Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 9/23/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Preview

Chris Bassitt will start for the Blue Jays on Monday, as they look to end a three-game losing streak vs. the Red Sox, who are 78-78 overall and 4th in the AL East. Boston has won two straight. Toronto is favored at -118 on the money line, while the Red Sox are at +100. Tonight’s over/under line is at 8 runs.

First pitch from the Rogers Centre in Toronto is set for 7:07 PM ET. This AL East matchup can be seen on NESN, and the Blue Jays are 5th in the division with a record of 73-83.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• 2-3 is the record of Red Sox in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• The Blue Jays have a straight-up record of 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Red Sox’s previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 7-3 vs. the runline.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Boston closed out their series vs. the Twins with an impressive 9-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +102 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Twins could only score three runs, all of which came in the 5th.

Kutter Crawford put together a good start for the Red Sox, going 7 2/3 innings, and giving up just three earned runs, and picking up the win. Boston’s offense was carried by Romy Gonzalez, who went 1/4 with a homer and four RBIs.

Boston is 78-78 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East, where they trail the Yankees by 14 games. The Red Sox are on a two-game winning streak, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games. So far, they are 22-24 against other teams in the AL East.

At home, the Red Sox are 37-41 this year and 41-37 on the road. As the underdog, Boston has an overall record of 37-43 and 26-30 as the road underdog. They have won two straight games as the underdog. So far this year, the Red Sox are 41-35 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 23-20-6, and they won their most recent series vs. the Twins.

The Red Sox have been a solid run line team on the road this season, going 44-34, but have struggled at home, going 30-48. They have an average run margin of 0.1 runs per game this season, and their overall run line record is 74-82. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 46-34 on the run line, compared to 28-48 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is 3.9 runs per game, while it drops to -3.8 runs per game in losses.

Today’s over/under line for the Boston Red Sox game against the Toronto Blue Jays is set at 8 runs. The Red Sox have a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 77-71. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-10-3. This season, 67.3% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.

Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 8-10 with an ERA of 3.21. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 29 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 19 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Houck finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in four innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Houck has given up a total of 11 homers this season.

Boston’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are 5th in home runs and have the league’s best team BABIP at .32. The Red Sox are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. Boston has been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest.

Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 28 home runs are 2nd on the team and 14th in the league. He is also leading the Red Sox with 83 RBIs and comes into the game with a batting average of .272. Tyler O’Neill has also been a big power threat, with 31 homers, which is the best mark on the team and 11th in the MLB. Jarren Duran has the team’s 3rd best batting average and is on a three-game hitting streak.

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rays scored a run in the bottom of the 9th to pick up the win. Toronto was the +111 underdog on the money line going into the game.

Ryan Burr got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss. He only lasted 1 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs. Offensively, the Blue Jays had 11 hits but only scored three runs. Ernie Clement was hot at the top of the lineup, going 3/5 with a double, run scored, and RBI.

Toronto is 73-83 overall and is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 19 games for the division lead. The Blue Jays are also five games behind the Red Sox for 4th place in the division. Heading into today’s game, the Blue Jays have lost three straight games, and they dropped their final three games of their series vs. the Rays.

At home, the Blue Jays are 38-37 this year and 35-46 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 44-29 this year and 29-54 as the underdog. So far, they have a series record of 17-26-6, and they have lost two straight series.

When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of -0.3 runs per game. Their run line record is 79-77, and they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 51-30 vs. the run line. At home, they are just 28-47 vs. the run line.

When the Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the combined run average in their games is 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 78-74, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 24-17-2. Overall, 71 of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, which accounts for 45.5% of their games. 42 games have had over/under lines set at under 8 runs, which accounts for 26.9% of their games. The under has hit in their last five games.

Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and comes in with a record of 10-13 and an ERA of 4.16. So far, he has made 30 starts, and opponents are batting .263 off him this season. In his 30 appearances, Bassitt has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.96 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Bassitt finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came at home, where his ERA is 5.55 compared to 3.94 on the road.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 20th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.2 runs per game. This number is the same whether they are at home or on the road. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and have been one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. As a team, they are 19th in home runs and have a collective isolated power number of just .150.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 30 homers are the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. He is also 10th in the league with 100 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. has also been hot of late, going 13/29 in his last seven games. Justin Turner and Guerrero Jr. both come into the game with four-game hitting streaks.

With the Blue Jays at -118 on the money line, this is where we see the best value for this Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Blue Jays, and with the payout for a Blue Jays win, we recommend taking them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Chris Bassitt finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters in today’s games. As for Tanner Houck, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is fourth among starters.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips

• Take the Blue Jays on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Red Sox (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

Boston Red Sox Injury Report