St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants Preview
From Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have the Giants and Cardinals facing off in an NL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 2:15 PM ET. BSMW is carrying the game on TV.
San Francisco is +105 on the money line, while the Cardinals are the slight favorite at -125. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs. Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants, and the Cardinals are starting Sonny Gray. St. Louis is 2nd in the NL Central, while the Giants are 4th in the NL West. The Cardinals have won two straight, while the Giants are on a four-game losing streak.
Check out BetCoco for St. Louis Cardinals – San Francisco Giants odds
St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Giants have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Cardinals have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- As the favorite, the Cardinals are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
- The Giants have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
It was all St. Louis in the last game of this series, as the Cardinals took down the Giants by a score of 9-4. The Cardinals offense only had two more hits than the Giants and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -119 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Miles Mikolas for the Cardinals and Jordan Hicks for the Giants. Mikolas only went six innings but gave up just four hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Hicks was tagged for five runs in four innings of work.
San Francisco actually got on the board first in this game, scoring three runs in the first inning. As for the Cardinals, they didn’t get on the board until the second and exploded for five runs in the 4th. From there, they cruised to the easy win.
St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
With a record of 36-41, the Giants are 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 11 games. The Giants have dropped four straight games, and they lost the first two games of this series vs. the Cardinals. So far, they are 3-7 on their current road trip.
San Francisco has an overall division record of 13-13 this year. At home, the Giants have gone 20-17 compared to 16-24 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 10-17 this season, and they have dropped three straight as the underdog overall.
When the Giants win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.7 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 37-40, and they are 21-19 against the run line on the road.
The Giants have been a solid over bet this season, as their games have gone over the total in 42 of their 75 games. Their games have averaged a combined 9.2 runs per game, and the over has hit in each of their last three games. Today’s over/under line is set at 7 runs, and their games have gone over that total in just one of the five games this season that have had a line of 7 runs.
Giants starter Logan Webb finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. This start came against the Cubs, and he made it through seven innings without giving up a homer. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Webb’s ERA for the season is 2.99, along with a record of 6-5. Looking back over his last 10 starts, he has allowed one homer in five of those outings. For the year, Webb has given up just five homers.
Heliot Ramos has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Giants, going 10/37 with four homers and 11 RBIs over his last eight games. Ramos is currently 15th in the league with 10 homers and is batting .297 for the season. Thairo Estrada and Jorge Soler are also near the top of the Giants’ home run leaderboard, with nine homers apiece.
As a team, the Giants are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. This is a pretty good number, but they have been even better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 16th in home runs and have the league’s 9th best batting average.
St. Louis is currently 38-37 overall, and they are 2nd in the NL Central, five games behind the Brewers. The Cardinals have won two straight games, and they are 9-9 in divisional matchups this year. St. Louis took the first two games of this series vs. the Giants and have an overall series record of 12-11-1 this year.
At home, the Cardinals are 19-15 this year and have won four straight at home. They are also 19-22 on the road. St. Louis has been a favorite in 36 games, going 19-17 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 19-20 this year. Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals have gone 7-3 in their last 10.
Despite a negative run differential overall, the Cardinals have been a solid run-line bet this season, going 38-37. They have been especially profitable at home, where they are 20-14 against the run line. The Cards have covered the run line in six straight games at home and are 24-15 as an underdog.
The St. Louis Cardinals are playing at home against the San Francisco Giants today, and the over/under line is set at 7 runs. The Cardinals’ games have had an average of 8.5 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-40. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 2-1-1. The over has hit in two straight games for the Cardinals.
Sonny Gray gets the start for the Cardinals today and comes into the game with a record of 8-4 and an ERA of 2.95. So far, he has made 13 starts and six of them have been quality starts. Gray’s ERA at home is 1.64, compared to 4.89 on the road. In his last outing, he went 7 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gray’s worst outing of the season came on May 26th, when he gave up seven earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work.
Over the past nine games, Brendan Donovan has been on fire for the Cardinals, hitting .361 with four homers and nine RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs for the season. Donovan is also on a six-game hitting streak. Alec Burleson has also been a key power threat for the Cardinals, as his 12 homers is 2nd on the team and 13th in the league.
For the season, the Cardinals are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 23rd in the MLB. They have been a better home team this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .238 and have the 12th ranked batting average in the league.
With the Giants at +105 on the money line, we really like their chances to pick up a win on the road against the Cardinals. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Giants, giving us some nice value on the Giants to win straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Sonny Gray finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Logan Webb with just four. However, we still like Webb to finish with a better ERA, and we have his final line at five innings with two earned runs.
St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- We like the Giants on the moneyline (+105)
- The Giants are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Nolan Arenado | Questionable | Forearm |
Kyle Gibson | Questionable | Back |
Steven Matz | Out | Back |
Willson Contreras | Out | Forearm |
Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
Michael Siani | Questionable | Ribs |
Iván Herrera | Out | Back |
Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |
Lars Nootbaar | Out | Oblique |
Nick Robertson | Out | Elbow |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Robbie Ray | Out | Elbow |
Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
Mike Yastrzemski | Out | Oblique |
Blake Snell | Out | Groin |
LaMonte Wade Jr. | Out | Hamstring |
Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
Austin Warren | Out | Elbow |
Kyle Harrison | Out | Ankle |
Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |