Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 6/9/2024

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

From Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have the Orioles and Rays facing off in an AL East matchup. The Orioles are 41-22 this season and they are on a two-game winning streak. The Rays have lost two straight and their overall record is 31-33, putting them 5th in the AL East.

Grayson Rodriguez will be starting for the Orioles, while the Rays are going with Zack Littell. Baltimore is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. MASN will be televising this game, and the first pitch is set for 1:40 PM ET.

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Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats

• The Orioles are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
• On the opposing side, the Rays have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
• The Orioles have a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 7-3 against the runline.
• As the underdog, the Rays have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 5-5 straight-up.

The most recent game o of this Orioles vs. Rays series featured a lopsided 9-0 win for the Orioles. Heading into the game, they were favored at -136 on the money line.

Baltimore’s offense got off to a fast start in the game, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Rays were held in check, managing just two hits and one run in five innings against Orioles starter Kyle Bradish.

Bradish finished the game with nine strikeouts and didn’t give up a run in six innings of work. He picked up a win in the game, while Taj Bradley took the loss for Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are 41-22 overall this season, and they are 2.5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore has gone 15-6 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles have won two straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.

So far, the Orioles have been good both at home (21-12) and on the road (20-10). As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 34-18 this year, and they are 7-4 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 13-4-3, and they are leading the Rays 2-0 in the series.

When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet on the run line, going 20-10. They have covered the run line in 10 straight road games and are 9-2 as an underdog. Their average run differential on the road is +1.7 runs per game.

The Baltimore Orioles are on the road today against the Tampa Bay Rays in a game with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Orioles have had a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-24. The average over/under line in their games this season has been 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 3-3. So far this season, 79.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Grayson Rodriguez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 6-2. Rodriguez’s ERA is 3.28, and he is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run. In that start against the Blue Jays, he pitched 6 2/3 innings. One issue for Rodriguez has been the home run ball, as he has allowed six homers this year. Looking at his walk numbers, Rodriguez is averaging 3.28 per nine innings compared to 10.14 strikeouts.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Rutschman batting .300 with 12 homers and Henderson at .263 with a league-high 20 home runs. Henderson’s 45 RBIs are also the best mark on the team, while Rutschman is 2nd at 43. Anthony Santander has also been a solid run producer, as he is batting just .227 but has 13 homers and 36 RBIs.

Baltimore’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game and leading the MLB with 100 home runs. They are also the league’s top slugging team and have the best isolated power figure in the league. The Orioles come into the game with the 3rd best OPS in the league.

Tampa Bay will be looking to avoid losing the series to the Orioles, as they are already down 0-2 in the series. Overall, the Rays are 31-33, which has them 13 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. So far, they are 10-15 in divisional games.

The Rays have dropped two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10. At home, Tampa Bay is 17-20 this season compared to 14-13 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 11-14 this year and 20-19 when favored.

When the Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.3 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.8 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 26-38, and they are 11-26 against the run line at home. Despite that, they are 15-12 against the run line on the road.

When the Tampa Bay Rays play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 33-30. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 11-5. Overall, 71.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and only 3.1% have had lower lines.

Tampa Bay is giving the ball to Zack Littell today vs. the Orioles, and he comes into the game with a record of 2-3 and ERA of 3.56. So far this year, he has made 12 starts, and opponents are batting .278 off the right-hander. Littell has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 8.69 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Littell finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.

So far this season, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. This is also the worst mark in the league in terms of home runs. As a team, they are batting .234, which is 13th in the league, but their on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all near the bottom of the league. One thing that has gone well for the Rays is their team BABIP of .30, which is 6th in the league.

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot in the Rays lineup so far, as he is batting .288 and leads the team with 37 RBIs. He also has 10 home runs, which is 12th in the league. Amed Rosario has been hot of late, going 10/25 in his last seven games, and Jose Siri has three homers in his last nine games.

Our prediction for today’s Orioles vs. Rays matchup is to take the Rays on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at +114. We actually have the Rays winning this one by a score of 6-5, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Grayson Rodriguez finishing with more strikeouts than Zack Littell, as we have Rodriguez finishing with six and Littell with four. However, Littell is projected to go deeper into the game, with Rodriguez going six innings and Littell going 6.2.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• On the run line we like Rays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report