Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Preview
At 8:05 PM from Globe Life Field in Arlington, we have an American League matchup between the Guardians and Rangers. Cleveland comes into the game with a record of 25-16, while the Rangers are 22-20 overall. Michael Lorenzen will start for the Rangers, and he is facing off against Tanner Bibee for the Guardians.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Guardians are the slight favorite on the money line at -102. Looking at the Rangers, they have a money line payout of -118. This game can be seen on BSSW.
Check out BetCoco for Texas Rangers – Cleveland Guardians odds
Texas Rangers Trends and Key Stats
- The Guardians are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Rangers have a 1-4 (SU) record, along with a 0-5 record in their last five home contests.
- In their previous ten games, the Guardians have recorded a 5-5 record as the favorite, while they have a 5-5 record as the underdog.
- The Rangers have a 5-5 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 4-6.
Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the White Sox, the Guardians closed out the series with a 7-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -174. Offensively, the Guardians scored their seven runs on just five hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Logan Allen got the start for the Guardians, going six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out three White Sox batters. David Fry was hot at the plate, going 1/2 with a homer and two RBIs.
Cleveland is 25-16 overall this season, good for a half-game lead over the White Sox and Twins for the AL Central lead. The Guardians are at home today vs. the Rangers and have gone 7-5 in divisional games this year. They have been really good in day games, going 12-3 so far.
So far, the Guardians have been good both at home (12-6) and on the road (13-10). As the road favorite, the Guardians are 5-4 this year, and they are 16-9 when favored overall. For the year, they have a series record of 9-4.
When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 14-9. Their average run margin in those games is +1.4. They have been especially good against the run line when they are the underdog, going 12-4.
With an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Cleveland Guardians have had 12.2% of their games this season with a higher line. They have gone 5-8 in games with that line, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. Overall, the Guardians are 21-18 on the over/under this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. They have gone under the total in their last two games, scoring a combined 9 runs in those contests.
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Rangers. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 4.91. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is 1.36, and he has allowed a total of six home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Bibee finished with a no-decision vs. the Tigers, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had a quality start vs. the Braves, going seven innings and not giving up a run. So far, he has one quality start this year.
Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been a pretty good home run hitting team this season and have the league’s 8th best isolated power figure. As a team, they are batting just .236, which is 14th in the league. Cleveland’s offense has been led by Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in RBIs and have 9 and 11 homers, respectively. Ramirez is hitting just .235 for the season, while Naylor comes in at .275.
Steven Kwan has been a big surprise for the Guardians this season, as he is batting .353 and has three home runs. Over his last five games, Josh Naylor is 5/19 with two homers, and David Fry has also gone deep twice in this stretch, but is batting just .267.
The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 3-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the bottom of the 9th before the Rockies scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Texas was the -148 favorite on the money line going into the game.
José Ureña put together a good start for the Rangers, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out three. However, the Rangers couldnjson’t close things out, and Ureña took the loss. The Rangers also wasted a big game from Marcus Semien, who went 2/4 with a run scored.
Texas will open their series vs. the Guardians having lost three straight games, and they are 22-20 overall this season. The Rangers are in 2nd place in the AL West, just a half-game behind the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they are 8-9 in divisional games.
At home, the Rangers are 10-9 this year compared to a road record of 12-11. As the favorite, Texas has gone 13-12 this year and 9-8 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 7-5-1.
When betting the run line in Texas Rangers games, it’s been a mixed bag this season. The Rangers are 18-24 against the run line overall, but they’ve been slightly better at home, going 8-11. Their average run margin for the season is +0.5 runs per game, and they’ve been slightly better at home than on the road, where they are 10-13 against the run line. They’ve been a better bet as an underdog, going 10-7 against the run line in those games.
The Texas Rangers have an over/under record of 18-23 this season, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-7. Overall, 52.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.
Michael Lorenzen and the Rangers are hosting the Cleveland Guardians, and Lorenzen has had a bit of a rough start to the season. He is 1-2 through 4 starts, and in his last outing, he took a loss after giving up 6 runs on 9 hits over 6 innings of work. He has yet to throw a perfect game, no-hitter, or complete game this season.
As a team, the Rangers are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average at .255 and have the league’s 4th ranked on-base percentage. One area where they have struggled a bit is in terms of power, as their isolated power number of .137 is just 17th in the league.
Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia have been two of the Rangers’ top power threats this season, with Semien having 7 homers and Garcia at 8. Semien has also been hot of late, going 13/26 in his last six games. Garcia is also on a good stretch, as he has homered twice in his last six games while going 8/23.
Our prediction for today’s Guardians vs. Rangers game is to take the Rangers on the money line at -118. We have the Rangers taking this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under line, which is sitting at 8.5 runs. However, we see this one finishing with a combined 11 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Michael Lorenzen is predicted to go 8th in the league in strikeouts. As for Tanner Bibee, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which is good for sixth among starters. However, his predicted ERA is the highest among today’s starters.
Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips
- Take the Rangers on the moneyline
- The Rangers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Texas Rangers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Max Scherzer | Out | Back |
Jacob deGrom | Out | Arm |
Nathan Eovaldi | Out | Groin |
Brock Burke | Out | Hand |
Tyler Mahle | Out | Elbow |
Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
Dane Dunning | Out | Shoulder |
Austin Pruitt | Out | Knee |
Josh Jung | Out | Wrist |
Cody Bradford | Out | Ribs |
Justin Foscue | Out | Oblique |
Evan Carter | Questionable | Back |
Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
Wyatt Langford | Out | Hamstring |
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
Eli Morgan | Out | Shoulder |
Steven Kwan | Out | Hamstring |
Angel Martínez | Out | Hand |
Gavin Williams | Out | Elbow |