Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 9/10/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Preview

At 7:07 PM ET, the Mets and Blue Jays will face off in an interleague matchup. This one is taking place at Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Mets are the betting favorite on the money line (-135). The Blue Jays have lost two straight and are 5th in the AL East with a record of 68-77.

Chris Bassitt will be on the mound for the Blue Jays, while the Mets are starting David Peterson. New York is currently 2nd in the NL East with a record of 79-65.

Check out BetCoco for Toronto Blue Jays – New York Mets odds

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mets have recorded a 5-0 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
• The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 4-1 record.
• The Mets have a straight-up record of 9-1 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 7-3.
• The Blue Jays have a 7-3 record vs. the runline and a 8-2 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.

New York picked up a 3-2 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 7th and another two in the 8th. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -131 on the money line.

Tylor Megill pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Edwin Díaz closed things out. Tommy Nance took the loss for the Blue Jays out of the bullpen.

Ernie Clement was the only Blue Jays hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/2 with two singles. New York’s three runs came on just three hits.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets are 79-65 overall and trail the Phillies by seven games for the NL East lead. New York is 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets have won five straight road games, and they are 39-31 on the road this season.

So far, the Mets have been good as the favorite, going 52-36, and they are 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won four straight series, and their overall series record is 25-16-8. Over the last 10 games, the Mets are 9-1.

The Mets have been a .500 team against the run line this season, going 72-72. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 39-31. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game.

With a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game, the New York Mets have been involved in high-scoring contests this season. Their over/under record is 71-69, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over 14 times and under 8 times. Overall, 54.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 or higher, and they are currently on a three-game under streak.

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 9-1 with an ERA of 2.75. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is 1.31. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on six hits. Looking back further, he has given up two earned runs or fewer in each of his last three outings. Peterson has been especially effective on the road, coming in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 2.77.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Lindor’s 30 homers ranking 2nd on the team and Alonso’s 31 homers being the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. Lindor is also 13th in the MLB with 84 RBIs. Lindor has gone 7/27 in his last seven games, while Mark Vientos has also been swinging a hot bat, going 6/22 with three homers in his last six games.

Overall, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been slightly better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .247, which is 11th in the league.

With an overall record of 68-77, the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East, 15.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. Toronto has gone 20-26 in AL East matchups this season. The Blue Jays have lost two straight games, and they are 3-7 across their last 10.

At home, the Blue Jays are 34-36 this season, and they are 34-41 on the road. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 27-49 this year, and they are 41-28 when favored. Toronto has dropped three straight games as the home underdog, and their overall series record is 16-24-6.

When it comes to betting the run line, the Blue Jays have been a better option on the road than at home, where they are just 26-44. Overall, they are 74-71, with an average run differential of -0.4 runs per game. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 43-33, compared to 31-38 as the favorite. In their wins, they have an average run differential of +3.3 runs per game, while in losses, it’s -3.6 runs per game.

When the Toronto Blue Jays host the New York Mets, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the Blue Jays’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 75-67. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 23-14-1. Overall, 49.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies. In that September 3rd start, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and two homers. Bassitt finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back over his last four starts, he has allowed at least two homers in three of them. Bassitt’s ERA for the season is 4.30, along with a record of 9-13. Out of his 28 starts, he has 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.94 strikeouts per nine innings.

Over his last six games, Spencer Horwitz has been on fire for the Blue Jays, going 9/20 with three homers and five RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s home run lead for the season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat, as he comes into the game with a batting average of .322 and is 7th in the league with 94 RBIs.

Overall, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league.

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Blue Jays game is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at +114. With the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 6-5, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt is projected to pick up the win and finish with six strikeouts. As for David Peterson, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts but is 11th in terms of starters to pick up a win.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• We like the Blue Jays on the moneyline (+114)
• On the run line we like Blue Jays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report