St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Betting Tips 7/14/2024

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Preview

BSMW will be televising today’s Cubs vs. Cardinals matchup, which gets started at 2:15 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO. The Cardinals are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -133, while the Cubs are at +112. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Jameson Taillon will be on the mound for the Cubs, and he will be facing off against Miles Mikolas. The Cubs are 46-51, while the Cardinals are 50-45. Chicago is 5th in the NL Central, while the Cardinals are on a two-game winning streak and are 2nd in the division.

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St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Cubs are 3-2. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Cardinals have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Cardinals have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• The Cubs have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs Cubs series. St. Louis went into the matchup as -147 favorites and squeaked out a 5-4 win. The Cubs had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th, but Ryan Helsley closed things out for the Cardinals.

Kyle Gibson got the start for the Cardinals, going just four innings while giving up four runs and striking out three. He did not factor in the decision as JoJo Romero got the win out of the bullpen. Javier Assad only went 2 1/3 innings for the Cubs, giving up three runs on seven hits.

At the plate, the Cardinals were led by Masyn Winn, Willson Contreras, Nolan Arenado, and Paul Goldschmidt, as they were the only four Cardinals hitters to have more than one hit. Miguel Amaya had the only multi-hit game for the Cubs, going 1/2 with a home run.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

The Cubs are 46-51 overall, putting them 5th in the NL Central, 8.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 11-21 in divisional games. The Cubs have dropped two straight games and are losing the series vs. the Cardinals 1-2.

Chicago has been playing well lately, going 7-3 across their last ten games. This season, the Cubs have been even at home, going 25-21, but they are just 21-30 on the road. As the underdog, the Cubs are 15-24 this year compared to 22-22 as the favorite. The Cubs’ overall series record is 11-16-2, and they have won two straight series.

Chicago has been a good team to bet on the run line when they are the underdog. They are 35-18 on the run line when they are the underdog. They have a run line record of 48-49 overall. They have been a good team to bet on the run line when they are on the road, as they are 30-21 on the run line when they are on the road.

The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Cubs’ games have averaged exactly 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 42-51 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Cubs have gone 11-11 in those games. The over has hit in two straight games for Chicago.

Right-hander Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-4 with a 2.99 ERA. Taillon’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Taillon has won two straight starts and has not allowed more than three earned runs in any of his last four outings. So far, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 7.42 strikeouts per nine innings.

Chicago’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 19th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Cubs are batting just .235, which is 17th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs. However, they do come into the game with a good walk rate and have the 12th best on-base percentage in the league.

Christopher Morel has been struggling of late for the Cubs, hitting just .200 over his last six games. However, he does lead the team with 16 home runs. Ian Happ is also near the top of the league in home runs, as his 14 homers is 2nd on the team and 14th in the MLB. He is also 1st on the team with 56 RBIs. Nico Hoerner is currently on a 10-game hitting streak for the Cubs.

The Cardinals hold a 50-45 record as they trail the Brewers by 3.5 games in the NL Central. St. Louis has won two straight games, and they are 15-13 against other teams in the division. So far, they have been winning at home and on the road, as they are both .500 on the road and at home.

St. Louis has an overall series record of 15-12-2, and they have won two straight series on the road. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 27-22 this year, and they are 23-23 as the underdog. In this series vs. the Cubs, the Cardinals are the home team, and they have an overall record of 26-21 at home.

The Cardinals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 47-48 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 25-22, compared to 22-26 on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 29-17, compared to 18-31 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.5, while it is -3.6 in losses.

The St. Louis Cardinals are at home today against the Chicago Cubs, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Cardinals games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 45-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 20-11. This season, 23.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

St. Louis is sending Miles Mikolas to the mound today vs. the Cubs, and he has made 19 starts this year. Mikolas has a record of 7-7 and an ERA of 4.88. Looking at his overall numbers, he has a WHIP of 1.21 and has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 4.28. At home, his ERA is 7.1, and he has a record of 1-3. Mikolas is coming off a start in which he didn’t allow an earned run, going 6 1/3 innings vs. the Nationals. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts.

For the season, the Cardinals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game, compared to 4.1 on the road. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 10th in the league, but they are just 19th in home runs.

St. Louis will be looking for a big game from Alec Burleson, who is batting .285 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 16 homers. He has also been hot of late, going 6/19 in his last five games with two homers and seven RBIs. Brendan Donovan is also swinging a hot bat, as he is on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .270 for the season.

We are predicting the Cubs to pick up a 5-4 road win over the Cardinals. With the Cubs being the underdogs, we like them to win straight up and would take them on the money line, where they are at +112.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jameson Taillon going 6 innings and finishing with four strikeouts. As for Miles Mikolas, his projected strikeout total is five, and we have him going 5 1/3 innings.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips

• We like the Cubs on the moneyline (+112)
• The Cubs are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report

Chicago Cubs Injury Report