St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies Preview
At 8:15 PM ET, the Rockies and Cardinals face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Cardinals are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -195. The Rockies are +164, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Colorado comes in with a record of 22-40 and is starting Austin Gomber, while the Cardinals will have Lance Lynn on the mound. St. Louis is currently 3rd in the NL Central, while the Rockies are 5th in the NL West.
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St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Rockies in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Cardinals have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- The Cardinals have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Rockies’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 4-6 vs. the runline.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rockies vs Cardinals series. Colorado went into the matchup as +190 underdogs and squeaked out a 3-2 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Cardinals could only muster one more run in the 4th inning. As for the Rockies, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th, and both offenses went silent after that.
St. Louis had more hits than the Rockies in the game 8 to 4 and also struck out fewer times with five compared to nine for Colorado. Heading into the game, the Rockies had the advantage in the starting pitching matchup with Cal Quantrill going up against Sonny Gray. Quantrill went five innings and didn’t give up a run, while Gray was tagged for three runs in 4 2/3 innings of work.
Quantrill got the win for the Rockies, while Tyler Kinley got the save. Gray took the loss for the Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
Colorado’s overall record is 22-40 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Cardinals. The Rockies are 16 games out of first place in the NL West and are 5th in the division. So far, they have gone just 9-14 in divisional games.
At home, the Rockies are 13-17 this year, and they have gone just 9-23 on the road. As the underdog, Colorado is 22-40 this year, and they have yet to be the favorite in a game.
When it comes to the run line, the Rockies have been a solid bet this season, going 32-30 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, where they are 17-15 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is -1.5 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of -1.8 runs per game on the road. They have been outscored by an average of -1.3 runs per game at home.
Colorado’s games have averaged 9.7 runs per game this season, but the Rockies have played to an over/under record of 31-30. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over at a 5-2 clip. In total, 67.7% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs.
Left-hander Austin Gomber is getting the start for the Rockies today as he faces his former team, the Cardinals. Gomber has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 3.06. Looking at his overall numbers, Gomber has a WHIP of 1.18 and has turned in five quality starts. In his most recent outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had gone 1-0 with two straight scoreless outings. Gomber has been much better on the road, coming in with a 3.82 ERA compared to 3.16 at home.
Over his last 10 games, Ezequiel Tovar has gone 12/41 for the Rockies, but he has just one home run during that stretch. For the season, he is batting .289 with eight homers, which is 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. Ryan McMahon has a team-high 10 homers, and his 34 RBIs are also the best on the team. McMahon is batting .273 for the season.
Charlie Blackmon and Brendan Rodgers have been swinging the bat well for the Rockies of late. Blackmon is 11/33 over his last eight games, while Rodgers is 12/39 in his last 10 games. This has helped Rodgers put together a four-game hitting streak and Blackmon a three-game streak. Elias Diaz has also been swinging the bat well, going 10/34 in his last nine games.
St. Louis is 29-32 overall and is 6.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 3rd in the division and have gone 5-7 in divisional games this year. The Cardinals will be hosting the Rockies today, and they are 13-13 at home this year.
The Cardinals have gone 16-19 on the road this year. So far, they have been an even 14-14 as the favorite and 9-10 as the favorite at home. St. Louis’ series record is 10-10, but they have dropped two straight series.
When the Cardinals win, they do so by an average of 2.5 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. They have a run line record of 29-32 overall, and their run line record is 13-13 at home and 16-19 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 10-18 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 19-14.
The St. Louis Cardinals are at home today against the Colorado Rockies. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right on par with their season average of 8 runs per game. This season, the over/under record for Cardinals games is 26-32, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 4-6-1. The over/under line has been set at 8 runs for 55.7% of their games this season.
Right-hander Lance Lynn gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Rockies at home. Lynn has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.23 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Lynn has a WHIP of 1.34 and has issued 3.67 walks per nine innings compared to 8.36 strikeouts. Lynn’s last outing came against the Phillies, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most other major offensive categories, including home runs, batting average, and on-base percentage. As a team, they are batting just .233, and their collective OBP is just .307.
Nolan Gorman has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as his 14 homers is 7th best in the league. He is also batting .230 for the season. Over his last six games, he has gone 8/23 with four homers and six RBIs. Alec Burleson and Nolan Arenado are also near the top of the league in homers, with Burleson batting .275 and Arenado at .251.
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Cardinals, which would have them winning but not covering the -195 on the money line. Instead, we recommend taking the over, as there is a lot of value there at -103.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Lance Lynn finishing with five strikeouts compared to Austin Gomber with just four. However, Lynn is projected to go just five innings, while Gomber is projected to go six.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- Take the Cardinals on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Steven Matz | Out | Back |
Willson Contreras | Out | Forearm |
Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
Giovanny Gallegos | Out | Shoulder |
Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |
Lars Nootbaar | Out | Oblique |
Nick Robertson | Out | Elbow |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
Kris Bryant | Out | Ribs |
Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
Kyle Freeland | Out | Elbow |
Nolan Jones | Out | Back |
Sean Bouchard | Out | Ankle |
Justin Lawrence | Out | Shoulder |
Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |
Jake Bird | Out | Elbow |
Jordan Beck | Out | Hand |