St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Preview
The forecast looks good for Wednesday’s Reds vs. Cardinals matchup, with the temperature sitting in the low 90s and clear skies in St. Louis. Brandon Williamson gets the start for the Reds, and he is facing off against Lance Lynn. The Cardinals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -136 compared to the Reds at +114. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
First pitch from Busch Stadium is set for 7:45 PM ET, and BSOH is carrying this game on TV. The Reds are 71-75 and they have won three straight, while the Cardinals are 72-72 and are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. Cincinnati is currently 4th in the NL Central, while the Cardinals are 3rd.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Reds are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Cardinals have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Cardinals have won 4-6 straight-up, and have a 1-9 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Reds have a straight-up record of 7-3 and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.
Cincinnati picked up a 3-0 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds offense only had two more hits than the Cardinals and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +114 on the money line.
The Reds got on the board with three runs in the 5th inning, and that was all the scoring in the game. As for the Cardinals, they had their best scoring chance in the 7th inning when they loaded the bases with no outs, but could not push across a run.
Rhett Lowder started for the Reds and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed five hits. Emilio Pagán got the save. Andre Pallante had a rough outing for the Cardinals, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Cincinnati is 71-75 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 13 games. The Reds have won three straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10. In divisional games, the Reds are 21-23 this year.
At home, the Reds are 36-39 compared to 35-36 on the road. Cincinnati has won three straight games as the underdog, and they are 38-42 as the underdog overall. As for their record as the favorite, the Reds are at .500 with a mark of 33-33. So far, they have an overall series record of 18-26-2.
The Reds have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 79-67. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 44-27 against the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 52-28 against the run line in those games.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals, and oddsmakers have set the over/under line at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 67-72. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Reds have a record of 16-15 in those games. The under is currently on a four-game streak for Cincinnati.
Brandon Williamson will be making his first start of the season for the Reds, as he has made two relief appearances so far. In his first outing, he went 3 1/3 innings and struck out 5, but he did give up a home run. Then, in his second appearance, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 1 run on 1 hit.
Elly De La Cruz comes into today’s game as the Reds’ leader in home runs, but he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .176 over his last five games. Overall, he is batting .260 with a team-high 65 RBIs. Spencer Steer has also been a key run producer for the Reds, as his 86 RBIs is 15th in the league. However, he is hitting just .231 for the season.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. Their team batting average of .233 is 18th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage. Cincinnati’s team OPS of .701 is 13th in the league.
With a record of 72-72, the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central, 11 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. St. Louis has dropped two straight games, and their overall record includes a mark of 21-25 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cardinals lost the series opener vs. the Reds.
At home, the Cardinals are 37-35 this season compared to 35-37 on the road. As the home favorite, the Cardinals have gone 23-25 this season, and they are 39-37 as the underdog. St. Louis’ overall series record is 23-19-4, and they have won three straight series on the road.
St. Louis has been a good bet on the run line this season, going 71-73. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 36-36, compared to 35-37 at home. They have lost two straight at home against the run line, but as an underdog, they are 49-27 against the run line. Their average run margin in their wins is +2.7, while it is -3.6 in their losses.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is higher than the average line for St. Louis Cardinals games this season, which has been set at 8 runs. The Cardinals have played 47 games with over/under lines of 8.5 runs or higher, and their record in those games is 29-18. Their games have averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 69-71.
Lance Lynn is getting the start for the Cardinals today vs. the Reds and comes into the game with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 4.06. So far this season, he has made 21 starts, and opponents are batting .243 off the right-hander. Lynn’s WHIP for the season is 1.36. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run vs. the Rangers. Lynn has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 8.21 strikeouts per nine innings. At home, he is 5-0 with a 3.79 ERA.
Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat for the Cardinals, going 12/36 in his last nine games with a home run and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting .246 with a team-high 21 homers. Alec Burleson is also at 21 homers and has driven in a team-high 73 runs. Masyn Winn is batting .273 and has 12 homers, and Brendan Donovan is hitting .270 and has 11 homers.
Overall, the Cardinals are 24th in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .247 (9th) and have the 21st home run total in the league. Currently, they are 9th in team batting average and 15th in OPS.
Our pick for today’s Reds vs. Cardinals game is to take the Reds on the money line at +114. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-4, giving us some nice value with the Reds at +114.
Looking at some of the projections for today’s starters, Lance Lynn is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, which is 11th among starters. As for the Cardinals offense, they are projected to finish with nine hits, which is 12th in the league today.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips
- We like the Reds on the moneyline (+114)
- The Reds are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | Out | Toe |
| Sam Moll | Out | Shoulder |
| Nick Lodolo | Out | Finger |
| Austin Wynns | Out | Teres Major |
| Nick Martini | Out | Thumb |
| Stuart Fairchild | Out | Thumb |
| Hunter Greene | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Graham Ashcraft | Out | Elbow |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Roa | Out | Shoulder |
| Andrew Abbott | Out | Shoulder |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |
