Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 6/27/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Preview

Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees on Thursday, as they look to snap a three-game losing streak. The Yankees are still in first place in the AL East with a record of 52-30. The Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East with a record of 36-43.

New York is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. José Berrios will start for the Blue Jays. This AL East matchup has a start time of 7:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. SNET is carrying this one on TV.

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Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Yankees are 1-4. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
• The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• The Yankees have a 3-7 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 3-7 against the runline.
• Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Blue Jays have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 5-5 straight-up.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 12-2 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Mets scored three times in the third.

Luis Gil got the start for the Yankees and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. Aaron Judge was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Yankees are 52-30 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East, just one game ahead of the Orioles. New York is on a three-game losing streak, and they lost the final two games of their series vs. the Mets. So far, they have gone just 10-12 in divisional games.

At home, the Yankees have gone 24-14 this season, and they are 28-16 on the road. New York has dropped four straight on the road, and they are 17-12 as the road favorite this season. As for their overall record as the favorite, the Yankees are 40-24 and 12-6 as the underdog. The team’s overall series record is 17-6-2 but have dropped four straight series.

The Yankees have been a profitable bet on the run line this season, going 46-36 overall. They are 26-18 on the run line on the road, where they have an average scoring margin of 1.5 runs per game. They have been a run line underdog in 18 games and have covered the run line in 14 of those games.

The Yankees are on the road against the Blue Jays today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.8, and their over/under record is 41-39. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-8. In 53 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at over 8 runs, which accounts for 64.6% of their games. Their over streak is at 2 games.

Carlos Rodón will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Blue Jays, as he comes into the game with a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 3.86. In that start vs. the Blue Jays, he gave up seven earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Rodón has given up at least five earned runs in two of them. Rodón’s WHIP for the season is 1.21, and opponents are batting .235 vs. the left-hander this year. So far, he has made 16 starts, 10 of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, Rodón is averaging 8.53 strikeouts and 2.54 walks.

So far this season, the Yankees offense is averaging 5 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, the Yankees have the league’s 2nd best home run total and are the top team in terms of drawing walks. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league.

Right now, Aaron Judge is leading the league in both home runs (30) and RBIs (77) while batting .309. He has been hot of late, going 6/17 in his last five games with three homers and 10 RBIs. Juan Soto is also having a strong season for the Yankees, batting .303 with 19 homers and 57 RBIs.

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with a 9-4 win. After a seven-run 3rd inning, the Blue Jays really took control of things, and the Red Sox could only score two runs in the 2nd. Toronto was the +110 underdog going into this road game.

Kevin Gausman put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 14.5 games. Overall, the Blue Jays are 36-43 as they get set to host the Yankees today. At home, the Blue Jays are 18-19 this season and 18-24 on the road.

So far, the Blue Jays are 29-20 as the favorite, compared to 7-23 as the underdog. They come in having lost three straight games at home, and they are 0-6 as the home underdog this year. Toronto’s overall series record is 8-12-5 this year.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.2 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 37-42, but they have been better on the road, going 24-18 against the run line. At home, they are just 13-24 vs. the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog, and have an overall run line record of 14-16 in those games.

When the Toronto Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their combined run average for all games this season is 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 35-41. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-10-1. In 41.8% of their games, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs. Their current over streak is at 3 games.

José Berríos will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Guardians, as he was tagged with the loss and gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. In that start, he gave up three homers. Before that outing, Berríos had won two straight starts. He has a record of 6-6 this season and an ERA of 3.43. Berríos has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting .236 this season. Looking at his overall numbers, Berríos has allowed 17 homers and is averaging 6.31 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, scoring just 3.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .233, which is 16th in the league, and are 21st in home runs. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who has gone 9/22 in his last five games with three homers.

Guerrero Jr. is the Blue Jays’ top hitter this season, batting .288 with 10 homers and 40 RBIs. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are batting below .220 for the season.

Given that the Yankees are on the road, we don’t see them as a good pick on the money line or the run line. Instead, we recommend taking the Blue Jays to win straight up, and at +118, there is some good value there.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Rodón going 6th among starters in terms of picking up a win, while José Berríos is 11th. However, Berríos is projected to go five innings, compared to Rodón going just two.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• We like the Blue Jays on the moneyline (+118)
• On the run line we like Blue Jays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report