Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Diamondbacks and Rangers is set to get started at 2:35 PM ET from Globe Life Field in Arlington. The Diamondbacks are +112 on the money line, while the Rangers are the slight favorite at -133. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Rangers will be looking to extend their two-game win streak, as they are 2nd in the AL West. Arizona is 4th in the NL West.
Arizona will be starting Ryne Nelson, while the Rangers are sending Dane Dunning to the mound. Nelson has a record of 25-29, while the Rangers are 26-29.
Check out BetCoco for Texas Rangers – Arizona Diamondbacks odds
Texas Rangers Trends and Key Stats
- The Diamondbacks are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- In the Rangers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Rangers have won 4-6 straight-up, and have a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
- The Diamondbacks have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rangers vs Diamondbacks series. Texas went into the matchup as -130 favorites and squeaked out a 4-2 win. Heading into the game, the Rangers had lost two in a row.
Arizona wasted a good outing from Brandon Pfaadt, as he gave up just two earned runs in seven innings of work for the Diamondbacks. Texas got to Kirby Yates out of the bullpen, as he gave up two earned runs in just one inning of work.
Offensively, the Rangers were led by Corey Seager and Travis Jankowski, as they were the only two Texas hitters to have more than one hit. Seager, Jankowski, and Christian Walker each had two RBIs.
Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Arizona is 4th in the NL West with an overall record of 25-29, putting them 8.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks have dropped two straight games, and this came after taking two of three from the Mets. So far, they are 11-9 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 13-15 this year and 12-14 on the road. As the road underdog, Arizona has gone 9-11 compared to 13-12 as the favorite. The Diamondbacks have an overall series record of 6-10-1 and have dropped two straight series at home.
The Diamondbacks have been a tough team to predict on the run line this season, as they have an even run differential on the year. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they have a positive run differential, going 14-12. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 16-13 on the run line.
Arizona is on the road in Texas today, where the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Diamondbacks’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 23-29. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-6-1. Overall, 57.4% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and their games have gone under the total in each of their last five contests.
Ryne Nelson has made 7 starts this season and has a record of 3-3 with a 6.03 ERA. In his 8 appearances, he has a WHIP of 1.83 and has allowed a batting average of .353. Nelson’s most recent outing came out of the bullpen, where he picked up the win after going 5 innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least 3 earned runs in three straight outings. Nelson has made one quality start this year and is averaging 7.34 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed 4 homers and is averaging 2.62 walks per nine innings.
Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Diamondbacks, as he has gone 10/36 in his last 10 games, including two homers and five RBIs. Walker is also on a six-game hitting streak. Overall, he is batting .267 with 10 homers and 33 RBIs, which is 14th in the MLB. Joc Pederson is also having a good season at the plate, leading the team with a .303 average and is 2nd on the team with six homers.
Arizona’s offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game and is 9th in the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting .243 and have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league. So far, the Diamondbacks have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game.
Texas is 26-29 overall this season, and they are 3.5 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. The Rangers have won two straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10. In the AL West, they have a record of 9-11 this season.
At home, the Rangers are 13-13 this season, and they are 13-16 on the road. So far, they have gone 16-15 as the favorite and 10-14 as the underdog. Texas has struggled in their series lately, as they are just 7-9-1 this year and have lost five straight series.
When it comes to the run line, the Rangers have been a tough team to figure out this season. They are just 22-33 against the run line overall, but they have been much better at home, going 10-16. They are 12-17 against the run line on the road, and they have been a better bet as the underdog, going 12-12. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5.
At home against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the Texas Rangers have an over/under record of 21-32 this season. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 5-8. So far this season, 23.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 52.7% of their games have had lines set below 9 runs.
Right-hander Dane Dunning gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. Dunning has made eight starts this year and has a record of 3-3 with a 4.43 ERA. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. Dunning’s last outing came on May 22nd, where he took the loss, going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had pitched well, going 5 1/3 innings in each of his previous two outings and allowing a combined three earned runs in those starts. Dunning’s ERA at home is 4.68 compared to 4.68 on the road.
Corey Seager has been on a tear for the Rangers of late, going 12/33 (.364) with seven homers over his last nine games. He also has 11 RBIs in this stretch. Seager is currently 6th in the league with 12 homers and has driven in 27 runs so far. Adolis Garcia is also tied for the team lead with 12 homers but is batting just .237 for the season and has gone 4/32 over his last eight games.
Overall, the Rangers are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have been a better offensive team on the road this season. As a team, they are batting .241 and have the 10th most home runs in the league. Texas comes into the game with the 15th best OPS in the league.
Our pick for this Diamondbacks vs. Rangers matchup is to take the Rangers on the money line at -133. We actually have the Rangers winning this one by a score of 6-5, so there is also some value on the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dane Dunning finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among starters today. As for the Diamondbacks starter, Ryne Nelson, we have him ending the game with five K’s, which has him down in eighth.
Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips
- Take the Rangers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Diamondbacks (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | Out | Back |
| Jacob deGrom | Out | Arm |
| Jon Gray | Out | Groin |
| Michael Lorenzen | Probable | Knee |
| José Ureña | Questionable | Ankle |
| Brock Burke | Out | Hand |
| Tyler Mahle | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
| Austin Pruitt | Out | Knee |
| Josh Jung | Out | Wrist |
| Cody Bradford | Out | Back |
| Justin Foscue | Out | Oblique |
| Evan Carter | Out | Back |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
| Alek Thomas | Out | Hamstring |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Out | Knee |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Frías | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
