Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 6/30/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Preview

At 1:37 PM ET, the Yankees and Blue Jays face off in an AL East matchup. Sunday’s matchup is being played at Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Yankees are favored on the money line (-123). The Blue Jays’ money line odds are sitting at +104, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

New York comes in with a record of 53-32, while the Blue Jays are 38-44 overall. Gerrit Cole will start for the Yankees, while the Blue Jays are sending Kevin Gausman to the mound.

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Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats

• The Yankees are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
• The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees are 3-7 straight-up and 3-7 vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Blue Jays have gone 4-6 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 5-5 over their last ten games.

Toronto cruised to a 9-3 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 6th inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were at +107 on the money line.

Chris Bassitt got the win for the Blue Jays, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. Nestor Cortes had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss after going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Isiah Kiner-Falefa each had three hits and combined for seven RBIs. Guerrero also homered in the game. As for the Yankees, Austin Wells went 2/4 with a home run.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Blue Jays, and they are 53-32 overall, putting them just one game behind the Orioles in the AL East. New York leads the AL Wild Card race by 3.5 games. The Yankees have really struggled recently, as they are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Yankees are 24-14 this year, and they have gone 29-18 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 41-26, and they are 12-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 17-6-2, but they have dropped four straight series.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs. That’s a big reason why they have a run line record of 47-38. They’re even better on the road, where their run line record is 27-20, compared to 20-18 at home. As the favorite, they’re just 33-34 against the run line, but as the underdog, they’re 14-4.

The Yankees are on the road tonight against the Blue Jays with an over/under line of 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 44-39. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over 6 times and under 8 times. Overall, 64.7% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs, and they are currently on a streak of 5 overs.

Gerrit Cole and the Yankees are on the road to face the Blue Jays. Cole is looking to bounce back from a loss in his last start, where he went 4 innings and gave up 6 runs on 7 hits. In his first start of the season, he went 4 innings and struck out 5, giving up 2 runs.

So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league’s top offensive teams, as they are 3rd in runs per game (5) and have the 2nd most home runs in the league. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 8th in the MLB. New York has been very patient at the plate, as they lead the league in walks and have an on-base percentage of .331, which is 2nd in the league.

Aaron Judge has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 30 home runs are the most in the league. He is also batting a team-high .313, and his 80 RBIs are also the best in the league. Over his last six games, Judge has gone 10/21 with two homers and 10 RBIs. Juan Soto comes into the game with a six-game hitting streak but is just 4/16 in his last five games.

Toronto is 38-44 overall and 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 14.5 games. So far, they are 12-15 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays have gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games and have dropped seven games below .500 on the year.

At home, the Blue Jays are 20-20 this year and 18-24 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 29-20 and 9-24 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 8-12-5.

When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.9 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of -0.5 runs per game, and their run line record is 39-43. They have been better against the run line on the road, going 24-18 compared to 15-25 at home. As the favorite, they are 23-26 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 16-17.

When the Toronto Blue Jays play at home, the over has been hitting at a 42.7% clip this season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per contest. The over/under line for today’s game against the New York Yankees is set at 8 runs, and the Blue Jays have gone over that line in 12 of their 23 games with that number this season. The over has also hit in six straight Blue Jays games.

Kevin Gausman will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Red Sox and picked up the win. In that outing, which came on June 25th, he went six innings, giving up three earned runs and coming away with the win. Looking back over his last three outings, Gausman has given up at least three earned runs in each. His record for the season is 6-6, and he has an ERA of 4.26. Gausman’s WHIP for the season is 1.27. Out of his 16 starts, he has seven quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game.

Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on a tear of late, going 14/33 in his last seven games with five homers and 19 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .296 with a team-high 13 homers and 50 RBIs. Daulton Varsho is also among the league leaders in home runs but is batting just .202 for the season.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of .237. Overall, they are 15th in on-base percentage and 17th in slugging.

With the Blue Jays at +104 on the money line, they are our recommended pick in this one. We have them winning by a score of 6-5, and with the payout, we like them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Gerrit Cole is predicted to finish with more strikeouts than Kevin Gausman, but we have Gausman finishing with more wins. Cole is projected to go six innings, while Gausman is predicted to go just five.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• Take the Yankees on the moneyline
• On the run line we like Blue Jays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report