St. Louis Cardinals vs Cleveland Guardians Preview
Cleveland is starting Gavin Williams, while the Cardinals are going with Andre Pallante. This interleague matchup has the Guardians as the favorites on the money line (-108), while the Cardinals are at -111. First pitch from Busch Stadium is set for 2:15 PM ET.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSGL. Cleveland is 90-66 and in 1st place in the AL Central, while the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 78-77.
Check out BetCoco for St. Louis Cardinals – Cleveland Guardians odds
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats
- The Guardians are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- The Cardinals, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- Over the last ten games, Guardians has a record of 6-4 when playing as favorites and 4-6 when playing as underdogs.
- The Cardinals hold a 5-5 record as the favorite and a 4-6 record as the underdog.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs. Guardians series. St. Louis went into the matchup as +111 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-5 win. The Cardinals had a big 7th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Guardians, they scored one run in the 5th and added four in the 8th.
Cleveland actually outhit the Cardinals in the game 10 to 8. Jose Ramirez went 2/4 with a home run, but it came in a losing effort. As for St. Louis, Ivan Herrera and Jordan Walker each had two hits and drove in two runs.
Miles Mikolas got the win for the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Ryan Helsley got the save. Matthew Boyd had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
Cleveland is 90-66 overall this season, and they lead the AL Central by 7.5 games over the Royals. The Guardians are 30-22 against other teams in the AL Central. Cleveland is on the road today, and they are 42-38 on the road this year.
The Guardians have been good at home, putting together a record of 48-28. Cleveland will be playing as the favorite today, and they are 62-34 in games they were favored to win. As the underdog, the Guardians are 28-32 this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 28-15-6.
The Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 79-77 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 42-38 against the run line. When they have been favored, they have been a poor bet, going just 44-52 against the run line.
The Cleveland Guardians have played in 108 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 69.2% of their games this season. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 68-77 overall. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 18-21, and the average line for their games this season is set at 8 runs per game.
Gavin Williams gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 3-10 with an ERA of 5.12. Williams’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.39. In his 15 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 9.73 strikeouts per nine innings. Williams has struggled on the road, coming in with a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 11.2. At home, his ERA is 6.98. Most recently, he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work, taking the loss.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 37 homers are 6th in the league, and Naylor’s 31 is 11th. Ramirez is also 3rd in the league with 112 RBIs, while Naylor is 7th at 105. Ramirez comes into the game hitting .276, and Naylor is batting .241. Over his last five games, Ramirez has gone 7/20, while Naylor is just 3/20.
Andrés Giménez is currently on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 8/20 over his last five games. This stretch includes one home run and three RBIs. Overall, he is batting .276 for the season.
With a record of 78-77, the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 10 games. St. Louis is 26-26 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cardinals will host the Guardians today, and they are 43-37 at home this season.
St. Louis has been a bit better than .500 at home, and they are just under .500 on the road at 35-40. The Cardinals have won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 41-40 as the underdog overall. As for their series record, the Cardinals are 25-20-5 this season, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
When it comes to the run line, the Cardinals have been a solid bet this season, going 78-77 overall. They are 40-40 on the run line at home and 38-37 on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 53-28 on the run line, compared to 25-49 as the favorite.
Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs is lower than the average line for Cardinals games this season, as they have played in games with an average line of 8 runs. Overall, the over/under record for St. Louis this season is 72-79, with the combined run average in their games sitting at 8.6 runs per game.
St. Louis is sending right-hander Andre Pallante to the mound today vs. the Guardians. Pallante has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 7-8. His ERA is 3.87, along with a WHIP of 1.35. Pallante’s last outing was a good one, as he picked up the win vs. the Pirates. In that outing, he went seven innings, didn’t give up a run, and struck out nine. Before that, he had given up at least five runs in three straight starts. So far, he has made six quality starts this year.
St. Louis has been one of the worst offensive teams in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game (25th). They have been even worse at home, averaging just 4 runs per game. The Cardinals are batting .246 as a team, which is 10th in the league, but their on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all just around league average. As a team, they are 20th in home runs.
Paul Goldschmidt and Alec Burleson are tied for the team lead with 21 homers, but Goldschmidt is batting just .245, and Burleson isn’t much better at .269. Brendan Donovan has been a bright spot, hitting .273 with 13 homers. Over his last seven games, Jordan Walker has also gone 2/24 with two homers.
Our prediction for today’s Guardians vs. Cardinals matchup is to take the Cardinals on the money line at -111. We have the Cardinals winning this game by a score of 6-5, which means there is some value in taking them on the money line and not on the run line.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Andre Pallante finishing with around four strikeouts, which is good for fifth worst among today’s starters. As for Gavin Williams, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for 14th among starters.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips
- Take the Guardians on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | Out | Forearm |
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | Out | Finger |
| Sam Hentges | Out | Shoulder |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
| Steven Kwan | Out | Back |
