St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Betting Tips 8/21/2024

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview

At 7:45 PM ET, the Brewers and Cardinals will face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Cardinals are the slight favorite on the money line (-111). The Brewers have a money line payout of -107, and they are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 73-52. The Cardinals are 3rd in the division at 61-64 and have lost two straight.

The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and FS1 will be televising this game. Tobias Myers is starting for the Brewers, while the Cardinals are going with Kyle Gibson.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• The Brewers are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
• In the Cardinals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
• In their previous ten games, Brewers have won 7-3 as favorites and 7-3 as underdogs.
• 4-6 is the record of the Cardinals as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 4-6.

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Cardinals series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as +102 underdogs and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Brewers had a one-run lead heading into the 8th inning, and the Cardinals could only muster one run in the 9th inning.

Frankie Montas pitched well for the Brewers in this one, going seven innings and striking out three without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Devin Williams closed things out. Erick Fedde had a rough outing for the Cardinals, taking the loss.

At the plate, William Contreras went 3/4 with an RBI, while Sal Frelick scored twice and drove in a run for Milwaukee. Matt Carpenter hit the game’s only home run for the Cardinals, going 1/1 with two RBIs.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Brewers are currently 1st in the NL Central, leading the Cubs by 11.5 games. Milwaukee is 73-52 overall and has won six straight games, including the first game of this series vs. the Cardinals. In the NL Central, they have gone 26-14 this year.

At home, the Brewers have gone 38-24 this year, and they are 35-28 on the road. As the road favorite, the Brewers have gone just 11-13 this year, and they are 40-28 as the favorite overall. As for their overall series record, the Brewers are 21-14-4 this year.

When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a better play on the road this season, going 36-27 compared to 30-32 at home. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and have an average run margin of +1.0 away from Miller Park. Milwaukee is 39-18 against the run line as an underdog this season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have played in 74.4% of games with over/under lines set at 7.5 runs or higher this season, and their games have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 66-52, and their games have an average over/under line of 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the St. Louis Cardinals is set at 7.5 runs, and the Brewers have gone 19-8 in games with that line. Their last three games have gone under the total.

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 2.81. Myers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his 18 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Myers most recently faced the Dodgers, where he gave up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he hadn’t given up a run in three straight starts.

William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/28 in his last eight games while hitting four homers and driving in six runs. For the season, he is batting .285 with 17 homers and 72 RBIs. Willy Adames has been a consistent power threat for the Brewers this season, as he is 15th in the league with 22 homers and is 8th in the league with 85 RBIs. Adames is also batting .252 for the season.

As a team, the Brewers are 11th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254, which is 6th in the league, and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the MLB. Milwaukee’s team batting average of .254 is 6th in the league.

With a record of 61-64, the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 12 games. The Cardinals lost the first game of this series, and they have dropped two straight overall. St. Louis’ two-game losing streak has come after taking the final game of their series vs. the Pirates.

St. Louis has really struggled lately, going just 2-8 across their last 10 games. So far, they have gone 32-30 at home compared to 29-34 on the road. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 30-31 this year and 31-33 as the favorite. This season, their record in the division is 17-23.

St. Louis has been a solid run line bet at home, going 30-32 on the season. They’ve been a better run line bet as an underdog, going 40-21, compared to 20-44 as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while it drops to -3.5 in losses.

St. Louis has played to the over in 60 of their 122 games this season, but the under has hit in three straight games. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When their games have had an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the under has hit in 18 of 26 games.

St. Louis is sending right-hander Kyle Gibson to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 4.26. Looking at his overall numbers, Gibson has a WHIP of 1.34 and has issued 3.44 walks per nine innings compared to 8.31 strikeouts. Gibson has turned in 10 quality starts this year, and opponents are batting .250 off him. In his last outing, Gibson took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone six straight starts without taking a loss.

St. Louis comes into today’s game with the 24th ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.1 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 10th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .308 is 15th in the MLB.

Right fielder Alec Burleson has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, leading the team with 21 homers. He is also 2nd on the team with a batting average of .277. Brendan Donovan has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/37 in his last 10 games. This has moved his season average to .270. Donovan is also on a five-game hitting streak.

Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Cardinals game is to take the Cardinals on the money line at -111. Offensively, we have the Cardinals finishing with nine hits compared to the Brewers with nine.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kyle Gibson finishing with five strikeouts compared to Tobias Myers with five. Gibson is also projected to go a full inning longer than Myers.

If you’re looking for a potential final score, we have the Cardinals winning this one 6-5. However, you could also look to take the over/under, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips

• We like the Cardinals on the moneyline (-111)
• The Cardinals should also cover at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report