Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Betting Tips 7/20/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Preview

From the Rogers Centre in Toronto, the Tigers and Blue Jays face off in an AL matchup. This one gets started at 3:07 PM ET, and SNET will be televising it. The Blue Jays are favored at -136 on the money line, while the Tigers have a money line payout of +115. The over/under line is currently 8 runs.

Detroit comes in with a record of 48-50 and they will be looking to extend their three-game winning streak. Toronto, meanwhile, is 44-53, and they are 5th in the AL East. The Blue Jays’ money line odds are at -136 compared to the Tigers at +115. Reese Olson is starting for the Tigers, while the Blue Jays are going with Yusei Kikuchi.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Tigers are 4-1. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Blue Jays have gone 3-2 (SU) and 4-1 in their previous five home contests.
• The Blue Jays have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Tigers have won 8-2 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 9-1 against the runline.

Detroit rallied for two runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Blue Jays series. The Tigers scored three runs in the 4th inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 8th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +112 on the money line.

Jack Flaherty started for the Tigers, going 5 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out eight. He did not factor in the decision, as Tyler Holton got the win out of the bullpen. Chris Bassitt had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, giving up five earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.

Wenceel Perez and Mark Canha each homered for the Tigers, while Gio Urshela went 2/4 with an RBI. George Springer hit the game’s only other home run while going 1/4 with two RBIs.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Detroit is 48-50 overall and 4th in the AL Central this season. They are 12.0 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Tigers have won three straight games and are 8-2 across their last 10. This season, they have gone 16-13 against other teams in the AL Central.

So far, the Tigers have been even at home, going 24-24. On the road, they are 24-26 this year. As the road underdog, the Tigers are 18-21 this season, and they have won four straight as the underdog overall. Detroit’s overall series record is 13-14-4, and they have won three straight series.

The Tigers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, with a 47-51 record. They have been especially profitable as the underdog, going 36-21 on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while it drops to -3.5 in losses. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 27-23 on the run line on the road this season.

The Detroit Tigers are on the road against the Toronto Blue Jays today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Tigers games this season is 8.6 runs. Detroit has a 52-43 O/U record on the year, and the average O/U line for their games is 8 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 8 runs, the Tigers are 12-11-2 O/U. Overall, 37.8% of their games have had O/U lines set at over 8 runs, while 36.7% have had lines set at under 8 runs.

Detroit is sending right-hander Reese Olson to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 4-8 with a 3.30 ERA. So far, opponents are batting .233 off Olsen this season. In his 18 appearances, he has turned in nine quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Olsen picked up the win vs. the Guardians, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Olsen’s ERA on the road is 3.4 compared to 4.35 at home.

Over his last seven games, Riley Greene has been on fire at the plate, going 12/28 (.429) with six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .271 with 17 homers and 51 RBIs. Greene’s 17 homers are 11th in the league and the best mark on the Tigers. Matt Vierling is 2nd on the team with 12 homers and is batting .248 for the season.

Looking at the Tigers’ team stats, they are 18th in the league at 4.3 runs per game. This is also where they sit in terms of home runs, as they have a total of 101 homers. As a team, they are batting just .234 and have an on-base percentage of only .299.

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 15 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 44-53 as they get set to host the Tigers today. They are 15.0 games behind the Rays for 4th place in the division.

As the Blue Jays look to even the series vs. the Tigers, they are on a three-game losing streak at home. So far, they are 21-25 at home and 23-28 on the road. This year, the Blue Jays have been much better as the favorite, going 30-21 compared to 14-32 as the underdog. Toronto’s overall series record is 11-14-6 this year.

The Blue Jays have been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 32-19. Their overall run line record is 47-50, and they have an average run margin of -0.7 runs per game. They have lost six straight run line bets at home, where they are 15-31 on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.1 runs per game, compared to -3.9 runs per game in losses.

The Toronto Blue Jays have been on a roll lately, hitting the over in six straight games. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 49-45. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over 15 times, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. So far this season, 42.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and they have gone over in 41 of those games.

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Tigers at home. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 4-8 with an ERA of 4.42. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is 1.30. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up seven earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone 2-0 with three straight no-decisions. Kikuchi has allowed at least two home runs in three of his last four outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.93 strikeouts and 2.21 walks.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.9 runs per game. As a team, the Blue Jays are batting just .236, and their on-base percentage and slugging percentage are both right around the league average.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 15 home runs are 13th in the league. Overall, he is batting .288 with a team-high 57 RBIs. However, he has hit just .212 over his last eight games. Daulton Varsho and Spencer Horwitz have been two of Toronto’s hottest hitters of late, with Varsho on a four-game hitting streak and Horwitz on a five-game streak.

Our pick for this one is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -136. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a final score of 6-5. At -136, there is some good value in this pick.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yusei Kikuchi finishing with seven strikeouts. As for Reese Olson, we have him finishing with five strikeouts. However, Olson is projected to finish with a better ERA than Kikuchi.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips

• Take the Blue Jays on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Tigers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

Detroit Tigers Injury Report