Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Preview
At 7:07 PM from the Rogers Centre in Toronto, we have an American League matchup between the Twins and Blue Jays. Minnesota comes in with a record of 22-15, while the Blue Jays are 17-20. On the money line, the Twins are the slight favorite at -101.
Yusei Kikuchi is starting for the Blue Jays, and he is facing off against Joe Ryan for the Twins. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and you can catch this one on BSN.
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Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats
- The Twins are 5-0 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Blue Jays have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- The Twins are 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.
- The Blue Jays are 2-8 (favorite) and 6-4 (underdog).
Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Mariners, the Twins closed out the series with an impressive 11-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -113 on the money line. It was a big five-run 1st inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Mariners could only score one run, which came in the 2nd.
Pablo Lopez put together a good start for the Twins, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Minnesota’s offense was carried by Max Kepler, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Minnesota is on the road today vs. the Blue Jays, having won two straight games, and they are 22-15 overall. The Twins are 3rd in the AL Central, 1.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 12-7 in divisional matchups.
As the road team, the Twins have gone 11-7 and are 11-8 at home. Minnesota has been really good as the favorite this year, going 18-7, and they are 4-8 as the underdog. The Twins have won six straight games on the road, and they are 10-1 as the road favorite this season. Looking at their overall series record, the Twins have gone 6-4-2 and have won five straight series.
The Twins have been a solid bet against the run line this season, as they are 20-17 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 11-7 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the favorite, going 14-11 against the run line in those games. They have been outscored by an average of 0.6 runs per game this season.
The Minnesota Twins have seen their games go over the total in three straight contests, and their over/under record for the season is 19-17. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and their games have featured an average of 9.0 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 4-4. So far this season, 62.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Joe Ryan gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made seven starts this season and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 3.54. Ryan’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.01. In his 40 2/3 innings of work, he has allowed five home runs. Ryan’s last outing came against the Red Sox, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone 2-0 in his previous three starts.
Minnesota’s offense has been one of the league’s best so far this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (10th) and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best isolated power figure. Their team batting average is 11th in the league at .241.
Ryan Jeffers and Edouard Julien have been the Twins’ top home run hitters this season, with Jeffers leading the team with 29 RBIs and Julien 2nd with 15 RBIs. Jeffers is also batting .306 for the season and has gone 6/17 with three homers in his last five games. Max Kepler is on an 11-game hitting streak and is batting .500 over his last six games.
The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 5-3 win. After allowing one run to the Phillies in the bottom of the first, the Blue Jays responded with a run of their own. Toronto went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.
Chris Bassitt put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only two walks and struck out six Phillies batters. Kevin Kiermaier was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with two doubles, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Blue Jays also had a big 6th inning, with Davis Schneider driving in a run and scoring another.
Toronto is set to host the Twins today with an overall record of 17-20, placing them 5th in the AL East. They are 7.5 games behind the Orioles for the lead in the division. So far, they are 5-5 in divisional matchups. The Blue Jays closed out their series vs. the Phillies with a win and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Blue Jays are 8-7 this year compared to a 9-13 mark on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 13-9 but just 4-11 as the underdog. The Blue Jays are looking to win a series at home for the first time, as they are 2-2-0 overall. So far, they have dropped two straight series at home.
So far this season, the Blue Jays have been a tough team to bet on the run line with a record of 16-21, including a 6-9 mark at home. Their average run differential per game is -1.2 runs, and they have gone 10-12 against the run line on the road. They have been a favorite in 22 games, going 11-11 against the run line, while they are just 5-10 as an underdog.
When the Blue Jays have played games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs this season, the over has hit in three of seven games. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 16-20 overall. The average over/under line in their games this season has been set at 8 runs per game.
Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Twins at home. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 2.72. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is 1.16. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Kikuchi has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 9.76 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and are batting a combined .228. However, the team does have three hitters with at least 16 RBIs, and Justin Turner, Daulton Varsho, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. are all tied for 2nd on the team with four homers.
Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a nine-game hitting streak and has gone 13/36 in his last nine games. Over this stretch, he has six RBIs. Justin Turner has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/22 in his last seven games, but he has just two homers this season.
Our prediction for today’s Twins vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line, with the payout being -119. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 5-4.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under, with the line being set at 7.5 runs. However, we have this one ending with a combined nine runs, so we will be sticking with the Blue Jays to pick up the win.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips
- We like the Blue Jays on the moneyline (-119)
- The Blue Jays should also cover at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Yimi García | Questionable | Back |
Chad Green | Out | Shoulder |
Bowden Francis | Out | Forearm |
Yariel Rodríguez | Out | Back |
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
Byron Buxton | Out | Knee |
Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
Brock Stewart | Out | Shoulder |
Royce Lewis | Out | Quadricep |
Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
Josh Winder | Out | Shoulder |
Daniel Duarte | Out | Shoulder |