Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 9/24/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Preview

The Red Sox and Blue Jays will face off in an AL East matchup at 7:07 PM ET at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Boston is currently on a three-game winning streak and has an overall record of 79-78, while the Blue Jays have lost four straight and are 5th in the AL East at 73-84.

Brayan Bello will go for the Red Sox, while the Blue Jays are set to start Bowden Francis. On the money line, the Blue Jays are favored at -132, while the odds have Boston at +112. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and this game will be televised on NESN.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• The Red Sox are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
• The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• The Blue Jays have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Red Sox have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.

Boston picked up a 4-1 road win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only run in the 9th.

Tanner Houck only went five innings for the Red Sox but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just one hit allowed and one strikeout. On the other side, Chris Bassitt got the start for the Blue Jays, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs.

Wilyer Abreu and Jarren Duran each had two hits and an RBI for Boston’s offense. Abreu, Duran, Alex Verdugo, and Hunter Renfroe each scored a run for the Red Sox.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Boston is 79-78 overall and is 13.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox have won three straight games, and they are 23-24 against other teams in the AL East. So far, they have played 157 games, and they are looking to get back to .500 today.

At home, the Red Sox are 37-41 this year and have gone 42-37 on the road. As the road underdog, the Red Sox are 27-30 this year, and they have won three straight as the underdog overall. Boston’s series record is 23-20-6 this year.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 45-34. Their average run margin on the road is +0.5, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog.

The Boston Red Sox are on the road against the Toronto Blue Jays today. The combined run average for Red Sox games this season is 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 77-72. The average over/under line for Red Sox games this season is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-11-3. In 66.9% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs.

Brayan Bello will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Blue Jays today, as he gave up four earned runs in 5 innings of work vs. the Mets on September 2nd. In that outing, he gave up a home run. Bello’s record for the season is 14-8, and he has an ERA of 4.49. Looking at his overall numbers, Bello has made 29 starts, and opponents are batting .250 this season. His ERA at home is 5.95 compared to 4.44 on the road. Bello has a BB/9 figure of 3.52 compared to 8.47 strikeouts per nine innings.

As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Boston is one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, as they are 5th in the league in homers and have the league’s best BABIP at .32.

Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 28 homers are 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. He also leads the Red Sox with 83 RBIs. Jarren Duran has been consistent for the Red Sox, hitting .286 for the season and is currently on a four-game hitting streak. However, he has gone just 8/33 in his last eight games.

Toronto is 73-84 overall and trails the Yankees by 19.5 games in the AL East. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division and are 20-30 against other AL East teams. The Blue Jays are on a four-game losing streak, and they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox.

At home, the Blue Jays are 38-38 this year compared to 35-46 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 74 games, going 44-30 in those matchups. As the home favorite, the Blue Jays have a record of 31-22 this year. Toronto’s overall series record is 17-26-6, and they have lost two straight series.

Despite being just below .500 overall on the run line, the Blue Jays have been a solid bet on the road, going 51-30. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 47-36, compared to just 32-42 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it’s -3.5 in losing games.

The Toronto Blue Jays are playing at home against the Boston Red Sox, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. The Blue Jays’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-75. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 24-18-2. Overall, 45.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 6 games.

Toronto is sending right-hander Bowden Francis to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.47 ERA. Francis’ WHIP for the season is .93, and opponents are batting .195 off him this year. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.03 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Francis took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone 1-0 with a 0.0 ERA in two straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the MLB. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a huge bright spot for the Blue Jays, as he is batting .324 for the season and has 30 homers, which is 11th in the league. Guerrero Jr. is also 10th in the league with 100 RBIs.

Guerrero Jr. has been even better of late, hitting .375 over his last 10 games. During this stretch, he has two homers and six RBIs. Davis Schneider has also been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .267 with three homers in his last nine games. Justin Turner and Nathan Lukes are both on four-game hitting streaks for the Blue Jays.

Given that the Blue Jays are predicted to win this game and that they are at -132 on the money line, this is the best way to go. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Blue Jays, and with the payout for them to win straight up, this is the route we would recommend.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bowden Francis is predicted to finish with more strikeouts than Brayan Bello, and we also have his finishing with a better ERA. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to a Blue Jays and Red Sox over pick, as the line is sitting at 8 runs, and we have this one finishing with 11 runs.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips

• Take the Blue Jays on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Red Sox (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

Boston Red Sox Injury Report