St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview
Thursday’s matchup between the Brewers and Cardinals is set to get started at 2:15 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The forecast for today’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 70s. Milwaukee is currently 1st in the NL Central, while the Cardinals are 2nd, with a record of 62-64.
The money line odds have the Brewers at -121 compared to the Cardinals at +103, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. Starting for the Brewers is Freddy Peralta, while the Cardinals are set to go with Miles Mikolas. BSWI is carrying the game on TV.
Check out BetCoco for St. Louis Cardinals – Milwaukee Brewers odds
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats
- The Brewers are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- On the other side, the Cardinals have gone 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
- The Brewers have a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
- As the underdog, the Cardinals have gone 1-9 vs. the runline and 4-6 straight-up.
St. Louis cruised to a 10-6 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a huge 3rd inning, scoring eight of their ten runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their first run in the 4th and added their final two runs in the 9th.
Kyle Gibson got the win for the Cardinals, going just 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. Trevor Megill took the loss for Milwaukee out of the bullpen.
Nolan Arenado and Luken Baker each homered for the Cardinals, while Jackson Churio went 4/5 with an RBI for the Brewers.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee is currently leading the NL Central by 11 games over the Cardinals, and they are 73-53 overall. The Brewers and Cardinals are both 26-15 in divisional games this year. The Brewers have won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 40-28 when favored this year.
At home, the Brewers are 38-24 this year, and they are just above .500 at 35-29 on the road. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 21-14-4 this year, and they are 6-4 across their last ten games.
When betting the run line with the Brewers, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog this season, as they are 39-19 against the run line in that role. They are 36-28 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +1.0 runs per game.
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 67-52. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-9-3. Overall, 57.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs.
Freddy Peralta is on the mound for the Brewers today as he gets set to face the Cardinals on the road. This year, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 8-7 with a 4.00 ERA. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is 1.21, and he has turned in 10 quality starts. In his last outing, Peralta picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in back-to-back starts. Looking back further, he has allowed at least two homers in three of his last four starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, the Brewers are batting .254 as a team, which is the 5th best mark in the league. They also do a good job of getting on base, as they are 3rd in walks and have a collective OBP of .332.
Willy Adames has been the Brewers’ best power threat this season, as his 22 home runs are the best mark on the team and 14th best in the MLB. He is also 9th in the league in RBIs, with 85. William Contreras has also been a solid run producer, as his 73 RBIs are 2nd on the team, and he is batting .287 for the season. Both players have been hot of late, with Contreras going 9/29 in his last 8 games and Adames hitting .333 in that stretch.
St. Louis is 62-64 overall and trails the Brewers by 11 games for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 18-23 against other NL Central teams. The Cardinals will take on the Brewers at home today, and they are 33-30 at home this season.
The Cardinals have dropped two straight series and are 19-17-4 in series this year. St. Louis has struggled lately, going just 3-7 over their last 10 games. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 11-7 this year and 30-31 overall.
St. Louis has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 61-65 overall. The Cardinals have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 40-21. They have been a poor bet as a favorite, going 21-44. The average run margin in their wins is +2.7, while the average run margin in their losses is -3.5.
The St. Louis Cardinals are home today against the Milwaukee Brewers, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 61-62. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-11-1. So far this season, 59.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
St. Louis is sending Miles Mikolas to the mound today vs. the Brewers, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers. In that start, he took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs. Looking back over his last three starts, Mikolas has given up at least four earned runs in each outing. Mikolas’ ERA for the season is 5.41, along with a record of 8-10. At home, he is 1-5 with a 7.22 ERA. Opponents are batting .284 off Mikolas this season.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. At home, they have been slightly better, putting up 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .246, which is the 9th best mark in the MLB. St. Louis has two players with 19 homers this season, with Alec Burleson leading the team with 70 RBIs.
Nolan Arenado has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/39 with three homers over his last 10 games. This has helped him move into the 2nd spot on the team’s RBI list. Arenado is also on a four-game hitting streak. Masyn Winn and Brendan Donovan are also having solid seasons at the plate, with Winn batting .277 and Donovan coming in at .268.
Our prediction for this Brewers vs. Cardinals matchup is to take the Cardinals on the money line at +103. With the payout and our predicted final score being 6-5 in favor of the Cardinals, there is a lot of value in picking them up straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Miles Mikolas finishing with fewer strikeouts than Freddy Peralta, but we have Mikolas finishing with more strikeouts than our Peralta projection. Our projections have Mikolas finishing with six K’s and Peralta with nine.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips
- Take the Brewers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Michael Siani | Out | Oblique |
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Hoby Milner | Out | Shoulder |
| Blake Perkins | Out | Calf |
| Rob Zastryzny | Out | Elbow |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
