Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 6/7/2024

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

From Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have the Orioles and Rays facing off in an AL East matchup. The Orioles are 39-22 this season, but they are currently on a two-game losing streak. The Rays are 31-31 and they have won three straight games.

Baltimore is sending Cole Irvin to the mound, while Aaron Civale is starting for the Rays. On the money line, the Orioles are the slight favorite, with their odds sitting at -117 compared to the Rays at -104. Friday’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and MASN will be televising this one.

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Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Orioles have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
• In the Rays’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
• In their previous ten games, Orioles have won 7-3 as favorites and 4-6 as underdogs.
• The Rays have a 5-5 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 4-6.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Adley Rutschman had a big game at the plate for the Orioles in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, going 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs. The Orioles really got hot late, scoring their final four runs in the 8th inning. However, they couldn’t complete the comeback, and Baltimore’s Cade Povich took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs.

Ryan O’Hearn started for the Orioles, going just 1/1 and a homer. The Orioles really needed a good start from him, as they had to use four other relievers to get through the 8th inning. Overall, the Orioles were the +107 underdog on the road going into this game.

Baltimore is 39-22 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL East, 4.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles lost the final two games of their series vs. the Blue Jays and are 13-6 in the division this year. So far, they have been good at home, going 21-12, and they are 18-10 on the road.

As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 32-18 and 7-4 as the underdog. Baltimore has an overall series record of 13-4-3 this year, and they have won two straight games as the favorite. Their overall record is the best in the American League right now.

The Orioles have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, with a 36-25 record. They have been particularly strong on the road, where they are 18-10 against the run line. They have covered the run line in eight straight road games and have an average run margin of 1.5 runs per game away from home.

When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs per game, but today’s line is 7.5 runs. Baltimore games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and they have gone over the total in 31 of their 54 games. Nearly 80% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run total.

Cole Irvin gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays on the road. So far this season, he has made nine starts and has a record of 5-2 with an ERA of 2.84. Irvin’s WHIP for the season is 1.16, and he has issued just 1.89 walks per nine innings. In his last outing, Irvin went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on eight hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. This year, he has four quality starts and is averaging 5.84 strikeouts per nine innings.

Adley Rutschman has been on a tear of late for the Orioles, as he is batting .353 over his last eight games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .307 with a team-leading 43 RBIs and 12 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 9th in the league. Gunnar Henderson has also been a big power threat for the Orioles, as his 19 homers is 2nd in the league, and he is batting .265.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also the top scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s top isolated power mark and are 1st in slugging percentage.

Isaac Paredes had a big game at the plate for the Rays in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, going 2/4 with three RBIs. The Rays really broke things open with a three-run 1st inning and added another two runs in the 3rd. Tampa Bay’s offense was the -129 favorite going into the game.

Zach Eflin got the start for the Rays, going four innings and giving up two runs on three hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss.

Tampa Bay is at an even 31-31 overall heading into today’s game vs. the Orioles. The Rays are on a three-game winning streak, and they are 13 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they have gone just 10-13 in AL East matchups. Tampa Bay closed out their series vs. the Marlins with two straight wins.

At home, the Rays are 17-18 this year and 14-13 on the road. As the favorite, Tampa Bay is 20-19 and 11-12 as the underdog. They have won two straight at home, and they are 9-9-2 in series this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 9-9-2.

The Rays have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they have a run line record of 26-36. They have been slightly better on the road, going 15-12 ATS, compared to 11-24 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 13-10 ATS, compared to 13-26 as the favorite. Their average run differential is -0.8 runs per game.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-29. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 11-5. Overall, 71.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Their over streak is at 2 games.

Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Rays today and comes in with a record of 2-4 and ERA of 5.37. So far this season, he has made 12 starts, and opponents are batting .263 off him. Civale has turned in three quality starts this year and is averaging 8.71 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Civale has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

For the season, the Rays are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. This is also the worst home run hitting team in the league, and they are near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. However, they have been good at putting the ball in play, as their team batting average is 15th in the league, and they have the league’s 5th best BABIP.

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, batting .298 with 10 homers and 37 RBIs. He is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Amed Rosario also comes into the game on a hot streak, going 10/22 in his last six games. This has raised his season average to .455.

Our pick for this Orioles vs. Rays matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, which is currently at -117. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 5-4. If you are looking for a parlay option, you could also look to take the Orioles on the money line and look for them to hit a home run, as they are projected to have the fifth-most home runs in the league today.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our model has Cole Irvin finishing with five strikeouts, which is better than Aaron Civale, who is projected to finish with five. Civale is also projected to finish with fewer innings than Irvin, and we have his final line at 14th among starters in terms of earned runs.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• We like the Orioles on the moneyline (-117)
• The Orioles are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report