Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Preview
Wednesday’s matchup between the Mariners and Rays is set to get started at 12:10 PM ET from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. The Mariners are 45-37 and are starting George Kirby, while the Rays will have Ryan Pepiot on the mound. Seattle is 1st in the AL West, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East.
The money line odds have the Mariners at -117 compared to the Rays at -101, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. RSNW will be televising this game, and the Rays will be looking to keep their three-game win streak alive.
Check out BetCoco for Tampa Bay Rays – Seattle Mariners odds
Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats
- The Mariners are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- The Rays, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- In their previous ten games, Mariners have won 6-4 as favorites and 5-5 as underdogs.
- The Rays are 7-3 (favorite) and 7-3 (underdog).
Tampa Bay cruised to an easy 11-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their eleven runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Rays were the slight underdogs at +109.
Zack Littell only went five innings for the Rays but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued one walk. Garrett Cleavinger got the win out of the bullpen. Luis Castillo had a rough outing for the Mariners, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Taylor Walls had a three-hit game for the Rays while scoring three times and driving in two runs. Yandy Diaz and Richie Palacios each had two hits and two RBIs. Ben Rortvedt also had a big game at the plate, going 2/3 with a home run.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle heads into today’s matchup vs. the Rays having lost three straight games, and they are 45-37 overall. The Mariners lead the AL West by 4.5 games over the Astros. So far, they have been great against other teams in their division, going 17-5.
The Mariners have struggled on the road this year, coming in with an 18-25 record compared to a 27-12 mark at home. As the road favorite, Seattle is 8-11 this year and 29-21 as the favorite overall. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-10-2, but they have lost two straight series.
Seattle is 39-43 against the run line this season, including an 18-25 mark on the road. The Mariners have been favored in 50 games and have gone 21-29 against the run line in those contests. In games they have won, Seattle has an average run margin of +3.1.
Seattle is on the road against Tampa Bay today with the Over/Under line set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners have a combined run average of 7.7 runs per game this season, and their Over/Under record is 34-44. When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, they are 10-15 on the season. Overall, 41.5% of their games this season have had O/U lines set at 7.5 runs.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.47 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently .99, and opponents are batting .221 off him this year. Kirby has turned in nine quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he finished with a no-decision. In that start vs. the Marlins, he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs, and five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, going 5-1 with a 3.45 ERA compared to 1-4 with a 4.71 ERA on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Mariners are 27th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .220 and are the league’s worst team in terms of striking out. However, they do have the 7th most home runs in the league.
Cal Raleigh and Mitch Garver come into the game as the Mariners’ top home run hitters, but both have struggled at the plate this season. Garver has just a .176 batting average and has gone 3/20 in his last six games. Ryan Bliss has been hot of late, going 7/13 in his last five games.
The Rays are at an even 40-40 as they get set to host the Mariners today. They have won three straight games, and these wins have come after dropping the final game of their series vs. the Angels. Currently, the Rays are 11.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East and are in 4th place in the division.
At home, the Rays are 21-23 this year and have gone 19-17 on the road. As the home underdog, the Rays are 6-9 this year and 17-20 as the underdog overall. Tampa Bay has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 23-20 when favored this year.
When it comes to the run line, the Tampa Bay Rays have been a better bet on the road than at home. The Rays are 22-14 vs. the run line on the road, compared to 14-30 at home. They have been an underdog in 37 games, going 21-16 vs. the run line in those contests. Tampa Bay has covered the run line in seven straight games as an underdog.
The Tampa Bay Rays have an over/under record of 41-36 this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Seattle Mariners is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs this season, the over has hit in 14 of their 23 games.
Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Pirates, he went just 3 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and three walks. Looking back further, Pepiot has finished with a loss in three straight outings. His record for the season is 4-4, and he has an ERA of 4.61. Opposing batters are hitting .210 this season off Pepiot. The right-hander has made five appearances on the road and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.91 ERA.
Yandy Diaz has been on a tear for the Rays, going 11/29 in his last six games with three homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s 4th spot in batting average (.272) and 4th in RBIs (39). Isaac Paredes has been the team’s top power threat, as his 12 homers are 1st on the team and 13th in the league. He also comes into the game with a batting average of .275.
Overall, the Rays offense is 23rd in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They have been a better offense on the road (4.3 runs per game) than at home (3.9 runs per game). Currently, the team is just 19th in home runs and have a collective batting average of .237.
Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Rays game is to take the Rays on the money line, with the payout sitting at -101. We have the Rays winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ryan Pepiot finishing with four strikeouts, which would have him as the 18th among starters today. As for the Mariners starter, George Kirby, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him as the fourth best among starters.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Mariners on the moneyline
- The Rays should also cover at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | Questionable | Toe |
| Amed Rosario | Questionable | Face |
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
| Richard Lovelady | Out | Forearm |
| Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gabe Speier | Out | Shoulder |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Woo | Out | Hamstring |
