Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 9/17/2024

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Preview

The Red Sox head into Tuesday’s AL East matchup vs. the Rays looking to move above .500 for the season, as they are currently 75-75. Boston is 3rd in the AL East, while the Rays are 4th, as they have lost two straight and are 73-77 overall. Shane Baz will start for the Rays, while the Red Sox are sending Nick Pivetta to the mound.

Boston is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -111 compared to the Rays at -106. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and this one can be seen on NESN.

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• The Red Sox are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• The Rays, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• The Red Sox are 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite and 3-7 as the underdog.
• 5-5 is the record of the Rays as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 4-6.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as it was the Yankees who handed the Red Sox the loss. Boston was the +149 underdog going into this road matchup.

Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. The Red Sox’s offense scored their only two runs in the of the 4th.

Boston is at an even 75-75 overall as they are 12 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox are 21-22 in divisional games this year. They will open up their series vs. the Rays on the road today.

At home, the Red Sox are 35-40 this year, and they are 40-35 on the road. As the road favorite, the Red Sox have gone 15-5 this year, and they are 41-33 overall as the favorite. Boston’s series record is 22-19-6 this year, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Yankees.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have a run line record of 43-32, which is a winning percentage of 57.3%. They have a run line record of 71-79 overall, and their average run differential for the season is 0.0 runs per game. They have a run line record of 28-47 at home and 43-32 on the road. They have an average run differential of -0.5 runs per game at home and +0.6 runs per game on the road. They have a run line record of 28-46 as the favorite and 43-33 as the underdog.

When the Boston Red Sox hit the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. The over/under record for the Red Sox this season is 74-68, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, they are 9-11. Overall, the Red Sox games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season.

Through 23 starts, Nick Pivetta has a record of 5-10 and an ERA of 4.25. He has made 24 appearances this season and has a WHIP of 1.14. Pivetta has turned in 10 quality starts this year, and his ERA on the road is 5.32 compared to 5.07 at home. The right-hander’s last outing came on September 11th vs. the Orioles, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went six innings and gave up one earned run on four hits. Pivetta has not taken a loss in his last three outings.

The Red Sox come into today’s game as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 4.7 runs per game. This has them 9th in the league and 5th in terms of batting average, hitting a combined .255. Boston has also been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as their 9 strikeouts per game is 28th in the league. Overall, the Red Sox are 7th in home runs and have the league’s best BABIP at .32.

Rafael Devers has been a key power bat for the Red Sox this season, as his 28 home runs are 2nd on the team and 13th in the MLB. He also leads the team with 83 RBIs and comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Tyler O’Neill has also been a good power threat for the Red Sox, but he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 3/21 in his last six games.

Tampa Bay closed out their series vs. the Guardians with a 2-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Rays were the slight favorite at +106 on the money line. It was a rough start for the Rays, as they gave up a run in the 2nd inning and fell behind right away. Tampa Bay’s offense scored their only two runs in the 4th inning of their 7-4 win on Saturday.

Taj Bradley got the start for the Rays and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits. The Rays also wasted a good game from Brandon Lowe, who went 2/4 with two doubles.

Tampa Bay will take on the Red Sox with a record of 73-77, which has them 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 14.0 games behind the Yankees for the lead in the AL East. The Rays have gone 19-24 against other teams in the AL East this year.

The Rays dropped their final two games of their series with the Guardians after winning the first two games. So far, they have an overall series record of 22-18-7. As the underdog, the Rays are 38-47 this year, including having lost two straight as the underdog. At home, they are 37-38 and 36-39 on the road. Heading into today’s game, they have lost two straight overall.

Despite their losing record, the Rays have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 77-73. They have been especially good on the road, going 43-32. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 53-32, compared to 24-41 when favored. They have been outscored by an average of 0.4 runs per game this season.

When the Tampa Bay Rays are at home this season, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in 50 games. The over/under record in those games is 23-27, and the combined run average in those games is 8.0 runs per game. The under has hit in five straight games with a total set at 7.5 runs.

Shane Baz gets the start for the Rays today and comes in with a record of 2-3 and ERA of 3.28. So far, he has made 11 starts and five of them have been quality starts. In his last outing, Baz finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came at home, and the other was on the road. Baz has been pitching well recently, as he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his last three outings.

So far this season, the Rays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. This has been the case both at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting just .230 and have the 24th ranked home run total in the league. However, they do have the 9th fewest strikeouts in the league and have been good at drawing walks.

Yandy Diaz comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and is leading the team in batting average (.283) and RBIs (65). Christopher Morel has a team-high 21 homers but is batting just .198 for the season. Morel is 2nd on the team with 57 RBIs.

Our pick for this Red Sox and Rays matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with the payout being -111. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 5-4.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher props, Shane Baz is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than Nick Pivetta. However, we have Pivetta going seven innings, while Baz is projected to go just five.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips

• We like the Red Sox on the moneyline (-111)
• The Red Sox are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report

Boston Red Sox Injury Report