Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers Preview
Monday’s Tigers vs. Rangers matchup has a first pitch set for 8:05 PM ET from Globe Life Field in Arlington. Both teams are 29-30, and the Tigers are 4th in the AL Central, while the Rangers are 2nd in the AL West.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Tigers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -117 compared to -103 for the Rangers. Nathan Eovaldi is starting for the Rangers, and the Tigers are going with Tarik Skubal.
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Texas Rangers Trends and Key Stats
- The Tigers are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Rangers have gone 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- Over the last ten games, Tigers has a record of 4-6 when playing as favorites and 6-4 when playing as underdogs.
- The Rangers are 6-4 (favorite) and 1-9 (underdog).
Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
The Tigers are coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with an 8-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the +135 underdog on the money line. It was a four-run 10th inning that really turned things in their favor, and Detroit’s offense scored their other four runs in the 5th.
Casey Mize put together a good start for the Tigers, going four innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and issued just one walk. Detroit’s bullpen was excellent, going four scoreless innings to close things out, and Andrew Chafin picked up the save.
Detroit is 29-30 overall and 10.0 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Tigers will be on the road today to take on the Rangers, and they are 4th in the AL Central standings. So far, they have gone 10-9 against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the Tigers are 14-15 this season and have gone 15-15 on the road. Detroit has been good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 14-12. They are 15-18 when coming into a game as the underdog. The Tigers are currently favored to win their second straight game, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall.
When the Tigers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.4 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 26-33, and they are 17-13 against the run line on the road. They are 20-13 against the run line as the underdog, but just 6-20 as the favorite.
When the Detroit Tigers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 11 of their 18 games with that line. The Tigers have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their games have gone over the total in 57.6% of their contests overall. Their over streak is at three games coming into tonight’s matchup against the Texas Rangers.
Detroit is sending left-hander Tarik Skubal to the mound today vs. the Rangers. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 7-1 with an ERA of 2.02. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .82, and opponents are batting .180 vs. the left-hander this year. In his last outing, Skubal pitched seven scoreless innings, picking up the win and not allowing a homer for the first time in three starts. Before that outing, he had allowed a homer in three straight starts. Skubal has been excellent at home, going 4-0 with a 2.11 ERA compared to 3-1 with a 2.04 ERA on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are 15th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.3 runs per game. This is a slight improvement from their home games, where they are averaging just 4 runs per contest. Detroit comes into the game with a team batting average of .236, which is 11th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in isolated power and BABIP.
Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter have been two of the Tigers’ top power threats this season, with Greene’s 10 homers leading the team and Carpenter’s 29 RBIs also being the best mark on the team. Carpenter is also batting .283 for the season, and Greene is hitting .249. Over his last five games, Gio Urshela has gone 5/17 with two homers and five RBIs.
Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Rangers closed out the series with a 6-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -126 on the money line. It was a three-run 1st inning that really got the Rangers going, and they added another three runs in the 6th to close things out. Texas’s offense was carried by Adolis Garcia, who went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Andrew Heaney put together a good start for the Rangers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out seven Marlins batters. Overall, Texas’s pitching staff only gave up four hits and issued three walks.
Texas is 29-30 overall, putting them four games behind the Mariners in the AL West. The Rangers will be hosting the Tigers today with a two-game winning streak, which came after dropping five straight. The Rangers took the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins.
At home, the Rangers are 14-13 this year and 15-17 on the road. As the underdog, the Rangers have won two straight, and they are 11-14 as the underdog overall. Texas’ series record is 9-9-1 this year, and they have won two straight series.
When betting the run line this season, the Rangers have been a better bet at home than on the road, going 11-16 at home compared to 14-18 on the road. They have covered the run line in back-to-back games and have been a better bet as the underdog, going 13-12 compared to 12-22 as the favorite.
The Texas Rangers are hosting the Detroit Tigers today with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Rangers have an over/under record of 22-35 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. The over/under line for their games this season has averaged 9 runs per game, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 2-2. Their games have had over/under lines set at 7.5 runs in 55 of their 59 games this season.
Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces off against the Tigers at home. Eovaldi has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 2.84. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. Eovaldi’s last outing came on May 28th, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went three innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that outing, he had turned in a quality start in three straight outings. Per nine innings, Eovaldi is averaging 9.34 strikeouts and 3.86 walks.
Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 13, and Garcia has driven in 40 runs this season, which is 8th best in the MLB. However, Garcia is batting just .231 for the season and has hit just .135 over his last 10 games. Seager has been hot of late, going 13/34 in his last nine games, with six homers and 11 RBIs. Marcus Semien is also on a good stretch of games, as he is on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .258 for the season.
As a team, the Rangers are 10th in scoring at 4.5 runs per game. They have been better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, the team is batting .243, which is 9th in the league, and they are 11th in home runs.
Our predictions for this Tigers vs. Rangers matchup is to take the Rangers on the money line at -103. We have the Rangers winning this one by a score of 5-4. In terms of the starting pitchers, we have Tarik Skubal finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-highest projection among all starters.
Looking at the Rangers starter, Nathan Eovaldi, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters. Eovaldi is also projected to give up fewer earned runs than any other starter in today’s slate.
Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers Betting Tips
- We like the Rangers on the moneyline (-103)
- On the run line we like Rangers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Texas Rangers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Max Scherzer | Out | Back |
Jacob deGrom | Out | Arm |
Jon Gray | Out | Groin |
Brock Burke | Out | Hand |
Tyler Mahle | Out | Elbow |
Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
Austin Pruitt | Out | Knee |
Josh Jung | Out | Wrist |
Cody Bradford | Out | Back |
Justin Foscue | Out | Oblique |
Evan Carter | Out | Back |
Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
Detroit Tigers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Shelby Miller | Out | Forearm |
Kerry Carpenter | Out | Back |
Sawyer Gipson-Long | Out | Elbow |