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 9-9 with a 3.49 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. Sánchez’s most recent outing came against the Braves, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the majors. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league. The Phillies have three hitters with at least 26 home runs, including Kyle Schwarber, who is 7th in the league with 31 homers.

Bryce Harper has been hot of late, going 10/27 in his last seven games. For the season, he is batting .282 with 26 homers. Alec Bohm has been a good contact hitter for the Phillies, batting .290, and he is also 3rd on the team with 13 homers.

The Blue Jays are 67-73 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East, two games behind the Rays for 4th place in the division. Currently, they are 14.0 games behind the Orioles for the lead in the AL East. Toronto has dropped two straight games, which came after winning three in a row.

At home, the Blue Jays are 34-34 this year compared to 33-39 on the road. So far, they have really thrived as the favorite, going 41-28 but just 26-45 as the underdog. As for how they have done as the home underdog, the Blue Jays are 6-13 this year. Toronto’s overall series record is 16-22-6, and they are losing their current series vs. the Phillies.

When betting the run line, the Blue Jays have been a better play on the road than at home, where they are just 25-43. Toronto has gone 46-26 on the run line away from home, and they have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog. The Blue Jays have a run line record of 71-69 overall.

When the Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8.9 runs per game. Overall, Toronto has gone over the total in 74 of their 137 games this season, and they have a record of 23-14-1 when the line is set at 8 runs. Over the course of the season, 70 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, which accounts for 50.0% of their games.

Toronto is sending right-hander Bowden Francis to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 23 appearances this season and has a record of 8-3 with a 3.66 ERA. Francis has made four quality starts and is averaging 8.58 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he didn’t give up a run, going seven innings vs. the Red Sox. Francis picked up the win in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. The right-hander has been pitching well lately, as he hasn’t lost since July 30th.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been pretty consistent in terms of their home and road splits, averaging 4.2 runs per game at home and 4.3 on the road. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a bright spot for the Blue Jays this season, as he is batting .328 with a league-leading 91 RBIs and 28 home runs. He has also been hot of late, going 10/21 in his last five games. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .221 for the season.

Given that the Blue Jays are the underdogs in this one, we really like their value on the money line at +110. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Blue Jays, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bowden Francis is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he is also projected to give up two earned runs. As for Cristopher Sanchez, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well, and he is projected to give up five hits.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• We like the Blue Jays on the moneyline (+110)
• On the run line we like Blue Jays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report