St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants Preview
From Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have the Giants and Cardinals facing off in an NL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 2:15 PM ET. NBCS will be televising this one.
San Francisco is currently on a three-game losing streak and is 36-40 overall, while the Cardinals are 2nd in the NL Central with a record of 37-37. Miles Mikolas will start for the Cardinals, and he is facing a Giants team with Jordan Hicks on the mound.
Check out BetCoco for St. Louis Cardinals – San Francisco Giants odds
St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- The Giants are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Cardinals have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
- Over the last ten games, Giants has a record of 4-6 when playing as favorites and 4-6 when playing as underdogs.
- The Cardinals have a 6-4 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 6-4.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs Giants series. St. Louis went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -101 and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Cardinals had lost the previous two games of the series.
San Francisco wasted a good outing from Keaton Winn, as he gave up just two earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work for the Giants. Andre Pallante struggled on the mound for the Cardinals, giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Offensively, the Cardinals were led by Brendan Donovan, who went 3/4 with a home run. He scored three times and drove in three runs. Alec Burleson also had a two-hit game for St. Louis.
St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
San Francisco is 36-40 overall and 10.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants have dropped three straight games, and they lost the series opener vs. the Cardinals. So far, they are 12-10-2 in series this year.
At home, the Giants have gone 20-17 compared to 16-23 on the road. As the favorite, San Francisco is 21-18 this year and 15-22 as the underdog. On the road, the Giants have dropped three straight games as the favorite.
San Francisco is 21-18 against the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last game. The Giants are 16-23 against the run line as the favorite, but 21-16 as the underdog.
The San Francisco Giants are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Giants have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-33. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-6. Overall, 13.2% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, and their over streak is at 2 games.
SF Giants starter Jordan Hicks has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 2.82. So far, he has turned in three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a run. Against the Cubs on June 17th, Hicks went five innings, giving up no earned runs, four hits, and four walks. He finished with four strikeouts in the outing. Hicks’ ERA for the season is 2.89 on the road compared to 3.0 at home. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.98 strikeouts and 3.29 walks.
Heading into today’s game, the Giants are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, putting up 4.5 runs per game. So far, they have been a team that has been tough to strike out and are 6th in the league in walks. Overall, they are batting .247, which is 10th in the MLB.
Heliot Ramos has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/36 with four homers over his last eight games. This has helped him take over the team lead in home runs, as he is now 14th in the league in homers. Thairo Estrada has also been a good power source for the Giants, as he is 2nd on the team with nine homers and has driven in a team-high 39 runs.
St. Louis is at an even 37-37 overall as they trail the Brewers by six games in the NL Central. So far, they are 9-9 in divisional games and have won three straight home games. The Cardinals have an overall record of 18-15 at home this year.
As for the Giants, they are 41-24 overall and lead the NL West by 2.5 games. San Francisco won four straight games before losing the series opener vs. the Cardinals. On the road, the Giants are 19-12 this year.
St. Louis has been a solid bet against the run line at home this season, going 19-14. They have covered the run line in five straight games at home and have been profitable as the underdog, going 24-15 against the run line. The Cardinals’ average run differential in their wins is +2.4, while it drops to -3.4 in their losses.
The St. Louis Cardinals are at home today against the San Francisco Giants, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 31-40. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-9. So far this season, 20.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Miles Mikolas will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 6 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Cubs, he allowed just four hits and didn’t give up a homer. Looking at his overall numbers, Mikolas has a record of 5-6 and an ERA of 4.59. Opposing batters are hitting .254 off the right-hander this season. Mikolas has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 6.83 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has only allowed 1.6 walks per nine innings.
So far this season, the Cardinals offense has been a middle-of-the-pack unit, averaging 4 runs per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .237, which is 13th in the league, and are 16th in home runs. St. Louis will need to improve on their team on-base percentage of .304, which is 17th in the league.
Nolan Gorman is leading the Cardinals in home runs this season, but he is batting just .200. Gorman’s 16 homers are 8th in the league. Brendan Donovan has been hot of late, going 9/25 in his last six games with two homers. This has brought his season average up to .258.
With the Giants going off at -106 on the money line, that is the way we would recommend playing this one. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Giants, meaning there is also some value on the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher props, we have Jordan Hicks finishing with five strikeouts, and for Miles Mikolas, he is projected to finish with four. If you’re looking at some team props, the Giants are projected to finish with 12 strikeouts, while the Cardinals are projected to finish with eight.
St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- We like the Giants on the moneyline (-106)
- The Giants should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Nolan Arenado | Questionable | Elbow |
Kyle Gibson | Questionable | Back |
Steven Matz | Out | Back |
Willson Contreras | Out | Forearm |
Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
Iván Herrera | Questionable | Back |
Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |
Lars Nootbaar | Out | Oblique |
Nick Robertson | Out | Elbow |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Robbie Ray | Out | Elbow |
Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
Mike Yastrzemski | Questionable | Side |
Blake Snell | Out | Groin |
Jordan Hicks | Probable | Illness |
LaMonte Wade Jr. | Out | Hamstring |
Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
Austin Warren | Out | Elbow |
Kyle Harrison | Out | Ankle |
Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |