Texas Rangers vs New York Mets Preview
Both the Mets and Rangers are looking to keep their winning streaks alive, as the Mets have won five straight and the Rangers have won three in a row. However, one of these streaks will come to an end, as the two teams square off in an interleague matchup at 8:05 PM ET. This one is being played at Globe Life Field in Arlington, and the Rangers are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -126. The money line odds for a Mets win are at +107.
Monday’s over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on SNY. David Peterson is starting for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Jon Gray for the Rangers. In the NL East, the Mets are 4th with a record of 33-37, while the Rangers are 2nd in the AL West at 33-38.
Check out BetCoco for Texas Rangers – New York Mets odds
Texas Rangers Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Mets are 4-1. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The Rangers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Rangers have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Mets have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Texas Rangers vs New York Mets Prediction
Pete Alonso had a big game at the plate in the Mets’ 11-6 win over the Padres to close out their series. He went 2/5 with five RBIs and a homer. The Mets really broke things open with a four-run 1st inning and added another four runs in the 4th to put things out of reach. New York was the +122 underdog at home going into the game.
Tylor Megill got the start for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
The Mets head into today’s road matchup vs. the Rangers having won five straight games. In the NL East, they are in 4th place and trail the Phillies by 13.5 games. Overall, the Mets are 33-37, and they are 11-10 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Mets are 18-23 this year, and they are one game above .500 at 15-14 on the road. As the road underdog, the Mets are 10-10 this year, and they have won four straight road games. The Mets have an overall series record of 10-12-3 and have won three straight series overall.
The Mets have been a good bet on the run line on the road this season, going 18-11. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 19-15 as an underdog this season. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.9, while it’s -3.1 in losing games.
Today’s over/under line for the New York Mets’ game against the Texas Rangers is set at 8.5 runs. The Mets have had a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-33. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-7. Overall, 20% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, while 58.6% have had lower lines.
David Peterson will be making his third start of the season for the Mets, who are on the road to take on the Rangers. He has picked up a win in each of his first two starts, going 5 innings in his first start and 6 2/3 in his last outing. In his last start, he struck out 8 Marlins hitters, giving up 2 homers.
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243 and have the league’s 9th ranked home run total. New York has been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 7th in the league in this category.
Over the team’s last five games, J.D. Martinez has been on fire, going 9/18 with three homers and four runs scored. This has pushed his season average up to .281. Martinez’s five-game hitting streak is the longest on the team. Pete Alonso is the team’s top power threat, with 15 homers, which is 8th in the league.
Heading into their last game vs. the Mariners, the Rangers closed out the series with a 5-0 loss. Texas was the +124 underdog on the road. Things really got away from the Rangers in the 4th inning, as the Mariners scored two runs in the inning. Texas’s offense scored their only two runs in the 4th.
Dane Dunning got the start for the Rangers and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and took the loss. Offensively, the Rangers had only two fewer hits than the Mariners but didn’t score a run. Adolis Garcia and Nate Lowe each had a double.
Texas will host the Mets today with an overall record of 33-38, which has them 2nd in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Mariners by 8.5 games. The Rangers will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak today, as they were swept by the Mariners in their most recent series.
At home, the Rangers are 16-17 this year and 17-21 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 38 games, going 20-18 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, they are 13-20 this year. The Rangers have dropped two straight series at home, and their overall series record is 10-12-1 this year.
When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 in those games. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs. Texas is 31-40 against the run line this season, with a 14-19 mark at home and a 17-21 record on the road. They are 14-24 against the run line as the favorite and 17-16 as the underdog.
When the Texas Rangers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is their combined run average for the season. Their over/under record is 26-43, and their average over/under line is 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-16. Overall, 38.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Texas is sending Jon Gray to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he has made 11 starts this season. Gray’s ERA is currently 2.17, and he has a record of 2-2. In his 11 starts, he has turned in five quality starts. Gray’s most recent outing came vs. the Dodgers, where he went just three innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had gone 2 1/3 innings out of the bullpen vs. the Giants, also finishing with a no-decision. Gray has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
So far this season, the Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game, compared to just 3.9 runs per game at home. As a team, the Rangers are batting .238, which is 15th in the league, and they have the 17th most home runs in the league.
Corey Seager and Adolis Garcia are the Rangers’ top power threats this season, with Seager leading the team with 14 homers and Garcia right behind him with 13. However, Garcia is batting just .216 for the season, and Seager has struggled of late, going just 1/15 in his last four games. Marcus Semien is also a key part of the lineup, as he is batting .261 and has driven in 40 runs, which is 15th in the league.
The best bet in the Mets vs. Rangers game is to take the Rangers on the money line, where they are currently sitting at -126. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Rangers, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have David Peterson finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing outside of the top five in terms of Ks. As for Jon Gray, we have him also finishing with six strikeouts, and his Rangers finishing with the worst in the league in terms of team strikeouts.
Texas Rangers vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- Take the Rangers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mets (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Texas Rangers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Max Scherzer | Out | Back |
Jacob deGrom | Out | Elbow |
Brock Burke | Questionable | Hand |
Jonah Heim | Out | Personal |
Tyler Mahle | Out | Elbow |
Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
Austin Pruitt | Out | Knee |
Josh Jung | Out | Wrist |
Josh Smith | Questionable | Undisclosed |
Cody Bradford | Out | Back |
Justin Foscue | Out | Oblique |
Evan Carter | Out | Back |
Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
New York Mets Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |