Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 5/11/2024

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Preview

At 4:10 PM from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an AL East matchup between the Yankees and Rays. New York comes in with a record of 26-14, while the Rays are currently 19-20. Zack Littell is starting for the Rays, and he is facing off against Nestor Cortes for the Yankees.

New York is the favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. Looking at the odds, the Yankees are at -128, and the Rays are at +107. You can catch this one on BSSUN.

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Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats

• The Yankees are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• On the other side, the Rays have gone 1-4 (SU) and 0-5 in their previous five home contests.
• The Yankees have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 6-4.
• As the underdog, the Rays have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 4-6 straight-up.

New York picked up a 2-0 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees offense only had one more hit than the Rays and struck out nine times, but still picked up a win thanks to a good outing from Clarke Schmidt, who went 6 2/3 innings and didn’t give up a run.

Tampa Bay wasted a good outing from Taj Bradley, as he gave up just one run in six innings of work. Bradley did finish the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. As a team, the Rays struck out 11 times.

In the Yankees’ half of the first inning, they scored the game’s first run on an Anthony Rizzo RBI single. The game’s final run came in the 9th inning when Jose Trevino scored on a wild pitch.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are 26-14 overall and trail the Orioles by just a half-game for the AL East lead. New York is on the road today, taking on the Rays, and they lead the series 1-0. So far, they are 7-7 against other AL East teams.

At home, the Yankees have gone 13-6 this year, and they have the same record on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 19-10 this year, and they are 7-4 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 9-2-1, and they have won two straight series.

When the Yankees win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.4 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -2.4 runs per game. Their overall run line record is .500 at 20-20, but they have been a better bet on the road than at home, going 12-9 against the run line away from the Bronx. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 8-3 against the run line in those games.

The over/under line for the Yankees’ game against the Rays is set at 8 runs. The Yankees have an over/under record of 16-22 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.1 runs per game. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Yankees have a record of 2-4. Overall, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 29 of the Yankees’ games this season, accounting for 72.5% of their games.

New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 3.72. Cortes has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and had nine strikeouts. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Looking back at his last three outings, Cortes has allowed at least one homer in each. So far, he has allowed five homers. Per nine innings, Cortes is giving up 1.49 walks compared to 8.57 strikeouts.

So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 6th in the league, and are 3rd in the league in home runs. New York has been patient at the plate, as they are 2nd in the league in walks and have a collective OBP of .336.

Juan Soto has been the team’s best hitter this season, with a batting average of .325 and 33 RBIs. He also has 9 homers, which is 4th in the league. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are tied for the team lead with 9 homers, but both are hitting below .230 for the season. Judge has been hot of late, though, hitting .385 over his last eight games.

The Rays are 19-20 overall, and they trail the Orioles by seven games in the AL East. Overall, they are 3-5 in divisional games. Tampa Bay is looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Mets. At home, the Rays are 13-11 this year and 6-9 on the road.

So far, the Rays have been favored in 29 of their games, and they are 14-15 in those games. As for their games as the underdog, they are 5-5. Tampa Bay has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 5-5-2.

Despite being a losing team overall, the Rays have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 15-24. They have been even better at home, where they are 9-15 on the run line. Their average run margin is -0.8 runs per game, but they have been better than that in their wins, with an average run margin of +2.5 runs per game.

The Tampa Bay Rays have had a combined run average of 8.7 so far this season, and their over/under record is 21-18. Their average over/under line is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 7-3. In total, 51.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.

Zack Littell gets the start for the Rays today and will be facing the Yankees at home. So far this season, he has made seven starts and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 3.00. Littell’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.31. In his 39 innings of work, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 9.69 strikeouts per nine innings. Littell’s last outing came on May 4th, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, as he is hitting .293 for the season and has gone 7/23 in his last seven games. Paredes also has a team-high eight homers and 20 RBIs, which is 14th in the league. Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team with six homers but is batting just .143 this season and has gone 4/25 in his last seven games.

Overall, the Rays are averaging 3.9 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 10th in the league, and have the 10th best on-base percentage in the league.

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Rays game is to take the Rays on the money line at +107. We have the Rays winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 8 runs, there is a little bit of room for error, but we still like the payout of the Rays picking up the win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Littell is projected to finish with four strikeouts, while Nestor Cortes is predicted to end the game with five. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look at the over/under on strikeouts for each of these pitchers.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• We like the Rays on the moneyline (+107)
• On the run line we like Rays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report