St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Betting Tips 8/28/2024

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Preview

The forecast for Wednesday’s Padres vs. Cardinals matchup calls for overcast skies and temperatures in the mid-90s. Joe Musgrove will start for the Padres, and he will be facing off against Andre Pallante for the Cardinals. The game is set for 7:45 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and BSMW will be televising it.

San Diego is currently on a three-game winning streak and is 76-58 overall, which has them 3rd in the NL West. The Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 65-67 and will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. The money line odds have the Padres at -132 compared to the Cardinals at +112, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Padres have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• The Cardinals, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• The Padres have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 4-6.
• When playing as the underdog, the Cardinals have a 1-9 record against the runline and a 3-7 straight-up record in their last ten games.

San Diego picked up a 7-5 road win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a four-run 2nd inning and added two more in the 7th. As for the Cardinals, they scored three runs in the 5th and added two more in the 9th.

Dylan Cease got the start for the Padres, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out four. Yuki Matsui got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save. John King took the loss for St. Louis out of the bullpen.

Manny Machado and Luis Arraez each had three RBIs for the Padres, while Jackson Merrill scored three times and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Paul Goldschmidt had a three-hit game for the Cardinals and drove in two runs.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Prediction

San Diego is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 76-58 overall this season. The Padres are 3rd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by three games. So far, they are 20-20 in divisional games. San Diego has taken the first two games of this series vs. the Cardinals, and their overall series record is 26-14-4.

At home, the Padres are 37-32 this year, and they have gone 39-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 48-36 and 28-22 as the underdog. San Diego has won two straight road games, and they are 18-12 as the road favorite this year. Over their last ten games, the Padres are 6-4.

San Diego has been a strong bet on the run line on the road this season, going 43-22, including a current two-game win streak. The Padres’ average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while they are 27-42 on the run line at home.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is higher than the average line for the San Diego Padres this season, as their games have averaged a combined 8 runs per game. However, their over/under record for the season is 73-60, and they have gone over in 18 of 33 games with an 8.5 line. Their games have gone over the line in two straight contests.

Right-hander Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 4-4 with an ERA of 4.43. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Musgrove didn’t allow a run in seven innings of work, picking up the win vs. the Mets. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight outings. Musgrove has been much better at home this year, with an ERA of 4.73 compared to 6.61 on the road.

San Diego comes into the game as the league’s top hitting team, with a batting average of .265 and an average of 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The Padres are also the league’s top team at avoiding strikeouts and have the best slugging percentage in the league.

Manny Machado has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/20 in his last five games with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .272 with a team-high 22 homers. Jurickson Profar is the team’s top run producer, as his 80 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he is also 2nd on the club with 21 homers.

St. Louis is 65-67 overall and trail the Brewers by 10.5 games in the NL Central. The Cardinals have dropped two straight games, and they are 19-23 against other teams in the division. So far, they have been the favorite in 66 games, and they are 32-34 in those games. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 33-33 this season.

At home, the Cardinals are 34-32 compared to a 31-35 mark on the road. St. Louis has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 21-18-4. As the home underdog, the Cardinals have gone 12-8 this season.

When the Cardinals are the favorite, they are just 21-45 against the run line. However, as the underdog, they are 43-23. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while it’s -3.6 in losses. Overall, St. Louis is 64-68 against the run line this season.

The St. Louis Cardinals are playing at home today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below their combined season average of 8.7 runs per game. The Cardinals have played 33 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 28 of those games. Their over/under record for the season is 63-66, and they have hit the over in their last two games.

Right-hander Andre Pallante is getting the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Padres at home. Pallante has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.84 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, he has a WHIP of 1.29 and opponents are batting .224 off him this season. Pallante is coming off a strong outing vs. the Twins in which he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. In that outing, he only allowed two homers. So far, he has given up six homers at home and 6.75 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .246, which is 10th in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .311 is 13th in the league.

Over the team’s last nine games, Masyn Winn has gone 14/38 (.368) with five runs scored and three RBIs. Alec Burleson is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is on a three-game hitting streak and has 21 homers this season, which is 15th in the MLB. Paul Goldschmidt and Brendan Donovan are both looking to get things going at the plate, as Goldschmidt has gone just 1/26 in his last seven games, and Donovan is 7/33 in his last nine games.

We see the Cardinals taking this one at home with a predicted final score of 6-5. Given that they are the underdogs on the money line at +112, this is the bet we recommend making. If you’re looking for a parlay, we would recommend taking the over, as we have the teams combining for 11 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Joe Musgrove is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Andre Pallante with four. However, Pallante is the better option to pick up a win, as he is 10th compared to Musgrove at sixth.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips

• Take the Padres on the moneyline
• On the run line we like Cardinals (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report

San Diego Padres Injury Report