Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Betting Tips 9/21/2024

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

Yariel Rodriguez is starting for the Blue Jays on Saturday, and he is facing off against Taj Bradley for the Rays. This game is getting started at 4:10 PM ET from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg. BSSUN is carrying the Rays on the money line, and they are favored at -137 compared to the Blue Jays at +116. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.

The Blue Jays are 73-81 this season, while the Rays are 76-78. This game is an AL East matchup, and the Rays are currently on a two-game winning streak. BSSUN is also the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East, while the Rays are 3rd.

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats

• The Blue Jays are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• On the other side, the Rays have gone 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Rays have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
• The Blue Jays have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Tampa Bay picked up a 1-0 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had just one more hit than the Blue Jays and struck out nine times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at -101 on the money line.

Both teams wasted good starting pitching performances in this game. Tyler Alexander went just 4 1/3 innings for the Rays but didn’t give up a run. Jose Berrios went six innings for the Blue Jays, giving up just one run.

The only run of the game came in the 6th inning when Jonathan Aranda homered for the Rays. Aranda was the only player in the game to have more than one hit.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Toronto is 73-81 overall and trails the Red Sox by three games for 4th place in the AL East. The Blue Jays are 17 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. So far, they are 20-27 in AL East games. The Blue Jays lost the series opener vs. the Rays and are 17-26-5 in series this year.

At home, the Blue Jays have gone 38-37 this year and are just under .500 at 35-44 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 44-29 this year and 29-52 as the underdog. In the last 10 games, the Blue Jays are 5-5.

So far this season, the Blue Jays have been a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 77-77. They have been especially good on the road, going 49-30, compared to 28-47 at home. They have been an underdog in 81 games, going 45-36 against the run line, while they are 32-41 when favored.

The Blue Jays have played to a combined run average of 8.7 this season, and their over/under record is 78-72. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 18-17. So far this season, 74% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. Their current under streak is at three games.

Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 1-6 with an ERA of 4.29. Opponents are batting .222 off Rodríguez this year, and his WHIP is currently 1.30. So far, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 8.92 strikeouts per nine innings. Rodríguez’s last outing came on September 15th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 4 1/3 innings of work. He has not taken a loss since August 27th.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league and have been a below-average home run hitting team. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a big bright spot for the Blue Jays this season, as he is batting .322 with 30 homers and 99 RBIs, which is 10th in the league.

George Springer is 2nd on the Blue Jays with 19 homers, but he is batting just .221 this season. However, he has gone deep three times over his last six games. Davis Schneider has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/23 with three homers in his last six games.

Tampa Bay is 76-78 overall and is 14 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they are in 3rd place in the division and have gone 22-25 against other AL East teams. The Rays have won two straight games, and their home/road splits are pretty even with a 40-39 record at home and a 36-39 mark on the road.

As the home favorite, the Rays have gone 24-20 this season and 35-31 as the favorite overall. When they are the underdog, Tampa Bay is 41-47 this year. The Rays have an overall series record of 23-19-6, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Rays win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in those games is +2.8. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -3.4. They have been a good bet against the run line this season, going 80-74, including 43-32 on the road. As the underdog, they are an impressive 56-32 against the run line.

The Tampa Bay Rays have an over/under record of 66-80 this season, with the average line set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 23-29. The Rays have played in 87 games with lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 56.5% of their games this season. Their combined run average is 7.9 runs per game, and they are currently on a three-game under streak.

Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Guardians. In that start, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs, six hits, and three walks. Looking back over his last four starts, Bradley has given up at least two homers in three of those outings. His record for the season is 6-11, and he has an ERA of 4.39 to go along with a WHIP of 1.24. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off Bradley this season.

For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. Tampa Bay does have a good on-base percentage, and their team batting average of .231 is 18th in the league.

Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ best hitter this season, batting .283 with 14 homers and 65 RBIs. Christopher Morel leads the team with 21 homers, but he is batting just .197. Over his last eight games, Brandon Lowe has gone 7/33 with two homers and four RBIs.

Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Rays. With their money line sitting at -137, we see this as a good value pick, as they’re payout is much higher than the payout for the Blue Jays, who are at +116.

Looking at today’s starting pitchers, we have Taj Bradley finishing with six strikeouts, which would put him as the 8th best among today’s starters. As for Yariel Rodriguez, we have him finishing with five K’s, which would put him near the bottom.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips

• Take the Rays on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Blue Jays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report