St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies Preview
There does appear to be a chance of rain in St. Louis on Saturday, where the Rockies and Cardinals are playing at Busch Stadium. First pitch is set for 4:15 PM ET. BSMW is carrying the TV coverage for this NL matchup.
Colorado is 5th in the NL West with an overall record of 22-41, while the Cardinals are 2nd in the NL Central with a record of 30-32. Kyle Gibson will start for the Cardinals, and he is facing off against Ryan Feltner for the Rockies. St. Louis is the heavy money line favorite, with the odds sitting at -185, while the Rockies are at +156.
Check out BetCoco for St. Louis Cardinals – Colorado Rockies odds
St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- The Rockies are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Cardinals have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- As the favorite, the Cardinals are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 3-7 vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Rockies have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
St. Louis picked up an 8-5 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a three-run 1st inning and added three more in the 2nd, while the Rockies scored four of their five runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were favored at -184 on the money line.
Lance Lynn got the start for the Cardinals, going just four innings while giving up four runs and striking out six. JoJo Romero got the win out of the bullpen, and Ryan Helsley got the save. Austin Gomber only went five innings for the Rockies, giving up four earned runs on six hits.
Dylan Carlson, Paul Goldschmidt, and Brendan Donovan each homered for the Cardinals. Carlson, Ivan Herrera, and Alec Burleson each had two hits and two RBIs.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
Colorado is on the road today vs. the Cardinals with an overall record of 22-41, putting them 5th in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Diamondbacks by 7.5 games for 4th place in the division, and they are 17 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead.
The Rockies are just 3-7 over their last ten games and have dropped two straight series. So far, they have yet to win a series, going 4-15-1 in that department. As the road underdog, Colorado has gone 9-24 this year compared to 13-17 at home. So far, they have not played a game as the favorite.
When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.0. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.0. Overall, their run line record is 32-31, and they are 17-16 against the run line on the road. They have been the underdog in every game this season, and their average run margin is -1.6 runs per game.
When the Rockies are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.7 runs per game. The over/under record for the Rockies this season is 32-30, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 2-5. Overall, 55.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Ryan Feltner will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Rockies today. The right-hander faced off against the Reds on June 3rd and took the loss, giving up eight earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Feltner is 1-5 with a 6.22 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Opposing batters are hitting .298 off Feltner this season. In his 12 starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.35 strikeouts per nine innings. Feltner has allowed a total of nine home runs this year.
Over his last 10 games, Brendan Rodgers has been swinging a hot bat for the Rockies, going 12/37 with two homers and eight RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .324. Ezequiel Tovar has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 12/42 in his last 10 games. Tovar is 2nd on the team with eight homers.
As a team, the Rockies are 21st in the MLB in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .245, which is 10th in the league, and have the 2nd best BABIP in the league.
With an overall record of 30-32, the Cardinals are 2nd in the NL Central, and they trail the Brewers by 6.5 games for the division lead. St. Louis can also catch the Rockies for the 2nd Wild Card spot, as they are currently just a half-game behind Colorado. So far, they have gone just 5-7 in divisional games.
At home, the Cardinals are 14-13 this year, and they are just below .500 at 16-19 on the road. This season, the Cardinals are 15-14 as the favorite and 15-18 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Cardinals are 10-10 and have dropped two straight series.
When betting the run line on the Cardinals, it’s been a good idea to back them as the underdog, as they are 19-14 against the run line in those games. They are also 14-13 at home against the run line, but overall, they are 30-32 against the run line this season. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.5, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.7.
When the St. Louis Cardinals play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Cardinals have played 59 games this season, and 14 of those games have gone over the 8.5-run line. Overall, the Cardinals have a 27-32 over/under record, and the average combined run total in their games is 8.6 runs.
Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he didn’t have his best stuff. Against the Astros, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and took the no-decision in the outing. Looking back further, Gibson has made 12 starts and has a record of 4-2, along with an ERA of 3.69. Opposing batters are hitting .226 off Gibson this season, and he has turned in six quality starts. So far, he has a 4.0 ERA at home compared to 3.29 on the road.
As a team, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. However, they have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. St. Louis has been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league this season and are batting a combined .235.
Nolan Gorman has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as his 14 homers are 7th best in the league. He is also batting .232. Gorman has been hot of late, going 9/26 with four homers over his last seven games. Alec Burleson has also been swinging a hot bat, as he is on a six-game hitting streak and has gone deep eight times this season.
Our prediction for today’s Rockies vs. Cardinals game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We actually have the Cardinals winning this one 5-4, but with the payout for a Cardinals win sitting at -185, we think there is more value in the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ryan Feltner finishing with five strikeouts and Kyle Gibson with four. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair a Cardinals win with a prediction on the final score, we have the Cardinals winning 5-4.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- Take the Cardinals on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Forearm |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Giovanny Gallegos | Out | Shoulder |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |
| Lars Nootbaar | Out | Oblique |
| Nick Robertson | Out | Elbow |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Ribs |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Freeland | Out | Elbow |
| Brendan Rodgers | Questionable | Lower Body |
| Nolan Jones | Out | Back |
| Sean Bouchard | Out | Ankle |
| Justin Lawrence | Out | Shoulder |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |
| Jake Bird | Out | Elbow |
| Jordan Beck | Out | Hand |
