Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 9/11/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Preview

Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets on Wednesday, and he will be facing off against Bowden Francis and the Blue Jays. This interleague matchup is set to get started at 3:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. The Mets are 2nd in the NL East, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East.

The money line odds have the Mets at -124, while the Blue Jays are the slight home underdog at +105. Today’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and MLBN will be televising this one.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• The Mets are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 4-1 record.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets have a straight-up record of 8-2 and a runline record of 7-3.
• When playing as the underdog, the Blue Jays have gone 7-3 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 8-2 over their last ten games.

Toronto picked up a 6-2 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Mets, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were the slight underdogs at +109.

Chris Bassitt started for the Blue Jays and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, David Peterson got the start for the Mets and took the loss, going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up four runs.

Toronto’s offense was led by Ernie Clement, Spencer Horwitz, and Joey Loperfido, as they were the only three Blue Jays hitters to have more than one hit. Clement and Loperfido each scored three times. As for the Mets, their top hitter was Davis Schneider, who went 1/4 with two RBIs.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets are 79-66 overall this season, and they trail the Phillies by eight games for the NL East lead. New York is on the road today, taking on the Blue Jays, and they are 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets have won four straight series, and their overall series record is 25-16-8.

At home, the Mets are 40-34 this year, and they are just above .500 at 39-32 on the road. New York has been good as the favorite this year, going 52-37, and they are 27-29 as the underdog. The Mets are also 8-2 across their last ten games, and they are currently eight games over .500.

Despite their overall run line record being below .500, the Mets have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season when playing on the road. They have a run line record of 39-32 when playing away from Citi Field, and their average run differential in those games is +0.4 runs per game.

When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their combined run average is 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 71-69. The over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs on average this season, and their record when the line is set at 8 runs is 14-8-1. In total, 79 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 54.5% of their games. Additionally, 43 games have had over/under lines set below 8 runs, which accounts for 29.7% of their games.

Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 11-5 with a 3.43 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. In his 28 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Manaea finished with a no-decision after giving up four earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Per nine innings, Manaea is averaging 9.32 strikeouts and 3.2 walks.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets offense is 9th in the league at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are 6th in the league in home runs and have the 8th best team slugging percentage in the league. So far, they have been a pretty good hitting team, coming into the game with the 9th best team batting average in the league.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top home run hitters this season, with 30 and 31 homers, respectively. Lindor is batting .269 for the season, and Alonso is hitting just .239. Lindor’s 84 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and Alonso is 2nd with 79 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Mark Vientos has three homers but is hitting just .231.

Toronto is 69-77 overall and 14.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division and trail the Rays by 2.5 games for the 4th spot in the AL East. The Blue Jays are 3-7 over their last ten games and have dropped three straight series.

At home, the Blue Jays are 35-36 this season compared to 34-41 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 69 of their games, going 41-28 in those games. As for their games as the underdog, the Blue Jays are 28-49 this season. Toronto’s overall series record is 16-24-6, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Mets.

The Blue Jays are 27-44 against the run line at home, but they have been much better on the road, going 48-27. They are currently on a two-game run line win streak at home, and they have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog. Overall, they are 75-71 against the run line this season.

When the Toronto Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 8.8 runs per game. Overall, the Blue Jays have gone over the total in 75 of their 142 games this season, and their over/under record is 75-67. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over the total 23 times, under 14 times, and pushed twice.

Toronto is starting right-hander Bowden Francis today vs. the Mets. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.72 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Francis took the loss vs. the Phillies, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had won three straight starts. In his outing vs. the Angels on August 24th, he went eight innings and gave up just one earned run. Francis’ ERA at home is 5.39 compared to 3.91 on the road.

Over his last five games, Spencer Horwitz has been on fire for the Blue Jays, going 9/15 with three homers and six RBIs. This has helped him come into the game on a four-game hitting streak. For the season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the team’s top hitter, batting .321 with 28 homers and 94 RBIs. His 94 RBIs are 10th in the league.

Overall, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. Their team batting average of .242 is 11th in the league, and they are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. As a team, they are 20th in home runs.

We like the Blue Jays to pick up a win at home today against the Mets. At +105 on the money line, there is some good value in picking the Blue Jays to win straight up.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bowden Francis is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and with the Mets’ starter, Sean Manaea, projected to finish with six, we also like the Blue Jays to finish with more strikeouts as a team.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• Take the Mets on the moneyline
• The Blue Jays are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report