St. Louis Cardinals vs Seattle Mariners Preview
At Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have an interleague matchup between the Mariners and Cardinals. First pitch for this one is set for 2:15 PM ET. RSNW will be televising this one.
On the money line, the Mariners are favored, with their line sitting at -127 compared to the Cardinals at +108. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs. Luis Castillo is starting for the Mariners, and he will be facing off against Miles Mikolas. Seattle is 72-71, while the Cardinals are 72-70.
Check out BetCoco for St. Louis Cardinals – Seattle Mariners odds
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- The Mariners are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- On the other side, the Cardinals have gone 4-1 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- Over their last ten games, the Mariners have a 5-5 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Cardinals have a 1-9 record against the runline and a 4-6 straight-up record in their last ten games.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs Mariners series. St. Louis went into the matchup as +112 underdogs and squeaked out a 2-0 win. Both teams scored their only runs in the 8th inning.
Kyle Gibson got the start for the Cardinals and went 6 2/3 innings while striking out nine and not giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Andrew Kittredge got the save. Logan Gilbert had a good outing for the Mariners, giving up just two earned runs in eight innings of work.
Pedro Pages was the difference for the Cardinals, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Cal Raleigh had two hits for the Mariners.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is 72-71 overall, and they are 5.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners are on the road today, taking on the Cardinals, and they are 19-26 as the underdog this season. As for their overall record vs. other teams in the AL West, they are 22-17 this year.
At home, the Mariners have gone 41-28 this season and are just under .500 at 31-43 on the road. Seattle has an overall series record of 19-23-3 heading into today’s game three vs. the Cardinals. So far, they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
The Mariners have been a poor bet on the run line this season, going 60-83 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, where they are 31-43 against the run line. They are also below .500 against the run line as the favorite, going 39-59. Their average run differential this season is +0.3, but they have been outscored by 0.1 runs per game on the road.
Seattle’s over/under record is 64-71 this season, and the average line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the Mariners have gone over 19 times and under 22 times. In total, 54 of their games have had lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 37.8% of their games this year.
Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 11-12 and an ERA of 3.60. So far this season, he has made 29 starts, and opponents are batting .231 off Castillo this year. In his 29 appearances, he has turned in 18 quality starts and is averaging 8.98 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he took the mound, Castillo finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.
Julio Rodriguez has been hot at the plate for the Mariners, going 13/37 in his last nine games with two homers and seven RBIs. Overall, he is batting .261 with 14 homers and 49 RBIs. Luke Raley and Randy Arozarena are both near the top of the Mariners’ home run leaderboard, but both are batting below .240 for the season.
Seattle’s offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and have the most strikeouts in the league. However, they do have a good team walk rate and have been hitting for some power this season.
With a record of 72-70, the Cardinals are 10 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. St. Louis is also tied with the Cubs for 2nd place in the division. The Cardinals are hosting the Mariners today, and they are 37-33 at home this season.
The Cardinals have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games, and they have won two straight series. So far this year, they are 23-18-5 in series matchups. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 14-9 this year and 39-36 overall. When favored, St. Louis has gone 33-34 this season.
When the Cardinals win, they do so by an average of 2.7 runs per game. They are 49-26 against the run line as the underdog and 71-71 overall. They are 35-35 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of -0.2. Overall, they have a run differential of -0.4 runs per game.
When the St. Louis Cardinals play at home, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. This season, the over/under record for the Cardinals is 68-70, and their games have had an average combined run total of 8.7 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-21. In 105 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs, which is 73.9% of their games.
Right-hander Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Mariners at home. He has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 8-10 with an ERA of 5.27. Mikolas has made 14 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he allowed three earned runs in four innings of work. In that start, he gave up one homer. Mikolas has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .279 off Mikolas this year. At home, he is 1-5 with a 6.60 ERA.
Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/34 in his last eight games, including one home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .243, but his 21 homers are tied for the team lead. Alec Burleson is also at 21 homers and has driven in a team-high 73 runs while batting .274.
As a team, the Cardinals are batting a collective .246, which is 9th in the league. However, they are just 24th in the league in runs per game at 4.1. So far, they have been a little better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. Overall, their OPS of .700 is 19th in the league.
We see the Cardinals coming away with a 6-5 win over the Mariners. With the Cardinals being the underdog at +108, there is some good value in picking them up straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Miles Mikolas finishing with five strikeouts, which is good for fifth-worst among today’s starters. As for Luis Castillo, he is projected to finish with eight K’s, which is fourth-best. However, we have Castillo giving up six hits compared to Mikolas, who is projected to give up the most among today’s starters.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Mariners on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Brendan Donovan | Questionable | Infection |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| Victor Robles | Questionable | Elbow |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
