Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 6/3/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Orioles and Blue Jays face off in an AL East matchup at 7:07 PM ET at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Baltimore is 2nd in the AL East with a record of 37-20, while the Blue Jays are 4th in the division at 28-30.

Kevin Gausman is set to start for the Blue Jays, while the Orioles are sending Grayson Rodriguez to the mound. Baltimore is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is currently 8 runs.

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Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Orioles are 4-1. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Blue Jays have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• Over their last ten games, the Orioles have a 8-2 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 8-2 record vs. the runline.
• Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Blue Jays have gone 5-5 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Baltimore is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 4-3 loss to Tampa Bay, Cole Irvin was excellent on the mound, allowing just two runs while pitching into the 6th inning. They also got a big offensive performance from Gunnar Henderson, going 3/3 with a homer and scoring three runs.

Dillon Tate took the loss out of the bullpen for the Orioles, as Baltimore allowed two runs in the top of the 8th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Orioles were favored at -130 at home.

With an overall record of 37-20, the Orioles trail the Yankees by three games for the AL East lead. Baltimore is 11-4 against other teams in the AL East, and they have won three straight series. Baltimore’s overall series record is 13-4-2 this year.

So far, the Orioles have been really good as the favorite, going 30-18, and they are 7-2 as the underdog. They have also been good on the road this year, going 16-8 compared to 21-12 at home. Baltimore has won four straight games on the road, and they are 10-7 as the road favorite this year.

When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 14-10. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and have an average run margin of 1.3 runs per game away from home.

When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-22. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 8-3-2. Overall, 56.1% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, while 21.1% have had lines set below 8 runs.

Through nine starts, Grayson Rodriguez has a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.53. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.33. Rodriguez’s last outing came on May 28th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had put together a string of four straight starts with a quality outing. The right-hander has a total of four quality starts this season. Per nine innings, Rodriguez is averaging 10.76 strikeouts and 3.71 walks.

As a team, the Orioles are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been especially good at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in home runs and have the best isolated power mark in the league. Baltimore also has the league’s 7th best team batting average at .249.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with both players having 10 home runs. Rutschman is batting .304 for the season and has gone deep in six straight games. Henderson has also been hot of late, going 7/23 in his last six games with two homers.

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. After allowing one run to the Pirates in the top of the third, the Blue Jays responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 3rd. Toronto went on to close out the 3rd with another run, and the Pirates added two more in the top of the 5th to make things interesting. Going into the game, the Blue Jays were at -178 on the money line.

Chris Bassitt got the start for the Blue Jays, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on eight hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Toronto is set to host the Orioles with an overall record of 28-30, and they are 12.5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. So far, they are 7-8 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays took the series win in their most recent series vs. the Pirates.

At home, the Blue Jays are 14-13 this year compared to 14-17 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 22-16 and 6-14 as the underdog. So far, they have dropped three straight games as the home underdog. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 7-9-3, and they have won two straight series.

The Blue Jays are 28-30 against the run line this season, including an 11-16 mark at home. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 17-14. The average run differential in their games is -0.5, and they have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog.

The Toronto Blue Jays are at home against the Baltimore Orioles today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 25-32 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Blue Jays have gone 8-8-1. The over has hit in 41.4% of their games this season, and they are currently on a 2-game over streak.

Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Blue Jays today and is coming off a solid outing vs. the White Sox. In that May 28th start, he went 6 innings, giving up just 1 earned run. He finished with the win in the outing. Looking back at his last three outings, Gausman has given up just one earned run in each of his last two starts. Gausman has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with a 4.14 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .269 off Gausman this year. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 9.28 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging 4 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Blue Jays are batting .234, which is 12th in the league, and are 2nd in the league in strikeouts. Toronto is also near the top of the league in walks and has a collective OBP of .314.

Davis Schneider has been swinging a hot bat for the Blue Jays, going 7/26 in his last six games with two homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .245 with seven homers. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 30, and Varsho is also the team’s leader in homers, with 10. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .291 and is 2nd on the team with 26 RBIs.

Our pick for today’s Orioles vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at +104. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a final of 6-5. With the over/under line sitting at 8 runs, there is some room for error, but we still like the payout on the Blue Jays to win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Kevin Gausman is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among starters today. As for Grayson Rodriguez, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is fifth worst. Rodriguez is also projected to go just three innings, and we have him finishing with an ERA of 9.00.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• The Blue Jays are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report

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