Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Preview
From Globe Life Field in Arlington, we have the Mariners and Rangers facing off in an AL West matchup. This one gets started at 7:05 PM ET and will be televised on RSNW. The money line odds have the Rangers at -137 compared to the Mariners at +117. The over/under line is currently 8 runs.
Max Scherzer will start for the Rangers, while the Mariners are sending Emerson Hancock to the mound. Seattle is 79-75 this season, and they are 2nd in the AL West, while the Rangers are 3rd in the division with a record of 73-81. The Mariners are currently on a two-game winning streak.
Check out BetCoco for Texas Rangers – Seattle Mariners odds
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- 4-1 is the record of Mariners in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Rangers have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- The Rangers have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Mariners have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
Seattle cruised to an easy 8-2 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 5th inning, scoring three of their eight runs. As for the Rangers, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were at +108 on the money line.
George Kirby started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Jacob deGrom only went three innings for the Rangers, giving up one earned run on three hits.
Julio Rodriguez was the difference for the Mariners’ offense, as he homered twice, scored five times, and finished with five RBIs. Josh Rojas also had a homer for Seattle and drove in two runs. Victor Robles scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4.
Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is five games behind the Astros in the AL West as they are 79-75 overall. The Mariners are on a two-game winning streak, taking the final game of their series vs. the Royals and winning the series opener vs. the Rangers. Their record in the division is 26-18 this season.
At home, the Mariners have gone 46-32 this season, and they are just below .500 at 33-43 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle is 57-47 this season and 22-28 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 20-24-4, and they are 6-4 in their last ten games overall.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 33-43. The Mariners have covered the run line in two straight games on the road and are 25-25 as an underdog this season. Their average run differential on the road is +0.1 runs per game.
Seattle is on the road against the Texas Rangers today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The Mariners and their opponents have combined to average 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 72-73 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-11-1. So far this season, 34 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 22.1% of their games, while 100 games have had lower lines, accounting for 64.9% of their games.
Seattle is sending right-hander Emerson Hancock to the mound today vs. the Rangers. So far, he has made 10 starts and four of them have been quality starts. Hancock’s ERA for the season is 4.83, along with a record of 3-4. Looking back at his last outing, Hancock finished with a no-decision vs. the Rangers, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .260 off Hancock this season.
Julio Rodríguez has been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .370 with three homers over his last six games. For the season, he is batting .268 with 18 home runs, which is 4th on the team. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 30 homers, but is batting just .211 for the season. He is also 1st on the Mariners with 93 RBIs.
As a team, the Mariners are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting a collective .222 and are the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts per game.
Texas is 73-81 overall, and they are 11 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Rangers have gone 20-24 against other teams in the AL West this year. So far, they trail the Mariners by 5.0 games for the 2nd spot in the division standings.
At home, the Rangers are 43-36 this year, but they have struggled on the road, going 30-45. As the favorite, Texas has gone 49-36 and 24-45 as the underdog. This season, the Rangers are 36-24 as the favorite at home. Texas has dropped two straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10.
When the Rangers are the underdog, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 36-33. However, when they are favored, they have been a poor bet at 29-56. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.4, while it is -3.9 in losing games. They are 33-46 against the run line at home this season.
When the Texas Rangers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Rangers’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 72-77. When the line is set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 8-17-2. Overall, 64.9% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs.
Max Scherzer will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Mariners on September 14th, he went four innings, giving up two earned runs, five hits, and two walks. Scherzer has made three quality starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with a 3.95 ERA. Looking at his home/away splits, he is 2-2 with a 5.94 ERA at home compared to 0-2 with a 4.19 ERA on the road. Overall, he has allowed seven homers. Per nine innings, Scherzer is averaging 8.31 strikeouts and just 2.08 walks.
Adolis Garcia has been the Rangers’ top power threat this season, as he has gone deep 23 times, which is 2nd on the team and has driven in 80 runs, which is the best mark on the team. However, he is batting just .221 for the season. Corey Seager has also been a big power threat, as his 30 homers are the best on the team and 13th in the MLB. Seager also comes into the game with the team’s 2nd best batting average at .278.
As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a very good team at avoiding strikeouts this season and come into the game with a team batting average of .237. Texas is also one of the league’s worst teams in terms of their OPS, OBP, and Isolated Power numbers.
Our predicted final score for this Rangers vs. Mariners matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Rangers. Given that they are also our predicted winner and that you can get them at -137 on the money line, this is the direction we recommend going.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Emerson Hancock finishing with a solid six strikeouts. However, Max Scherzer is projected to finish with five, and we have him finishing with a better chance of picking up the win.
Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Rangers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mariners (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager | Out | Hip |
| Jon Gray | Out | Foot |
| José Ureña | Out | Shoulder |
| Tyler Mahle | Out | Shoulder |
| Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
| Cole Winn | Out | Shoulder |
| Grant Anderson | Out | Ankle |
| Josh Jung | Questionable | Wrist |
| Evan Carter | Out | Back |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Castillo | Out | Hamstring |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
