Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 6/10/2024

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Orioles head into Monday’s AL East matchup vs. the Rays looking to extend their winning streak to four games. They are currently 42-22 and their money line odds are -153 compared to the Rays at +130. Tampa Bay will be looking to end their losing streak of three games, and they are 5th in the AL East with a record of 31-34.

Monday’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and FS1 will be televising this game. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 6:50 PM ET. Ryan Pepiot is starting for the Rays, and the Orioles are going with Corbin Burnes.

Check out BetCoco for Tampa Bay Rays – Baltimore Orioles odds

Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats

• The Orioles are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Rays have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• The Orioles have a straight-up record of 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 8-2.
• When playing as the underdog, the Rays have gone 3-7 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 5-5 over their last ten games.

Baltimore cruised to a 9-2 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 2nd inning, scoring eight of their nine runs. As for the Rays, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -144 on the money line.

Grayson Rodriguez got the win for the Orioles, going just 5 2/3 innings but giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued one walk. Zack Littell had a rough outing for the Rays, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits.

Adley Rutschman and Anthony Santander each homered for the Orioles, while Jordan Westburg scored twice and drove in two runs while going 3/5. Colton Cowser also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles have won three straight games, and they are 42-22 overall this season. Baltimore is 2nd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 2.5 games. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL East, putting up a record of 16-6.

At home, the Orioles have gone 21-12 this season, and they have the same 21-10 record on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 35-18 this year, and they have gone 7-4 as the underdog. Baltimore has won three straight games as the road favorite, and their overall series record is 13-4-3.

When it comes to betting on the run line, the Orioles have been a solid choice this season, as they are 39-25 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 21-10 against the run line. Baltimore has covered the run line in 11 straight road games and is 9-2 as an underdog this season.

When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in seven of their games this season. In those games, the over has hit four times and the under has hit three times. Overall, the Orioles have played 50 games with an over/under line higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 78.1% of their games this season.

Right-hander Corbin Burnes is starting for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 6-2 with an ERA of 2.26. Opposing batters are hitting .190 off Burnes this season, and he has turned in 10 quality starts. In his last outing, Burnes went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back over his last four outings, he has allowed just one earned run in three of them. Burnes’ ERA on the road is 3.22, compared to 1.78 at home.

Adley Rutschman has been the Orioles’ top hitter this season, batting .306 with 13 homers and 49 RBIs. He has been even better of late, going 7/22 in his last five games with three homers and nine RBIs. Anthony Santander has also homered three times in his last five games, going 5/19 during that stretch. Santander is batting just .227 for the season.

Baltimore comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have also been the best home run hitting team in the league so far. Overall, they are batting .249 as a team and have the league’s top slugging percentage.

The Rays are looking to pick up a win today, as they are 31-34 overall and trail the Yankees by 14 games in the AL East. So far, they have gone just 10-16 in divisional games. Tampa Bay has dropped three straight games, and this losing streak includes being down 0-3 in their series vs. the Orioles.

At home, the Rays are 17-21 this year compared to 14-13 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 11-15 this year, and they are 4-8 when favored at home. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 9-9-2 heading into today’s game, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Rays win, they tend to win big, as their average run margin in victories is +2.3. However, when they lose, they tend to lose by a larger margin, as their average run margin in losses is -3.9. Overall, they have a run line record of 26-39, with a run line record of 11-27 at home and 15-12 on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last six home games and are just 13-26 against the run line as the favorite.

The Tampa Bay Rays are at home today against the Baltimore Orioles, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in Rays games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 34-30. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 12-5. Overall, 70.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today and will be facing the Orioles at home. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.96. Opposing batters are hitting .181 this season off Pepiot, and he has a WHIP of .95. Looking back at his last outing, Pepiot picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had three straight outings in which he gave up three earned runs. Pepiot has five quality starts this year.

So far this season, the Rays offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 16th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs.

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, as he is batting .288 and has a team-high 10 home runs. Over his last nine games, Jose Siri is hitting .300 with three homers. Yandy Diaz is also on a three-game hitting streak.

Our pick for this Orioles vs. Rays matchup is to take the Rays on the money line at +130. We actually have the Rays winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the money line payout, this is a great pick to go with.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Corbin Burnes finishing with six strikeouts, which is tied for fourth among starters. As for Ryan Pepiot, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts, which is tied for the lowest among starters.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• The Rays are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report