St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Preview
At 7:45 PM ET, the Reds and Cardinals face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Cardinals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -131. The Reds have a money line odds of +111, and they are 4th in the NL Central, while the Cardinals are 3rd.
The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the forecast for Tuesday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 90s. Rhett Lowder is starting for the Reds, and he is facing off against Andre Pallante.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Reds are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Cardinals have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Cardinals have a straight-up record of 4-6, while going 1-9 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Reds have won 6-4 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
The Reds’s offense was carried by Ty France in their most recent game vs. the Braves, a 1-0 win. France went 2/4 with a double, a run scored, and a stolen base. The Reds scored their only run in thejson 2nd inning. Nick Martinez put together a good start for the Reds, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Braves batters.
Cincinnati’s bullpen closed things out, and Alexis Diaz picked up the save. The Reds also got a good game from Amed Rosario, going 2/4 with a run scored.
Cincinnati is 70-75 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. They are 13.0 games behind the Brewers for the division lead, and they trail the Cardinals by three games for the final Wild Card spot. The Reds have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10.
At home, the Reds are 36-39 and are above .500 at 34-36 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 37-42 this season, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. Their overall series record is 18-26-2.
When betting the Reds on the run line, it’s best to take them as the underdog. They are 51-28 against the run line as the underdog, compared to 27-39 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 78-67, with an average run margin of 0.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have a 43-27 run line record on the road this season.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. The Reds have an average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 67-71. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and their record when the line is set at 8 runs is 7-11. This season, 70.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. Their current under streak is at 3 games.
Rhett Lowder is on the mound for the Reds today as they take on the Cardinals. This will be his first road start of the season, and he has been solid in his first two outings, going 6 1/3 innings and not allowing a run in his first start. He took the loss in his first start, but he did strike out six batters in just four innings of work.
Elly De La Cruz comes into today’s game as the Reds’ top home run hitter and is 2nd on the team in RBIs. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .200 over his last seven games. Jonathan India has also been struggling, going just 2/19 in his last six games. The good news for the Reds is that Ty France has been red hot, going 14/27 in his last seven games.
For the season, the Reds are batting just .233, which is 20th in the league. As a team, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 12th in the league in home runs. Overall, they are 15th in scoring and have been about the same in terms of scoring at home and on the road.
The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mariners with a 10-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 1st inning before the Mariners scored five runs in the top of the first. St. Louis was the +114 underdog at home going into the game.
Offensively, the Cardinals only had four fewer hits than the Mariners but scored just four runs. Three of their runs came in the 2nd inning. Iván Herrera and José Fermín each had two hits. Herrera also had a double and scored a run.
St. Louis is currently 3rd in the NL Central, sitting 10 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. Overall, the Cardinals have a record of 72-71 as they host the Reds today. This year, they are just 21-24 in divisional games.
The Cardinals have dropped three straight series and lost their series vs. the Mariners most recently. So far, they have gone 23-19-4 in series this year, and they have won three straight series on the road. At home, the Cardinals are 23-24 when favored this season and 35-37 overall on the road.
The Cardinals have been a tough team to predict against the run line this season, as they have a record of 71-72. They have been slightly outscored on average this season, with a run differential of -0.4 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 49-27, compared to just 22-45 as the favorite. Their run line record at home is 35-36, and on the road, it is 36-36.
The St. Louis Cardinals have played in 119 games this season with an average combined run total of 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 69-70, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 10-13-1. Overall, 56.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and 26.6% have had lower lines.
Right-hander Andre Pallante gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Reds at home. Pallante has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 4.07. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Brewers, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Pallante has a WHIP of 1.36 and is averaging 6.57 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has turned in five quality starts.
Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat for the Cardinals, going 14/40 in his last 10 games, including one home run and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .244, but his 21 homers are tied for the team lead. Alec Burleson also has 21 homers and is the team’s leading run producer, with 73 RBIs. Burleson and Masyn Winn are both batting .273 this season, with Winn driving in 49 runs and Burleson at 73.
As a team, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game and are 11th in the league in team batting average. Their home run total is 19th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of isolated power. So far, they have been pretty average in terms of on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
Our predicted final score for this one is a 6-5 win for the Reds. With the Reds picking up the win and their money line sitting at +111, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at some of the other betting lines, the over/under is sitting at 8 runs, and we have this one going over. However, we would recommend sticking with the Reds on the money line.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips
- We like the Reds on the moneyline (+111)
- The Reds are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
Brendan Donovan | Questionable | Infection |
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Jeimer Candelario | Out | Toe |
Sam Moll | Out | Shoulder |
Nick Lodolo | Out | Finger |
Austin Wynns | Out | Teres Major |
Nick Martini | Out | Thumb |
Stuart Fairchild | Out | Thumb |
Hunter Greene | Out | Elbow |
Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
Jonathan India | Questionable | Elbow |
Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
Graham Ashcraft | Out | Elbow |
Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
Christian Roa | Out | Shoulder |
Andrew Abbott | Out | Shoulder |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |