Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 7/21/2024

Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Orioles and Rangers are set to face off in an AL matchup at 2:35 PM ET. This one is being played at Globe Life Field in Arlington, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-112). The money line odds for the Rangers are sitting at -106, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

Baltimore comes into the game on a three-game winning streak, and their overall record of 60-38 has them first in the AL East. The Rangers are 3rd in the AL West at 46-52 and will be looking to snap a two-game skid. Andrew Heaney is starting for the Rangers, and the Orioles have Dean Kremer on the mound.

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Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Orioles are 4-1. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Rangers have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
• In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Orioles have a record of 4-6, while as the underdog, they have a record of 5-5.
• The Rangers are 6-4 (favorite) and 5-5 (underdog).

Baltimore cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Rangers, they scored their only four runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -110.

Grayson Rodriguez started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Max Scherzer only went two innings for the Rangers, giving up four earned runs on five hits.

Jordan Westburg was the difference for the Orioles’ offense, as he went 3/5 with a home run and two RBIs. Cedric Mullins and Ryan O’Hearn each drove in two for Baltimore’s lineup.

Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Rangers and are 60-38 overall. They lead the AL East by two games over the Yankees and have gone 20-9 against other teams in the division. The Orioles have won three straight games, and they are 30-16 on the road this year.

So far, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, going 48-31, and they are 12-7 as the underdog. Baltimore is also 21-11 as the road favorite this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 20-8-3 and have lost two straight series.

When betting the Orioles on the run line, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season. They are 29-17 against the run line on the road, including covering in their last three road games. In their 44 losses, they’ve been outscored by an average of 3.6 runs per game, but in their 54 wins, they’ve outscored their opponents by an average of 3.8 runs per game.

The Orioles have been a strong over team this season, with a 50-38 over/under record. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and they have hit the over in three straight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Rangers is 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average line of 8 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Orioles are 15-13.

Right-hander Dean Kremer is getting the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rangers on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 4.38. In his 12 appearances, Kremer has turned in three quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Kremer finished with a no-decision against the Yankees, giving up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had allowed at least five earned runs in three straight starts. Kremer’s ERA at home is 6.83 compared to 3.23 on the road.

Not only do the Orioles lead the MLB in runs per game, but they also have the best team slugging percentage and OPS in the league. Baltimore is also the top home run hitting team in the league. One of the keys to their offense has been their ability to avoid strikeouts, as they are just 11th in the league in strikeouts per game.

Gunnar Henderson has been the Orioles’ top power threat this season, as his 28 homers is 3rd best in the league and leads the team. He is also 10th in the league with 63 RBIs. Anthony Santander has also been a big run producer, as his 64 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. Over his last nine games, Santander has gone 12/37 with four homers.

Texas is six games below .500 at 46-52 as they trail the Astros by six games in the AL West. Overall, they are 13-16 against other teams in the AL West. The Rangers have dropped two straight games, and they are also down 0-2 in their series with the Orioles.

At home, the Rangers are 24-23 this season, and they are 22-29 on the road. As the underdog, Texas is 18-29 this season, and they are 28-23 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Rangers are 14-16-1 and have won three straight series on the road.

When the Texas Rangers win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. But when they lose, it’s usually close, as their average run margin in losses is -3.7. Overall, they have an average run margin of exactly 0.0 runs per game, which is reflected in their run line record of 44-54. They are 22-25 against the run line at home and 22-29 on the road.

The Texas Rangers are at home today against the Baltimore Orioles with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 40-54. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-19. This is the 32nd game this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, accounting for 32.7% of their games. Their over streak is currently at 2 games.

Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces off against the Orioles at home. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 3-10 with a 3.79 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Heaney has a WHIP of 1.25 and opponents are batting .244 this season. He has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 9.19 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Heaney took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Over his last five games, Marcus Semien has gone 6/16 with a home run and three runs scored. For the season, he is batting .241 with 13 homers, which is 3rd on the team and 14th in the league. Semien’s 51 RBIs are the most on the Rangers. Corey Seager and Adolis Garcia are also near the top of the Rangers’ home run leaderboard, with Seager leading the team with 18 homers.

As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. They are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Overall, the Rangers are batting .239, which is 14th in the league.

Getting the Rangers at -106 on the money line is a great value, and we have them winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there isn’t a lot of room for error, and we recommend sticking with the Rangers on the money line.

Looking at some potential player props, Andrew Heaney is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Dean Kremer, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, which is the seventh lowest among starters.

Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like Rangers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Texas Rangers Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report