Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox Preview
At 3:07 PM ET, the White Sox and Blue Jays face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Blue Jays are heavily favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -202 compared to the White Sox at +171. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Chicago will be looking to pull off the upset with a money line payout of +171, while the Blue Jays will be starting Jose Berrios. Toronto is 20-25, and the White Sox are 14-33, putting them 5th in the AL Central. NBCS is carrying this one on TV.
Check out BetCoco for Toronto Blue Jays – Chicago White Sox odds
Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the White Sox have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Blue Jays have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Blue Jays have a straight-up record of 3-7, while going 2-8 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the White Sox have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
The White Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 7-2 loss. Chicago was the +261 underdog on the money line going into this road game. Things started off well for the White Sox, as they got on the board with two runs in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Yankees scored two runs in the bottom of the 2nd.
Chicago started Chris Flexen, and he took the loss, going only four innings and giving up seven earned runs on eight hits. Offensively, the White Sox only had two fewer hits than the Yankees but scored just two runs. Corey Julks had a big game, going 2/3 with a homer and scoring both of the White Sox’s runs.
Chicago is on the road today to take on the Blue Jays, and they come in having lost three straight games. The White Sox are 14-33 this season, which puts them 16 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they are just 5-19 against other AL Central teams.
At home, the White Sox are 10-14 but have gone just 4-19 on the road. This season, the White Sox have struggled in day games, going 5-15. As the underdog, the White Sox are 12-33 this year, and they have dropped three straight as the underdog overall. Chicago’s overall series record is 4-10-1, and they were swept by the Yankees in their most recent series.
Chicago has been a poor run line team this season, going 22-25, but they have been much better at home, going 15-9. They have been even worse on the road, going 7-16, and they have lost their last three road run line bets. They have been a run line underdog in all but two games this season, going 20-25 overall. Their average run differential in winning games is +2.3, while their average run differential in losing games is -4.0.
The Chicago White Sox have an over/under record of 20-26 this season, and their games have averaged 7.8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they have a record of 5-3. Overall, 44.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 38.3% have had lines set below 8 runs.
Right-hander Erick Fedde gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 4-0 with a 2.60 ERA. Fedde has been especially good at home, coming in with an ERA of 1.20 compared to 5.22 on the road. In his last outing, he didn’t give up a run in seven innings of work, picking up the win. Fedde has allowed a total of seven home runs this season and is averaging 8.65 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the White Sox offense is averaging just 2.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also the league’s worst home run hitting team and have the worst team batting average in the MLB. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 15, but both have struggled in terms of batting average, with Vaughn hitting .202 and Benintendi at .195. Paul DeJong has a team-high six homers but is batting just .230 for the season. Over his last eight games, Vaughn has gone 7/30 with two homers.
The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rays, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Rays in the top of the first, the Blue Jays responded with a run of their own and added another three runs in the 4th inning. Toronto went on to close things out with a 5-2 win, and Alek Manoah was excellent on the mound, going seven innings and not giving up a run.
Daniel Vogelbach was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs. The Blue Jays really broke things open with their three-run 4th inning, and Vogelbach’s homer was the big hit. The Blue Jays also added another run in the 2nd.
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 11.5 games. Overall, the Blue Jays are 20-25 as they get set to host the White Sox today. The Blue Jays are 10-11 at home compared to 10-14 on the road.
So far, the Blue Jays are just 7-8 in AL East matchups. As the favorite, the Blue Jays have gone 15-12 this year and 5-13 as the underdog. Toronto’s overall series record is 4-8-3, and they have dropped four straight series at home.
When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs per game. Their run line record is 20-25 overall, including 8-13 at home and 12-12 on the road. As the favorite, they are 13-14 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 7-11.
The Blue Jays have had a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 18-26. In their last 10 games, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, and their record in those games is 5-6-1. So far this season, 46.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher.
José Berríos gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, where he gave up eight earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work. In that start, he also gave up two home runs. Overall, Berríos has a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 2.82. Opponents are batting .206 off the right-hander this season. Berríos has made seven quality starts this year and has a total of eight home runs allowed. Per nine innings, he is averaging 2.65 walks compared to 6.96 strikeouts.
Over the team’s last nine games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire, going 17/35 (.486) with five runs batted in. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are the team’s top home run hitters, but Varsho has struggled of late, going just 4/35 in his last nine games. Toronto will be looking for him to get back on track, as he is their top home run hitter for the season.
As a team, the Blue Jays are near the bottom of the league in scoring, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s worst home run hitting teams and have a collective batting average of just .228. Currently, they have three hitters with at least 20 RBIs, with Daulton Varsho leading the team with 21 runs batted in.
Given the payout, we don’t see the White Sox as a good value pick to win this one. Instead, we recommend taking the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs, and we have this one finishing with a 5-4 win for the Blue Jays.
Looking at some potential player props, we have José Berríos finishing with five strikeouts compared to Erick Fedde with four. And in terms of team stats, the Blue Jays are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the White Sox with nine.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Blue Jays on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Green | Out | Shoulder |
| Bowden Francis | Out | Forearm |
| Yariel Rodríguez | Out | Back |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Out | Hip |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Ramos | Out | Quadricep |
| Shane Drohan | Out | Shoulder |
