Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Preview
From Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an AL matchup between the Mariners and Rays. The Mariners are currently on a two-game losing streak, and their record of 45-36 has them in 1st place in the AL West. The Rays are 4th in the AL East with a record of 39-40 and they will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak.
Seattle is favored on the money line today, and the odds have them at -129 compared to the Rays at +108. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and you can catch this one on BSSUN. Tuesday’s starting pitching matchup features Luis Castillo for the Mariners and Zack Littell for the Rays.
Check out BetCoco for Tampa Bay Rays – Seattle Mariners odds
Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mariners have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- In the Rays’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- The Mariners have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 4-6.
- When playing as the underdog, the Rays have gone 5-5 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 7-3 over their last ten games.
Tampa Bay picked up a 4-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a three-run 8th inning, scoring the game’s final run in the 9th. Heading into the game, they were favored at -113 on the money line.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Bryan Woo, as he gave up just one run in three innings of work for the Mariners. Austin Voth took the loss. Phil Maton got the win out of the bullpen for the Rays as Taj Bradley went 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run.
Offensively, the Rays were led by Yandy Diaz, Jose Siri, and Richie Palacios, as they were the only three Rays hitters to have more than one hit. Diaz. Seattle’s top hitter was Mitch Garver, who went 1/4 with a home run.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is 45-36 overall and leads the AL West by 5.5 games over the Astros. The Mariners have dropped two straight games, and this season, they are 17-5 in divisional matchups. At home, the Mariners have gone 27-12, but they are just 18-24 on the road this year.
As the road favorite, the Mariners are 8-10 this year and 29-20 when favored overall. Seattle’s series record is 13-10-2 this year, and they have dropped two straight series.
Seattle has been a slightly above average run line team this season, with a run differential of +0.2 runs per game. They have gone 39-42 against the run line overall, including a 21-18 mark at home. The Mariners have been a better bet on the run line at home, where they have a +0.9 run differential compared to -0.5 on the road. They are 18-24 vs. the run line on the road, but have not lost more than two in a row vs. the run line on the road this season.
When the Mariners play on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season. Overall, Seattle has a 33-44 over/under record, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, they are 9-15. In games with over/under lines set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 60.0% of their games.
Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 6-8 and an ERA of 3.62. So far, he has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting .237 this season. In his last outing, Castillo took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, he has alternated between wins and losses. The right-hander has made 10 quality starts this season. Per nine innings, Castillo is averaging 9.16 strikeouts and 2.48 walks. At home, his ERA is 3.19 compared to 4.69 on the road.
Cal Raleigh has struggled for the Mariners of late, going just 2/12 in his last five games, but he is still the team’s leading home run hitter with 13 long balls this season. Raleigh is also 1st on the team and 13th in the league with 46 RBIs. Julio Rodriguez has been a solid all-around hitter for the Mariners, batting .257 with seven homers and 29 RBIs.
Seattle’s lineup has been really struggling in terms of strikeouts, as they are averaging 10 per game, which is the worst mark in the league. As a team, they are batting just .220 and are averaging only 3.9 runs per contest. They do come into the game with a collective on-base percentage of .300, which is 20th in the league.
The Rays are 39-40 overall and trail the Yankees by 12.5 games in the AL East. So far, they have gone just 10-17 in divisional matchups. Tampa Bay has won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10. At home, the Rays are 20-23 this season.
As the favorite, the Rays have gone 23-20 and 16-20 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 12-11-2, and they have won two straight series. So far, they are 5-9 as the home underdog this year.
When it comes to the run line, the Rays have been a better bet on the road this season. They are 22-14 against the run line on the road, compared to just 13-30 at home. Overall, they are 35-44 against the run line, and they have covered the run line in six straight games as the underdog.
The Tampa Bay Rays are playing at home today against the Seattle Mariners. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Rays have played 53 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 40-36.
Tampa Bay is sending Zack Littell to the mound today vs. the Mariners, and he is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Braves. In that start, he gave up six earned runs in just two innings of work. Against the Mariners, he will look to pitch more like he did vs. the Orioles on June 9th, where he went six innings and gave up three earned runs. Littell’s ERA for the season is 4.21, along with a record of 2-5. So far, he has made six quality starts and is averaging 8.41 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 11 homers.
Yandy Diaz comes into the game on a 17-game hitting streak and is batting .273 for the season. Over his last nine games, he has gone 15/41 with two homers and eight RBIs. Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ top power threat this season, as his 11 homers lead the team and are 14th in the league. Paredes is also batting a solid .277.
As a team, the Rays are batting just .236 and are averaging only 4 runs per game. This is a big drop off from last season when they were one of the top offenses in the league. So far, they are 21st in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of just .364.
There is a lot of value in taking the Rays on the money line at +108, as we have them winning this game 5-4. With the over/under sitting at 7.5 runs, we do think there will be some runs scored, but we like the payout on the Rays to win straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Zack Littell finishing with five strikeouts, which has him 19th among starters. As for Luis Castillo, we have him finishing with seven K’s, which is good for third. However, we have Castillo’s Mariners finishing with just eight hits, which is the worst in the league today.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Mariners on the moneyline
- The Rays are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | Questionable | Toe |
| Amed Rosario | Questionable | Face |
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
| Richard Lovelady | Out | Forearm |
| Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gabe Speier | Out | Shoulder |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Woo | Questionable | Hamstring |
