St. Louis Cardinals vs Seattle Mariners Preview
From Busch Stadium in St. Louis, the Mariners and Cardinals face off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 7:15 PM ET. BSMW is carrying this one on TV.
On the money line, the Mariners are favored, with their odds sitting at -127 compared to the Cardinals at +107. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs. Kyle Gibson will start for the Cardinals, and he is facing off against Logan Gilbert for the Mariners. Seattle is 72-70, and the Cardinals are 71-70. The Mariners are on a three-game winning streak and are in second place in the AL West, while the Cardinals are third in the NL Central.
Check out BetCoco for St. Louis Cardinals – Seattle Mariners odds
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Mariners in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Cardinals have gone 4-1 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- The Mariners have a 5-5 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 5-5 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Cardinals have gone 1-9 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 4-6 over their last ten games.
Seattle cruised to an easy 6-1 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 3rd inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored their only run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -115.
Julio Rodriguez and Justin Turner each had two hits and an RBI for the Mariners. Cal Raleigh also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs while scoring once. Dylan Moore added a home run and two RBIs.
Bryce Miller pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going six innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Erick Fedde had a rough outing for the Cardinals, taking the loss.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is 72-70 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL West, trailing the Astros by 4.5 games. The Mariners have won three straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10. Seattle’s record is 22-17 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Mariners have gone 41-28 this season, and they are just below .500 at 31-42 on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners are 53-44 this year and 19-26 as the underdog. Seattle has won three straight games as the road favorite.
Seattle has been a tough team to bet on this season, with a run line record of 60-82. They have been slightly better on the road, going 31-42 against the run line. The Mariners have been a better bet as the underdog, going 21-24 against the run line in those games. They have covered the run line in three straight games and have an average run differential of -0.1 on the road this season.
The Seattle Mariners are on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 7.8. The Mariners have played 54 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs this season, which accounts for 38.0% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 64-70.
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He comes in with a record of 7-10 and an ERA of 3.19. Looking at his overall numbers, Gilbert has made 28 starts, and opponents are batting .193 this season. Gilbert has turned in 21 quality starts this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. Gilbert has given up at least one homer in four of his last five starts.
Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 29 home runs are the best mark on the Mariners and 11th in the league. He is also 11th in the league with 89 RBIs. However, he is batting just .211 for the season. Over his last seven games, Raleigh has gone 7/27 (.259) with two homers. Julio Rodríguez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/30 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Mariners are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of striking out and have the worst team batting average in the MLB. Seattle’s home and road splits are nearly identical, as they are averaging 4.4 runs per game on the road and 3.7 at home.
St. Louis is hosting the Mariners today with an overall record of 71-70, and they trail the Brewers by 10 games in the NL Central. So far, they are 21-24 in divisional games. The Cardinals are looking to bounce back, having lost the first game of this series vs. the Mariners.
As the underdog this season, the Cardinals have gone 38-36, and they are 13-9 as the home underdog. St. Louis has been good on the road, putting together a record of 35-37. At home, the Cardinals are 36-33 this season. Their overall series record is 23-18-5, and they have won two straight series.
The Cardinals have a run line record of 70-71 this season, with a run line record of 34-35 at home. They have been the underdog in 74 games, going 48-26 on the run line in those contests. Their average run differential in wins is +2.7, while it is -3.6 in losses.
The St. Louis Cardinals have played in 105 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 74.5% of their games. Their games have averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 68-69 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-21.
St. Louis starter Kyle Gibson has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 8-6. His ERA is 4.39, along with a WHIP of 1.35. Opposing batters are hitting .253 off Gibson this year. In his last outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back further, Gibson had given up at least two homers in three straight starts before his most recent outing. The right-hander has allowed 19 homers this season, and his ERA at home is 5.46 compared to 3.97 on the road.
Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat for the Cardinals, going 16/38 in his last nine games with six RBIs. He also has one homer during this stretch. Masyn Winn and Alec Burleson are both batting .275 this season, with Burleson leading the team with 21 homers and 73 RBIs. Burleson is also on a two-game homer streak.
Overall, the Cardinals are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are just 21st in home runs this season. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 10th in the league. So far, they have been a below-average team in terms of slugging and OPS.
With the Cardinals at +107 on the money line, that is the direction we recommend going in this one. We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6-5, which would give you a little room to take them on the run line if you prefer.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kyle Gibson finishing with seven strikeouts, while Logan Gilbert is projected to finish with eight. However, Gilbert has the higher ceiling, and we have him with the highest strikeout projection among today’s starters.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- We like the Cardinals on the moneyline (+107)
- On the run line we like Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | Questionable | Shoulder |
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| Victor Robles | Questionable | Elbow |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
