Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox Preview
The White Sox and Blue Jays are set to face off in an AL matchup at 7:07 PM ET at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. However, the Blue Jays are heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -182 compared to the White Sox at +153. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Chicago will be looking to pull off the road upset with Garrett Crochet on the mound, while the Blue Jays are starting Yusei Kikuchi. Toronto comes into the game with a record of 21-25 and are currently on a four-game winning streak. The White Sox are 5th in the AL Central with an overall record of 14-34.
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Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the White Sox have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Blue Jays have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Blue Jays have a straight-up record of 3-7, while going 3-7 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the White Sox have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
Toronto cruised to a 9-3 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 2nd inning, scoring two runs in the 1st and adding seven more in the 2nd. On the other side, the White Sox got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final two runs in the 7th.
Jose Berrios only went six innings for the Blue Jays but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the White Sox, Erick Fedde got tagged for five runs in six innings of work.
Danny Jansen and Daulton Varsho each homered for the Blue Jays, while Bo Bichette went 4/4 with three runs scored. Paul DeJong hit the game’s other home run for the White Sox, going 3/4.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
Chicago is just 14-34 overall this season, and they have dropped four straight games, spanning across the first game of this series with the Blue Jays and their final three games of the previous series. So far, they are just 5-19 in divisional games, and they trail the Guardians by 17 games in the AL Central.
At home, the White Sox are 10-14, but they have been really bad on the road, coming in with a mark of 4-20. This year, the White Sox have been the underdog in most of their games, and they are just 2-0 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 4-10-1 this year.
Chicago has been a tough team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 22-26 overall. They are 15-9 at home but just 7-17 on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last four road games and are 4-0 against the run line as the favorite.
The White Sox and Blue Jays have gone over the total in two straight games. The White Sox have gone over the total in five of their last six games. The White Sox have gone over the total in 21 of their 47 games this season. The White Sox have gone over the total in 11 of their 16 road games this season. The White Sox have gone over the total in 10 of their last 12 road games. The White Sox have gone over the total in 12 of their last 15 games against teams with a winning record.
Left-hander Garrett Crochet is starting for the White Sox today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and has a record of 4-4 with an ERA of 4.18. Crochet has been pitching well recently, as he has won each of his last three starts. In his most recent outing, he didn’t give up a run in five innings of work. Crochet’s WHIP for the season is 1.01, and opponents are batting .202 off him this year. For the season, he has allowed eight homers. Crochet has made four starts on the road and has a 1-2 record with a 9.34 ERA.
As a team, the White Sox are averaging just 2.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. Their batting average of .217 is also the worst in the MLB right now. The team’s home run total of 34 is 20th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are tied for the team lead in RBIs, but both are hitting below .200 for the season. Paul DeJong has a better average at .246 and is coming off a stretch in which he went 4/17. Eloy Jiménez is on a four-game hitting streak but is batting just .221 for the season.
Toronto is 21-25 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East, where they trail the Yankees by 10.5 games. The Blue Jays have gone 7-8 in divisional games this year. Toronto has won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10.
At home, the Blue Jays are 11-11 this season and 10-14 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 28 games, going 16-12 in those contests. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are just 5-13 this season. Toronto’s overall series record is 4-8-3, and they have lost four straight series at home.
When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.9 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.0 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 21-25, and they are 9-13 at home. They are 12-12 on the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in their last two games and are 2-0 on the run line as the favorite in those games.
The Blue Jays’ games have had an average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 19-26. The over/under line for today’s game against the White Sox is set at 7.5 runs. So far this season, 71.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. In their last game, they combined for 12 runs, which was over the 7.5 run line.
Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the White Sox at home. Kikuchi has made nine starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 2.60. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and has a WHIP of 1.10. In his last outing, Kikuchi finished with a no-decision, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Kikuchi has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 2.81 compared to 2.56 on the road.
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 27th in the MLB. They have also been one of the worst home run-hitting teams in the league, as their 39 homers is only 18th in the league. As a team, they are batting .231, which is 15th in the league.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a team-high batting average of .286 and has gone 7/19 in his last five games. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. Danny Jansen is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 6/15 in his last four games and is batting .333 for the season. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider both have one homer in their last five games, but are batting just .211 over that stretch.
Our prediction for the Blue Jays vs. White Sox is to take the Blue Jays to win this one at home. However, with the money line payout being -182, we actually like the over to 7.5 runs, with the payout being at -108.
Looking at some of our projections, Yusei Kikuchi is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a 5-4 strikeout advantage over Garrett Crochet.
If you’re looking for a payout, some other options would be to take the Blue Jays to finish with more hits, as we have them finishing with nine compared to the White Sox with nine.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Blue Jays on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Green | Out | Shoulder |
| Bowden Francis | Out | Forearm |
| Yariel Rodríguez | Out | Back |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Out | Hip |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Ramos | Out | Quadricep |
| Shane Drohan | Out | Shoulder |
