Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Orioles and Blue Jays are set to face off in an AL East matchup at 1:07 PM ET at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Baltimore is currently 2nd in the AL East with a record of 39-21, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the division at 29-32.
The money line odds have the Orioles at -104 compared to the Blue Jays at -117, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. MASN will be televising this game, and the Blue Jays are starting Yusei Kikuchi, while the Orioles have Cade Povich on the mound.
Check out BetCoco for Toronto Blue Jays – Baltimore Orioles odds
Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Orioles have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Blue Jays have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have a record of 7-3, while as the underdog, they have a record of 5-5.
- The Blue Jays are 6-4 (favorite) and 5-5 (underdog).
Toronto picked up a 3-2 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a late rally, scoring one run in the 9th to pick up the win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -115 on the money line.
Jose Berrios got the start for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just two strikeouts but induced 12 ground ball outs. Yimi Garcia got the win out of the bullpen, and Craig Kimbrel took the loss for the Orioles.
Justin Turner went 3/4 with an RBI, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa also had two hits and drove in two runs for Toronto’s offense. Anthony Santander hit the game’s only home run and went 1/3 for the Orioles.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Orioles are 39-21 overall, putting them 3.5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. This season, they have been really good against other AL East teams, going 13-5. Baltimore is on a two-game winning streak, and they have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games overall.
At home, the Orioles have gone 21-12 this season, and they have been really good on the road, where they are 18-9. So far, they have been favored in 50 games, going 32-18 in those games. As for their matchups as the underdog, the Orioles are 7-3 this season.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 17-10. They have covered the run line in seven straight road games and are 8-2 as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8 runs per game.
When the Baltimore Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Orioles games is 30-23, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 10-7. So far this season, 25.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, while 46.7% have had lower lines.
The Orioles will be sending Cade Povich to the mound today against the Blue Jays. He’s eager to kick off his season with a solid performance, marking his debut for the year.
Not only are the Orioles the best home run hitting team in the league, but they also lead the MLB in runs per game at 5.1. This has been the case both at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 7th in the league, and they also have the top slugging percentage in the league. Baltimore’s team ISO of .196 is the best in the league.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Rutschman batting .304 with 10 homers, and Henderson has gone deep 19 times while batting .264. Anthony Santander has 12 homers but is batting just .225. However, he does have a four-game hitting streak and has gone 8/36 in his last nine games.
Toronto is 29-32 overall and trails the Yankees by 14 games in the AL East. The Blue Jays are in 5th place in the division and have gone 8-10 in divisional games this year. At home, they are 15-15 compared to 14-17 on the road. So far, they have struggled as the underdog, going 6-16, which includes dropping three straight as the underdog.
This season, the Blue Jays have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 23-16. They have an overall series record of 7-9-3 and have won two straight series. The Blue Jays have lost two of three in their series vs. the Orioles.
When betting on the Blue Jays’ run line, it’s been best to fade them at home, where they are 11-19 against the run line. Toronto’s overall run line record is 28-33. The Jays have been favored in 39 games, going 19-20 against the run line in those contests. They’ve been an underdog in 22 games, going 9-13 against the run line.
Today’s over/under line for the Blue Jays’ game against the Orioles is set at 8.5 runs, which matches their combined run average for the season. Toronto has played 60.7% of their games with lower lines than this, and their over/under record is 27-33 on the season.
Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Orioles at home. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 2-5 with a 3.66 ERA. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is 1.25, and opponents are batting .264 off him this year. In his last outing, Kikuchi took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, he has allowed at least one homer in each outing. The last time he faced the Orioles, he gave up one homer and finished with a no-decision.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst in the league. As a team, they are batting .234, which is 16th in the league, and their collective on-base percentage of .310 is also just 14th. Toronto does have some power in their lineup, as they are 17th in home runs, but their isolated power of .136 is also below average.
Over his last eight games, Davis Schneider has gone 9/34 (.265) with one homer and six RBIs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .246 with seven homers. Daulton Varsho leads the Blue Jays with 31 RBIs but is batting just .212 for the season.
Our pick for today’s Orioles vs. Blue Jays game is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout sitting at -104. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yusei Kikuchi finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing seventh among starters. As for the Orioles lineup, they are projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which has them eighth in the league.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- We like the Orioles on the moneyline (-104)
- The Orioles are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Romano | Out | Elbow |
| Alek Manoah | Out | Elbow |
| Yariel Rodríguez | Out | Back |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | Out | Head |
| Dean Kremer | Out | Triceps |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
