Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Preview
At 1:40 from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an American League matchup between the Yankees and Rays. New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound up against Tyler Alexander for the Rays. Coming into the game, the Yankees are 26-15 overall, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Looking at the money line odds, the Yankees are the favorite at -140, and the Rays are at +118. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSSUN.
Check out BetCoco for Tampa Bay Rays – New York Yankees odds
Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Yankees in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Rays have a 1-4 (SU) record, along with a 0-5 record in their last five home contests.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees are 6-4 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
- As the underdog, the Rays have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 4-6 straight-up.
Tampa Bay cruised to a 7-2 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all seven of their runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Rays were favored at -110.
Zack Littell got the win for the Rays, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Nestor Cortes had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss after going 5 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.
Yandy Diaz and Randy Arozarena each homered for the Rays, while Isaac Paredes scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/3. Anthony Volpe had a three-hit game for the Yankees.
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction
Heading into today’s matchup vs. the Rays, the Yankees are 26-15 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. The Yankees are 7-8 in AL East games this season. New York is looking to close out their series with the Rays with a win, and they are 9-2-1 in series this year.
The Yankees have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games and are 13-6 at home compared to 13-9 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 19-11 this year, and they are 7-4 as the underdog. This year, the Yankees are 6-5 as the road favorite.
When betting on the Yankees this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the run line, as they are 20-21 overall. They are 12-10 on the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of +1.0 runs per game. They have a run differential of +1.4 runs per game at home, but are just 8-11 on the run line at Yankee Stadium. They are 8-3 on the run line as an underdog and 12-18 as a favorite.
So far this season, the Yankees have played in 39 games with over/under lines, and 29 of those games have had lines set at over 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Rays is set at 8 runs, and the Yankees have a 3-4 over/under record in games with that line. Their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 17-22.
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces off against the Rays on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 2.92 ERA. Gil has been pitching well lately, as he has picked up the win in each of his last three outings. In his most recent start, he went six innings, giving up just one earned run and coming away with the win. Gil’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14, and opponents are batting .137 off the right-hander this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.95 strikeouts compared to 5.84 walks.
So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team and are near the top of the league in terms of on-base percentage and slugging. As a team, the Yankees are batting .248, which is 6th in the league.
Juan Soto has been the Yankees’ best hitter this season, as he is batting .316 with a team-high nine home runs and 33 RBIs. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are also near the top of the league in home runs, but both have struggled in terms of batting average, coming in at .228 and .229, respectively. Judge has been hot of late, going 10/33 in his last 10 games.
Tampa Bay is at an even 20-20 overall as they trail the Orioles by seven games for the AL East lead. Currently, they are 4th in the division, one spot behind the Red Sox for 3rd place. The Rays are 4-5 in AL East games this year.
The Rays have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 5-5-2 this year. As the favorite, Tampa Bay is 14-15 this year, and they are 4-2 as the home underdog. So far, they have gone 14-11 at home compared to 6-9 on the road.
The Rays have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they have a run line record of 16-24. They have been a better bet at home, going 10-15 against the run line, but have struggled as the favorite, going just 9-20. They have been outscored by an average of 0.7 runs per game this season, with an average run differential of -1.5 on the road and -0.2 at home.
When the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees meet, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Rays’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 22-18. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 8-3. Overall, 50% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Tyler Alexander gets the start for the Rays today and is coming off a short outing vs. the White Sox, where he went just 4 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back further, Alexander has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Alexander has made 4 starts and 7 appearances this season, and his ERA is 4.96. Opponents are batting .265 off Alexander this season. So far, he has allowed 6 homers. Per nine innings, he has 8.27 strikeouts and 2.76 walks.
Over his last eight games, Isaac Paredes has gone 9/26 with a home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .301 and is the team’s leader in home runs (8) and RBIs (21). Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team in RBIs (17) but has really struggled of late, going just 6/31 in his last nine games.
As a team, the Rays are batting a collective .244, which is 9th in the league. However, they are near the bottom of the league in runs per game and have the 22nd slugging percentage in the league. Tampa Bay is also just 16th in home runs this season.
Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Rays matchup is to take the Rays on the money line at +118. We have the Rays winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 8 runs, there isn’t a lot of room for error, but we would lean towards the over if you’re looking for a second bet.
Looking at today’s starting pitchers, Luis Gil is projected to finish with six strikeouts, while Rays starter Tyler Alexander is projected to finish with five. In terms of team projections, the Rays lineup is predicted to finish with 11 strikeouts, compared to the Yankees with eight.
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Rays (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Devenski | Out | Knee |
| Brandon Lowe | Out | Oblique |
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Shane Baz | Out | Elbow/Oblique |
| Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
| Taylor Walls | Out | Hip |
| Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
| Colin Poche | Out | Back |
| Jonathan Aranda | Out | Finger |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
| Ryan Pepiot | Out | Lower Leg |
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Kahnle | Out | Shoulder |
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Foot |
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Oswald Peraza | Out | Shoulder |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Jasson Domínguez | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
