Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Betting Tips 6/16/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Preview

From the Rogers Centre in Toronto, we have the Guardians and Blue Jays facing off. This AL matchup has a start time of 1:37 PM ET. SNET will be televising this one, and the Blue Jays are favored on the money line (-130).

Cleveland comes in with a record of 44-24 and they are 1st in the AL Central, while the Blue Jays are 4th in the AL East with an overall record of 34-36. Today’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Guardians are starting Ben Lively. Toronto will send Jose Berrios to the mound.

Check out BetCoco for Toronto Blue Jays – Cleveland Guardians odds

Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats

• The Guardians are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
• On the opposing side, the Blue Jays have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
• The Blue Jays have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Guardians’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 7-3 straight-up and 7-3 vs. the runline.

Toronto cruised to an easy 5-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a three-run 2nd inning and added two more in the 5th. As for the Guardians, they had their best scoring chance in the 4th when they loaded the bases with one out, but could only push across one run.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa was the only Blue Jays hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/3 with an RBI. Steven Kwan did the most damage for the Guardians, going 3/4.

Trevor Richards only went 2 1/3 innings for the Blue Jays but didn’t give up a run or a hit. He finished the game with just one strikeout and allowed two walks. Bowden Francis got the win out of the bullpen.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Cleveland comes into today’s road matchup vs. the Blue Jays with an overall record of 44-24, good or 1st place in the AL Central. They currently hold a five-game lead over the Royals for the top spot in the division. So far, they have gone 11-6 in divisional games this year.

The Guardians have been solid at home, going 21-8, and they have also been good on the road, posting a record of 23-16. This season, they have been really good in day games, going 17-7. So far, they have been the favorite in 44 games, going 30-14, and 14-10 as the underdog. The Guardians’ overall series record is 15-5-2, and they are 1-1 in their current series with the Blue Jays. Looking back at their last 10 games, they are 5-5.

When the Guardians win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, with an average run differential of +3.6 runs per game. In their losses, however, they’re getting outscored by an average of -2.9 runs. Overall, Cleveland is 38-30 against the run line this season, and they’ve been particularly good against the run line as the underdog, going 17-7.

The Cleveland Guardians have been a strong over team this season, with an over/under record of 31-32. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and when the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over 11 times and under 7 times. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 66.2% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs. The under has hit in their last four games.

Through 10 starts, Ben Lively has a record of 6-2 and an ERA of 2.59. He has made three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that start vs. the Marlins, he went five innings and got the win. Lively has won each of his last three starts. The right-hander has been slightly better on the road, coming in with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 3.07. At home, his ERA is 1.92.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the top power hitters for the Guardians this season, as Ramirez’s 18 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor is right behind him with 17 long balls. Ramirez’s 62 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB, and Naylor’s 50 RBIs are 6th in the league. Naylor comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak, and Steven Kwan has been hot for a while now, going 12/23 in his last six games.

Overall, the Guardians are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been consistent at home and on the road, also averaging 4.9 runs per contest in both situations. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 10th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of avoiding strikeouts.

Toronto is 34-36 overall and 14.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Blue Jays are 9-10 in divisional games this year. Toronto will be looking to pick up a win today, as they are coming off a loss and are just 6-4 in their last 10 games.

At home, the Blue Jays are 17-16 this year compared to 17-20 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 28-18 and 6-18 as the underdog. So far, they have been good as the home favorite, putting together a record of 17-11. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 8-10-4, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Guardians.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.2 runs per game. However, they are just 33-37 against the run line this season, including a 12-21 mark at home. They have been a better bet on the road, going 21-16 against the run line, including a 10-14 mark as an underdog.

The Toronto Blue Jays are at home today against the Cleveland Guardians with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Blue Jays have had a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-39. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-8. Overall, 70.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.

José Berríos will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers, as he gets the start for the Blue Jays today. In that June 10th start, he took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Berríos has made 14 starts, and his ERA for the season is 2.93. Berríos has a record of 5-5 and has pitched much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 1.89 compared to 4.71 on the road. One of his 11 quality starts came in his last outing.

So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .231, which is 15th in the league, and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. However, they have been near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of just .363.

Over his last six games, Davis Schneider has gone 3/14 with one home run and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .230, but his eight home runs are the 2nd most on the team. Toronto’s top home run hitter is Daulton Varsho, who has 10 homers but is batting just .216. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .277 with seven homers and 30 RBIs.

Our prediction for today’s Guardians vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -130. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 6-5, which means you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have José Berríos finishing with four strikeouts, and for the Guardians’ starter, Ben Lively, we have him finishing with just four as well. Lively is projected to go the distance, while Berríos is projected to go around six innings.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips

• Take the Blue Jays on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Guardians (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report