Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 9/3/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Phillies and Blue Jays will face off in an interleague matchup at 7:07 PM ET at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Philadelphia is 81-56 this season, and they are on a two-game winning streak. They are first in the NL East, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East at 67-72.

Chris Bassitt will start for the Blue Jays, while the Phillies are sending Tyler Phillips to the mound. Philadelphia is the slight money line favorite, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. NSPPH will be televising this one.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Phillies have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Phillies have a record of 7-3, while as the underdog, they have a record of 5-5.
• The Blue Jays are 8-2 (favorite) and 4-6 (underdog).

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Heading into their last game vs. the Braves, the Phillies closed out the series with a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -128 on the money line. It was a good start for the Phillies, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 3rd.

Aaron Nola put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Braves batters. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with three RBIs.

Philadelphia heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Blue Jays having won two straight games, and they are 81-56 overall this season. The Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves and are 23-15 against other teams in the division. They closed out their series vs. the Braves with three straight wins.

At home, the Phillies have gone 47-25 this season, and they are just over .500 on the road at 34-31. As the favorite, the Phillies are 69-41 this year, and they are 23-19 when favored on the road. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 24-16-6 and have won three straight series.

When it comes to betting the run line on the Phillies, it’s been a mixed bag this season. Overall, they are 66-71 against the run line, but they are 33-32 on the road. Their average run margin on the road is +0.4, and they have covered the run line in their last two road games. So far, the Phillies have been the favorite in 110 of their games, and they are 52-58 against the run line in those contests.

When the Phillies are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8 runs per game. The over/under record for the Phillies this season is 63-67, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-13. Overall, 30.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, while 51.1% have had lower lines. The under has hit in their last two games.

Tyler Phillips gets the start for the Phillies today and comes in with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 5.50. Looking back at his last outing, Phillips finished with a no-decision, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs on nine hits. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Phillips has made two quality starts this year and has a shutout to his name. His ERA on the road is 13.16 compared to 5.46 at home.

Over the past eight games, Bryce Harper has been swinging a hot bat for the Phillies, going 11/28 (.393) with four runs scored and two RBIs. Harper is 2nd on the team with 26 homers and is batting .281 for the season. Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies’ top power threat, as he is 9th in the league with 28 homers and has driven in 82 runs. Schwarber is batting just .238 this season.

As a team, the Phillies are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, the Phillies are batting .257, which is the 4th best mark in the league.

Heading into their last game vs. the Twins, the Blue Jays closed out the series with a 4-3 loss. Toronto was the +227 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Blue Jays, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Twins scored in the bottom of the first.

Yariel Rodriguez got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up three earned runs. Offensively, the Blue Jays scored their three runs on a homer from Ernie Clement but went just json2/5. The Blue Jays also wasted a big game from Chad Green, who went 3/4 with two doubles.

Toronto is 67-72 overall and 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 13.5 games. The Blue Jays lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Twins. At home, the Blue Jays are 34-33 this year.

As the favorite, the Blue Jays have gone 41-27 this year, and they are 26-45 as the underdog. Toronto has won four straight games at home, and their overall record is 6-4 over their last 10 games. So far, they have gone 20-26 in divisional games.

Despite their negative run differential on the season, the Blue Jays have been a solid run line bet overall at 71-68. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 46-26 ATS. However, they have struggled against the run line at home, going just 25-42. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog this season at 40-31.

The Blue Jays have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with their games averaging 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 73-63, and they have gone over the total in 22 of the 41 games where the line was set at 8.5 runs. Overall, 20.1% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs, while 50.4% have had lower lines.

Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings, taking the loss while giving up one earned run. Looking back further, he has given up at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. Bassitt’s record for the season is 9-13, and his ERA is 4.27. Out of his 27 starts, he has 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.84 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 16 homers and is averaging 3.38 walks per nine innings.

Over the past eight games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 14/31 (.452) with six runs scored and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .324 and is 10th in the league with 27 home runs. Guerrero Jr. also has a team-high 89 RBIs. George Springer has also been a good run producer for the Blue Jays, as he is 3rd on the team with 55 RBIs, but he is batting just .216.

For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. As a team, they are batting .241 and have the 12th best on-base percentage in the league. Toronto’s offense is 20th in home runs and has the 15th best OPS in the MLB.

Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -113. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room on either side.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt is projected to go five innings, while Tyler Phillips is projected to go five innings. Bassitt is also projected to finish with six strikeouts, while Phillips is predicted to finish with five.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• We like the Blue Jays on the moneyline (-113)
• The Blue Jays are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report