St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Preview
At 5:15 PM ET, the Mets and Cardinals square off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Mets are favored on the money line (-118). The Cardinals have an overall record of 57-55, putting them second in the NL Central, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 58-53.
Monday’s forecast looks clear in St. Louis, with temperatures sitting in the mid-90s. New York will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak, while the Cardinals have won three of their last four. Today’s starting pitching matchup is Sean Manaea for the Mets and Andre Pallante for the Cardinals.
Check out BetCoco for St. Louis Cardinals – New York Mets odds
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- The Mets are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Cardinals have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 0-5 record in their last five home games.
- The Mets are 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.
- The Cardinals hold a 4-6 record as the favorite and a 4-6 record as the underdog.
St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Angels with a 3-2 loss. New York was the heavy favorite going into the game but couldn’t get the job done on the field. The Mets scored a run to take the early lead but gave it all right back in the 2nd inning. The Angels added two more runs in the 3rd to go up 3-1. New York’s offense scored their only other run in the 2nd.
Jose Quintana had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on three hits and issuing four walks. He also hit a batter and took the loss. The Mets had chances to tie things up in the 8th but couldn’t push across the run. New York was at -152 on the money line going into the game.
The Mets come into today’s game vs. the Cardinals two games above .500 at 58-53, which has them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by eight games in the division. New York will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak today, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Mets are 30-29 this season and 28-24 on the road. This year, the Mets are 36-30 as the favorite but just 22-23 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 16-14-7, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Angels.
When the Mets are on the road, they have a run line record of 28-24. Their average run margin in those games is 0.4. They are 2-0 against the run line in their last two road games, but overall, they are 53-58 against the run line this season.
The Mets are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.4 runs per game. Overall, the O/U record for Mets games this season is 58-49. The average O/U line for Mets games this season is 8 runs per game. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, the O/U record for Mets games this season is 4-6-4. So far this season, 13 Mets games have had an O/U line set at 9 runs, which represents 11.7% of their games. The majority of Mets games this season have had lower O/U lines, with 84 games having lines set below 9 runs, which represents 75.7% of their games.
Sean Manaea has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-4 with a 3.50 ERA. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.92 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Manaea was dominant, as he didn’t allow a run in seven innings of work vs. the Twins. He gave up just two hits in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Manaea’s ERA for the season is 4.54 at home compared to 3.24 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are 5th in the league in team slugging percentage. As a team, the Mets are batting .249, which is 10th in the league.
Francisco Lindor comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .256 for the season with 22 homers. Pete Alonso is just ahead of him with 23 homers but is batting only .241 for the year. Over his last nine games, Alonso is batting just .212. However, he does have three homers during that stretch.
The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 6-2 loss. This was especially tough, as it was the Cubs who handed the Cardinals the loss. St. Louis was the +124 underdog on the road going into this matchup.
Miles Mikolas had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on eight hits and issuing two walks. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Masyn Winn, who homered in the 3rd inning, going 1/4.
St. Louis is 57-55 overall, and they are 5.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals lost three of four in their series vs. the Cubs. So far, they are 17-19 in the division. At home, the Cardinals are 29-25 this year, and they are 28-30 on the road.
As the favorite, the Cardinals have gone 29-27 this season and 28-28 as the underdog. They have won two straight games at home, and they are 10-6 as the home underdog. St. Louis’ overall series record is 18-14-3, and they will kick off their series vs. the Mets today.
The Cardinals have been a .500 team against the run line this season, going 56-56. They are also .500 at home, going 27-27. As the favorite, they have been a poor bet, going just 19-37 against the run line. However, as the underdog, they have been a great bet, going 37-19.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs for the St. Louis Cardinals’ game against the New York Mets is slightly higher than their season average of 8.7 runs per game. The Cardinals have played 109 games this season, and 87 of them have had over/under lines set below 9 runs, which is 77.7% of their games. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the Cardinals have gone 8-8-1 in those 17 games, which is a 50% success rate.
St. Louis is sending Andre Pallante to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Rangers on July 29th, Pallante gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, he has given up at least one homer in three of those starts. Pallante’s ERA for the season is 4.04, along with a record of 4-5. Opponents are batting .241 this season off Pallante. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.32 walks compared to 7.07 strikeouts.
St. Louis has been one of the worst offensive teams in the league this season, averaging just 4.2 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting a collective .245, which is 11th in the league. The Cardinals have been pretty good at putting the ball in play, as their team strikeout rate is the 12th best in the league.
Over his last 10 games, Masyn Winn has gone 11/45 with four home runs. For the season, he is batting .279 with nine homers. Winn’s four homers in his last 10 games is the best mark on the team during that stretch. Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman are tied for the team lead with 19 homers apiece.
With the Cardinals at -101 on the money line, there is some good value in picking them to pick up a win at home. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Cardinals, and with them having an implied win probability of 50.1%, there is some room to make this bet.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Andre Pallante finishing with five strikeouts, which has him ninth among starters. As for Sean Manaea, his projected strikeout total is five, which has him towards the bottom of today’s starters.
St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- We like the Cardinals on the moneyline (-101)
- On the run line we like Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Michael Siani | Out | Oblique |
| Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | Out | Knee |
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Calf |
| Reed Garrett | Out | Elbow |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Dedniel Núñez | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Scott | Out | Elbow |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
