Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Betting Tips 9/27/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Preview

At 7:07 PM ET, the Marlins and Blue Jays face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Marlins are 59-100 compared to the Blue Jays at 74-85.

BSFL will be televising Friday’s matchup, and the Blue Jays are the heavy favorite on the money line at -185. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup is Adam Oller for the Marlins and Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Marlins have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• In the Blue Jays’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Blue Jays have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Marlins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Twins, closing out their series with an 8-6 win. After allowing one run to the Twins in the bottom of the first, the Marlins responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 2nd inning. Miami went on to add another three runs in the 5th.

Anthony Maldonado picked up the win out of the bullpen for the Marlins, as Miami scored three runs in the top of the 13th. The Marlins were the +212 underdog going into this matchup.

Miami is 59-100 overall, and they are 35 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Marlins are in 5th place in the NL East and have gone 18-34 against other teams in the division. Today, they are on the road to take on the Blue Jays.

At home, the Marlins are just 30-51 this year, and they are 29-49 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 55-86 compared to just 4-14 as the favorite. Miami’s overall series record is 12-30-9, and they had lost two straight series before taking two of three from the Twins in their most recent series.

When betting the run line on the Marlins this season, it’s been best to take them on the road, where they are 40-38. They’ve been a good bet as the underdog, going 73-68, but as the favorite, they are just 2-16. They have an overall run line record of 75-84, and their average run margin is -1.4 runs per game.

The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Toronto Blue Jays today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Miami’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 84-69. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 30-25. So far this season, 20.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their current over streak is at 2 games.

Making the start for the Marlins today is right-hander Adam Oller. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 5.06. Oller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.47. In his 37 1/3 innings of work, he has issued 20 walks compared to 32 strikeouts. Oller’s last outing came on September 21st, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on eight hits. Before that outing, he had lost three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 28th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.4 runs per game. Miami’s offense is batting a collective .242 this season, which is 14th in the league, and they are also 14th in the league in terms of striking out.

Jake Burger has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 29 home runs are 13th in the league. He is also the Marlins’ leader in RBIs, with 74. Over his last 10 games, Burger is hitting .300 with four homers. Otto Lopez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 13/38 in his last 10 games.

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with a 6-1 win. After allowing one run to the Red Sox in the top of the first, the Blue Jays responded with two runs of their own. Toronto went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.

Starting for the Blue Jays was Kevin Gausman, who picked up the win while tossing six innings of one-run ball. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Toronto is 74-85 overall and trails the Rays by four games for the fourth spot in the AL East. So far, they are just 21-31 against other teams in the AL East. The Blue Jays are 19 games out of first place in the division.

The Blue Jays lost two of three games in their series vs. the Red Sox. Currently, they are on a three-series losing streak, and their overall series record is 17-28-6. As the home favorite, the Blue Jays are 32-23 this year, and they are 45-31 overall as the favorite. Toronto has gone just 35-46 on the road this year.

When it comes to the run line, the Blue Jays have been a much better bet on the road than at home. They have gone 51-30 against the run line on the road, compared to just 29-49 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog (47-36) than as a favorite (33-43).

When the Toronto Blue Jays are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their combined run average for the season is 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 79-76. The average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 23-20. This season, 28 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 17.6% of their games. Overall, 55.3% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs.

José Berríos will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss and gave up one earned run in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Rays, he gave up six hits, issued one walk, and gave up one homer. Before that outing, Berríos had won three straight starts. His ERA for the season is 3.38, along with a record of 16-10. Berríos has made 21 quality starts this year and has a total of 30 homers allowed. Per nine innings, he is averaging 2.42 walks compared to 7.08 strikeouts.

For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. This is also their home and road splits. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 14th in the league, and are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. However, they are just 17th in slugging percentage and have the 21st ranked home run total in the league.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a team-high 30 home runs and is batting .325 for the season. He has been even better of late, going 16/39 in his last nine games, including two homers. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers, but is batting just .219 for the season.

We see a lot of value in taking the Marlins on the money line at +155. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Marlins, and with the payout, we see this as a great opportunity to take the Marlins to win outright.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Adam Oller going five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for José Berríos, we have him going six innings and also finishing with five strikeouts. However, we have Berríos getting the win in just 7th best among starters.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips

• We like the Marlins on the moneyline (+155)
• The Marlins are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

Miami Marlins Injury Report