Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Preview
The Padres and Rangers will face off in an interleague matchup at 2:35 PM ET at Globe Life Field in Arlington. San Diego is 47-43 and they are 2nd in the NL West, while the Rangers are 3rd in the AL West with an overall record of 39-47.
Thursday’s money line odds have the Rangers favored at -138, while the Padres are sitting at +117. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and the forecast calls for partly cloudy skies in Arlington.
Check out BetCoco for Texas Rangers – San Diego Padres odds
Texas Rangers Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Padres have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- On the other side, the Rangers have gone 1-4 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Rangers are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 5-5 vs. the runline.
- The Padres have a 7-3 straight-up record and a 8-2 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
San Diego picked up a 6-4 road win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Rangers got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final three runs in the 5th.
Manny Machado and David Peralta each homered for the Padres, while Jackson Merrill scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/5. Jurickson Profar also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
Adam Mazur only went four innings for the Padres but gave up just four hits and four earned runs. Adrian Morejon got the win out of the bullpen, and Robert Suarez got the save. Dane Dunning had a rough outing for the Rangers, taking the loss.
Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Prediction
San Diego is 47-43 overall and trails the Dodgers by 7.5 games in the NL West. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 14-15 in divisional games. The Padres are on the road today, and they are 23-21 on the road compared to 24-22 at home.
As the road underdog, the Padres have gone 15-12 this year, and they are 19-18 overall as the underdog. San Diego has been good in close series, as they are 16-10-3 in series this year, and they have won three straight series.
The Padres have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 47-43 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 30-14. Their average run differential on the road is +0.9, while their average run differential at home is -0.2. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 26-11, compared to 21-32 as the favorite.
San Diego Padres games have had an average combined run total of 9.0 this season, but their over/under record is 48-41. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 15-14. Overall, 60.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Rangers on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.61 ERA. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. King has allowed a total of 14 home runs this season. Out of his seven quality starts, five have come on the road.
So far this season, the Padres offense has been one of the league’s best, as they are 12th in the league in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 2nd best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .262. San Diego also has the league’s 2nd fewest strikeouts per game.
Jurickson Profar has been a big reason why the Padres are among the league leaders in scoring, as he is batting .314 with a team-high 11 home runs and 55 RBIs. Jackson Merrill and Jake Cronenworth are also near the top of the league in home runs, as they both have 12 homers so far. Merrill has also been hot of late, going 9/22 in his last five games with two homers.
Texas is seven games below .500 at 39-47 as they trail the Mariners by seven games in the AL West. So far, they are 9-14 against other teams in the AL West. The Rangers lost two straight games to close out the first half of the season.
At home, the Rangers are 21-20 this year and 18-27 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the favorite, the Rangers are 23-21 and 16-26 as the underdog. Texas’ overall series record is 11-15-1, and they have dropped two straight series.
When betting the run line, the Texas Rangers have been a better proposition as the underdog than as the favorite. They are 23-19 against the run line when getting the runs, compared to just 17-27 when laying them. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 20-25 against the run line, compared to 20-21 at home. Their average run differential in winning games is +4.2, while it is -3.6 in losing games.
When the Texas Rangers play at home, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in just 9 of their 53 games, and the over/under record in those games is 4-5. On average, the over/under line for their games is set at 9 runs. Overall, the Rangers have an over/under record of 34-49, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game.
Max Scherzer is getting the start for the Rangers at home against the Padres. He is coming off a 5 1/3 inning outing in which he took the loss to the Orioles. In that game, he gave up 2 runs on 4 strikeouts and 2 walks.
Adolis García and Corey Seager have been the top power threats for the Rangers this season, with Garcia having gone deep 16 times and Seager at 15. However, Garcia is batting just .221, while Seager has a batting average of .260. Marcus Semien leads the team with 45 RBIs but is batting just .231.
Corey Seager comes into the game on an eight-game hitting streak and is 9/20 in his last five games. Nathaniel Lowe has also been swinging a hot bat for the Rangers, going 9/20 with three homers over his last five games. Lowe also has an RBI in eight of his last five games.
Our pick for this Padres vs. Rangers matchup is to take the Padres on the money line, with the payout sitting at +117. We have the Padres winning this one by a final score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Michael King going four innings for the Padres, while Max Scherzer is projected to go six innings for the Rangers. Scherzer is projected to finish with six strikeouts, while King is predicted to finish with five.
Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips
- We like the Padres on the moneyline (+117)
- The Padres are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Mahle | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
| Austin Pruitt | Out | Knee |
| Cole Winn | Out | Shoulder |
| Josh Jung | Out | Wrist |
| Cody Bradford | Out | Back |
| Evan Carter | Out | Back |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | Out | Shoulder |
| Yu Darvish | Out | Groin |
| Joe Musgrove | Out | Elbow |
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Out | Tricep |
| Luis Campusano | Out | Thumb |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Tom Cosgrove | Out | Elbow |
